CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
9568 State Route 97
B Composite 71.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$279,000

9568 State Route 97 · Callicoon, NY 12723
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,159 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 309 Days on market
Built 1973 0.43 ac lot $241/sqft · 48% below area Est $539k · 48% under ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Life in the Callicoon Catskills doesn’t get any better than this fine 2 bedroom brick ranch home surrounded by a level lawn and mature trees in a park-like setting. Easily accessed by a paved driveway which leads to a heated 2 car garage and breezeway. Inside find a well-designed kitchen with a comfortable dining room. The living room has a brick fireplace and a large picture window to enjoy nature. 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath complete the first floor. Need space for hobbies or watching TV? Downstairs find a finished basement with family room/den with a large cedar closet (7.5x7.5), utility area with washer/dryer and a laundry chute. Home comes furnished-just move right in! Many upgrades to home include roof, furnace and energy efficient windows, making this a very comfortable home. Property consists of .73 acre which consists of two lots. Conveniently set and located on Route 97, a well-maintained paved road, only 1 mile from the Hamlet of Callicoon which boasts many stores and restaurants, and the Delaware River. Other nearby attractions are the Bethel Woods Performing Arts Center/Original Woodstock site, Roscoe, NY for trout fishing and many Catskills trout streams.

Key facts

  • Heated garage
  • Level lawn
  • Paved driveway

Tags

BRICK RANCH HOMELEVEL LAWNMATURE TREESPAVED DRIVEWAYHEATED GARAGEWELL-DESIGNED KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $279k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $279k).
  • Recommended offer: $246k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#1,135 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Sullivan West Central School District (rural): math 45% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #436 of 590 in NY (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 739 units permitted in Sullivan County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sullivan County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 309 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $245,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 309 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.19%
Cash-on-cash
6.77%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$538,779
List price
$279,000
Delta
-48.22%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
3.30×
Total profit
$180,060
Equity at exit
$251,345
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
7.51×
Total profit
$508,271
Equity at exit
$542,036

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12723

Home prices YoY
23.4%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,463
Tax from tax record
$350 /mo · $4,200/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$630
Net cashflow
$441

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,442
Max offer price $279,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,750
Closing costs
$8,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22 Mill St Callicoon, NY 3.0 2.0 1470 $3,000 $2.04 43d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $279,000 Pending 309 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $279,000 Active 308 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $279,000 Active 307 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $279,000 Active 306 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $279,000 Active 303 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,000 Active 302 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,000 Active 301 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,000 Active 300 DOM
  9. 2026-03-20
    price $279,000 1206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1206 chars)

    Life in the Callicoon Catskills doesn’t get any better than this fine 2 bedroom brick ranch home surrounded by a level lawn and mature trees in a park-like setting. Easily accessed by a paved driveway which leads to a heated 2 car garage and breezeway. Inside find a well-designed kitchen with a comfortable dining room. The living room has a brick fireplace and a large picture window to enjoy nature. 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath complete the first floor. Need space for hobbies or watching TV? Downstairs find a finished basement with family room/den with a large cedar closet (7.5x7.5), utility area with washer/dryer and a laundry chute. Home comes furnished-just move right in! Many upgrades to home include roof, furnace and energy efficient windows, making this a very comfortable home. Property consists of .73 acre which consists of two lots. Conveniently set and located on Route 97, a well-maintained paved road, only 1 mile from the Hamlet of Callicoon which boasts many stores and restaurants, and the Delaware River. Other nearby attractions are the Bethel Woods Performing Arts Center/Original Woodstock site, Roscoe, NY for trout fishing and many Catskills trout streams.

  10. 2025-12-22
    price $289,000 1206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1206 chars)

    Life in the Callicoon Catskills doesn’t get any better than this fine 2 bedroom brick ranch home surrounded by a level lawn and mature trees in a park-like setting. Easily accessed by a paved driveway which leads to a heated 2 car garage and breezeway. Inside find a well-designed kitchen with a comfortable dining room. The living room has a brick fireplace and a large picture window to enjoy nature. 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath complete the first floor. Need space for hobbies or watching TV? Downstairs find a finished basement with family room/den with a large cedar closet (7.5x7.5), utility area with washer/dryer and a laundry chute. Home comes furnished-just move right in! Many upgrades to home include roof, furnace and energy efficient windows, making this a very comfortable home. Property consists of .73 acre which consists of two lots. Conveniently set and located on Route 97, a well-maintained paved road, only 1 mile from the Hamlet of Callicoon which boasts many stores and restaurants, and the Delaware River. Other nearby attractions are the Bethel Woods Performing Arts Center/Original Woodstock site, Roscoe, NY for trout fishing and many Catskills trout streams.

  11. 2025-10-01
    price $299,000 1206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1206 chars)

    Life in the Callicoon Catskills doesn’t get any better than this fine 2 bedroom brick ranch home surrounded by a level lawn and mature trees in a park-like setting. Easily accessed by a paved driveway which leads to a heated 2 car garage and breezeway. Inside find a well-designed kitchen with a comfortable dining room. The living room has a brick fireplace and a large picture window to enjoy nature. 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath complete the first floor. Need space for hobbies or watching TV? Downstairs find a finished basement with family room/den with a large cedar closet (7.5x7.5), utility area with washer/dryer and a laundry chute. Home comes furnished-just move right in! Many upgrades to home include roof, furnace and energy efficient windows, making this a very comfortable home. Property consists of .73 acre which consists of two lots. Conveniently set and located on Route 97, a well-maintained paved road, only 1 mile from the Hamlet of Callicoon which boasts many stores and restaurants, and the Delaware River. Other nearby attractions are the Bethel Woods Performing Arts Center/Original Woodstock site, Roscoe, NY for trout fishing and many Catskills trout streams.

  12. 2025-09-04
    price $309,000 1206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1206 chars)

    Life in the Callicoon Catskills doesn’t get any better than this fine 2 bedroom brick ranch home surrounded by a level lawn and mature trees in a park-like setting. Easily accessed by a paved driveway which leads to a heated 2 car garage and breezeway. Inside find a well-designed kitchen with a comfortable dining room. The living room has a brick fireplace and a large picture window to enjoy nature. 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath complete the first floor. Need space for hobbies or watching TV? Downstairs find a finished basement with family room/den with a large cedar closet (7.5x7.5), utility area with washer/dryer and a laundry chute. Home comes furnished-just move right in! Many upgrades to home include roof, furnace and energy efficient windows, making this a very comfortable home. Property consists of .73 acre which consists of two lots. Conveniently set and located on Route 97, a well-maintained paved road, only 1 mile from the Hamlet of Callicoon which boasts many stores and restaurants, and the Delaware River. Other nearby attractions are the Bethel Woods Performing Arts Center/Original Woodstock site, Roscoe, NY for trout fishing and many Catskills trout streams.

  13. 2025-08-04
    listed $319,000 Active 1206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1206 chars)

    Life in the Callicoon Catskills doesn’t get any better than this fine 2 bedroom brick ranch home surrounded by a level lawn and mature trees in a park-like setting. Easily accessed by a paved driveway which leads to a heated 2 car garage and breezeway. Inside find a well-designed kitchen with a comfortable dining room. The living room has a brick fireplace and a large picture window to enjoy nature. 2 large bedrooms and 1 full bath complete the first floor. Need space for hobbies or watching TV? Downstairs find a finished basement with family room/den with a large cedar closet (7.5x7.5), utility area with washer/dryer and a laundry chute. Home comes furnished-just move right in! Many upgrades to home include roof, furnace and energy efficient windows, making this a very comfortable home. Property consists of .73 acre which consists of two lots. Conveniently set and located on Route 97, a well-maintained paved road, only 1 mile from the Hamlet of Callicoon which boasts many stores and restaurants, and the Delaware River. Other nearby attractions are the Bethel Woods Performing Arts Center/Original Woodstock site, Roscoe, NY for trout fishing and many Catskills trout streams.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,200 · $350/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,458 · $371/mo
Expected delta
+$257/yr (+$21/mo · 6.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$36,000
− Mortgage interest
−$15,628
− Property taxes
−$4,200
− Insurance
−$1,395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,880
− Management
−$2,880
− Depreciation
−$8,116
Taxable income
$900
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$216
After-tax cash flow
$5,071/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sullivan West Central School District
NCES district ID
3600023
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$56,078
Composite
40.05/100
National rank
#3817
State rank
#436 of 590 in NY

Livability — Callicoon

Score
55/100
State rank
#1135
US rank
#23427

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,854

Population outlook (Sullivan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,974 people
By 2030
65,609 · -4.9%
By 2040
58,878 · -14.6%
By 2050
52,500 · -23.9%
By 2075
39,941 · -42.1%
By 2100
28,880 · -58.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sullivan

2024 margin
R (+16.7) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 9.5pp · 2024: -16.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.7 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+10.4 2008: D+9.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 64.22%
Current HPI
339.0364
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $279,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-22 Price Changed $289,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed $299,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $309,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-04 Listed $319,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,200 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…