Triplex
202 E Mccarty St · Jefferson City, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Located in the heart of historic downtown Jefferson City, this 1915 multi-family property at 202 E McCarty St offers abundant character, architectural charm, and exceptional investment potential. Rich in historical detail, the home features original wood trim, pocket doors, and timeless craftsmanship rarely found in modern construction. Currently configured as a three-unit property, the building offers multiple possibilities for investors, entrepreneurs, or buyers seeking a flexible property with strong upside potential. With 2,382 total square feet, the structure includes 1,632 above grade and 750 below grade, providing generous interior space across three separate units. Unit A (Upper Lev
Key facts
- Original wood trim
- Three-unit property
- Pocket doors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total finished area reported (above and below grade) and building size available
- Financial info: Multiple rental units with reported actual rents: 1-bedroom units reported at $500, $450, $450, $500; 3-bedroom units reported at $650, $650
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential income property; Condition: fixer; Zoned C-3
- Construction: Built with brick, stone, stucco, vinyl siding and wood siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio
Interior
- Bedrooms: Multiple units including several 1-bedroom and 3-bedroom units
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating (natural gas and electric); Has heating
- Interior features: Wood flooring; Basement with interior entry and walk-out access; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: No laundry features listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive. Per door: $741/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.6% vs local median 3.7% in Jefferson City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#7 in MO, #838 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
- Jefferson City (urban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #121 of 324 in MO (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 173 units permitted in Cole County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cole County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.27%
- DSCR
- 4.39
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 76.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.47×
- Total profit
- $121,326
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 79.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.23×
- Total profit
- $287,930
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65101
- Home prices YoY
- -29.1%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,783 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $705/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$794
- Net cashflow
- $2,223
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 5 | 3 | $3,783 |
| #1 | 5 | 3 | $1,261 |
| #2 | 5 | 3 | $1,261 |
| #3 | 5 | 3 | $1,261 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,783 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $124,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $124,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $124,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $124,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $124,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-07$124,900 Active
-
2019-06-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $705 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,212 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$506/yr (+$42/mo · 71.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,396
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$705
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,632
- − Management
- −$3,632
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $26,173
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$6,281
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,392/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson City
- NCES district ID
- 2916190
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,903
- Composite
- 35.45/100
- National rank
- #4930
- State rank
- #121 of 324 in MO
Livability — Jefferson City
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #838
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jefferson City, MO
- City population
- 41,145
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,777
Population outlook (Cole County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,107 people
- By 2030
- 78,089 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 76,814 · -1.7%
- By 2050
- 74,515 · -4.6%
- By 2075
- 67,687 · -13.3%
- By 2100
- 55,023 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Cole
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.4) · D 32.1% · R 66.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -34.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.4 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+36.8 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.16%
- Current HPI
- 209.3832
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listed $124,900 JCMLS
- 2019-06-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $705 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…