9568 State Route 97 · Callicoon, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$279,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Life in the Callicoon Catskills doesn’t get any better than this fine 2 bedroom brick ranch home surrounded by a level lawn and mature trees in a park-like setting. Easily accessed by a paved driveway which leads to a heated 2 car garage and breezeway. Inside find a well-designed kitchen with a comfortable dining room. The living room has a brick fireplace and a large picture window to enjoy nature. 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath complete the first floor. Need space for hobbies or watching TV? Downstairs find a finished basement with family room/den with a large cedar closet (7.5x7.5), utility area with washer/dryer and a laundry chute. Home comes furnished-just move right in! Many upgrades to home include roof, furnace and energy efficient windows, making this a very comfortable home. Property consists of .73 acre which consists of two lots. Conveniently set and located on Route 97, a well-maintained paved road, only 1 mile from the Hamlet of Callicoon which boasts many stores and restaurants, and the Delaware River. Other nearby attractions are the Bethel Woods Performing Arts Center/Original Woodstock site, Roscoe, NY for trout fishing and many Catskills trout streams.
Key facts
- Heated garage
- Level lawn
- Paved driveway
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $279k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $279k).
- Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#1,135 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Sullivan West Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #436 of 590 in NY (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 309 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 309 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.77%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $538,779
- List price
- $279,000
- Delta
- -48.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.30×
- Total profit
- $180,060
- Equity at exit
- $251,345
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.51×
- Total profit
- $508,271
- Equity at exit
- $542,036
Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12723
- Home prices YoY
- 23.4%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,463
- Tax from tax record
- −$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$116
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$630
- Net cashflow
- $441
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $69,750
- Closing costs
- $8,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mill St Callicoon, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $3,000 | $2.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $279,000 Pending 309 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $279,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $279,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $279,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $279,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $279,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $279,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $279,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-03-20price $279,000 1206-char remark
Show marketing remark (1206 chars)
Life in the Callicoon Catskills doesn’t get any better than this fine 2 bedroom brick ranch home surrounded by a level lawn and mature trees in a park-like setting. Easily accessed by a paved driveway which leads to a heated 2 car garage and breezeway. Inside find a well-designed kitchen with a comfortable dining room. The living room has a brick fireplace and a large picture window to enjoy nature. 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath complete the first floor. Need space for hobbies or watching TV? Downstairs find a finished basement with family room/den with a large cedar closet (7.5x7.5), utility area with washer/dryer and a laundry chute. Home comes furnished-just move right in! Many upgrades to home include roof, furnace and energy efficient windows, making this a very comfortable home. Property consists of .73 acre which consists of two lots. Conveniently set and located on Route 97, a well-maintained paved road, only 1 mile from the Hamlet of Callicoon which boasts many stores and restaurants, and the Delaware River. Other nearby attractions are the Bethel Woods Performing Arts Center/Original Woodstock site, Roscoe, NY for trout fishing and many Catskills trout streams.
-
2025-12-22price $289,000 1206-char remark
Show marketing remark (1206 chars)
Life in the Callicoon Catskills doesn’t get any better than this fine 2 bedroom brick ranch home surrounded by a level lawn and mature trees in a park-like setting. Easily accessed by a paved driveway which leads to a heated 2 car garage and breezeway. Inside find a well-designed kitchen with a comfortable dining room. The living room has a brick fireplace and a large picture window to enjoy nature. 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath complete the first floor. Need space for hobbies or watching TV? Downstairs find a finished basement with family room/den with a large cedar closet (7.5x7.5), utility area with washer/dryer and a laundry chute. Home comes furnished-just move right in! Many upgrades to home include roof, furnace and energy efficient windows, making this a very comfortable home. Property consists of .73 acre which consists of two lots. Conveniently set and located on Route 97, a well-maintained paved road, only 1 mile from the Hamlet of Callicoon which boasts many stores and restaurants, and the Delaware River. Other nearby attractions are the Bethel Woods Performing Arts Center/Original Woodstock site, Roscoe, NY for trout fishing and many Catskills trout streams.
-
2025-10-01price $299,000 1206-char remark
Show marketing remark (1206 chars)
Life in the Callicoon Catskills doesn’t get any better than this fine 2 bedroom brick ranch home surrounded by a level lawn and mature trees in a park-like setting. Easily accessed by a paved driveway which leads to a heated 2 car garage and breezeway. Inside find a well-designed kitchen with a comfortable dining room. The living room has a brick fireplace and a large picture window to enjoy nature. 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath complete the first floor. Need space for hobbies or watching TV? Downstairs find a finished basement with family room/den with a large cedar closet (7.5x7.5), utility area with washer/dryer and a laundry chute. Home comes furnished-just move right in! Many upgrades to home include roof, furnace and energy efficient windows, making this a very comfortable home. Property consists of .73 acre which consists of two lots. Conveniently set and located on Route 97, a well-maintained paved road, only 1 mile from the Hamlet of Callicoon which boasts many stores and restaurants, and the Delaware River. Other nearby attractions are the Bethel Woods Performing Arts Center/Original Woodstock site, Roscoe, NY for trout fishing and many Catskills trout streams.
-
2025-09-04price $309,000 1206-char remark
Show marketing remark (1206 chars)
Life in the Callicoon Catskills doesn’t get any better than this fine 2 bedroom brick ranch home surrounded by a level lawn and mature trees in a park-like setting. Easily accessed by a paved driveway which leads to a heated 2 car garage and breezeway. Inside find a well-designed kitchen with a comfortable dining room. The living room has a brick fireplace and a large picture window to enjoy nature. 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath complete the first floor. Need space for hobbies or watching TV? Downstairs find a finished basement with family room/den with a large cedar closet (7.5x7.5), utility area with washer/dryer and a laundry chute. Home comes furnished-just move right in! Many upgrades to home include roof, furnace and energy efficient windows, making this a very comfortable home. Property consists of .73 acre which consists of two lots. Conveniently set and located on Route 97, a well-maintained paved road, only 1 mile from the Hamlet of Callicoon which boasts many stores and restaurants, and the Delaware River. Other nearby attractions are the Bethel Woods Performing Arts Center/Original Woodstock site, Roscoe, NY for trout fishing and many Catskills trout streams.
-
2025-08-04$319,000 Active 1206-char remark
Show marketing remark (1206 chars)
Life in the Callicoon Catskills doesn’t get any better than this fine 2 bedroom brick ranch home surrounded by a level lawn and mature trees in a park-like setting. Easily accessed by a paved driveway which leads to a heated 2 car garage and breezeway. Inside find a well-designed kitchen with a comfortable dining room. The living room has a brick fireplace and a large picture window to enjoy nature. 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath complete the first floor. Need space for hobbies or watching TV? Downstairs find a finished basement with family room/den with a large cedar closet (7.5x7.5), utility area with washer/dryer and a laundry chute. Home comes furnished-just move right in! Many upgrades to home include roof, furnace and energy efficient windows, making this a very comfortable home. Property consists of .73 acre which consists of two lots. Conveniently set and located on Route 97, a well-maintained paved road, only 1 mile from the Hamlet of Callicoon which boasts many stores and restaurants, and the Delaware River. Other nearby attractions are the Bethel Woods Performing Arts Center/Original Woodstock site, Roscoe, NY for trout fishing and many Catskills trout streams.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,200 · $350/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,458 · $371/mo
- Expected delta
- +$257/yr (+$21/mo · 6.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,628
- − Property taxes
- −$4,200
- − Insurance
- −$1,395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,880
- − Management
- −$2,880
- − Depreciation
- −$8,116
- Taxable income
- $900
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$216
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,071/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sullivan West Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3600023
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,078
- Composite
- 40.05/100
- National rank
- #3817
- State rank
- #436 of 590 in NY
Livability — Callicoon
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #1135
- US rank
- #23427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,854
Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,974 people
- By 2030
- 65,609 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 58,878 · -14.6%
- By 2050
- 52,500 · -23.9%
- By 2075
- 39,941 · -42.1%
- By 2100
- 28,880 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 64.22%
- Current HPI
- 339.0364
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
-12.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $279,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-22 Price Changed $289,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-01 Price Changed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $309,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Listed $319,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,200 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…