217 E South St · Allentown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well kept brick row * New windows * New carpet * Gas heat and hot water * Skylight in bath * 3rd bedroom being used as walk in closet * New garage door * Newly painted * This is not a drive by *
Key facts
- Near local parks
- Near event centers
- Near museums
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Brick construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Above-grade finished area reported (864); Zoned R-Mh - Medium High Density
- Construction: Brick exterior; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Year built: Unknown
- Exterior features: Porch; Flat lot; Has a view
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom (Second level) — 13 x 10; Bedroom (Second level) — 8 x 8 (owner converted into a closet); Bedroom (Second level) — 13 x 11
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Full bathroom (Second level) — 8 x 8
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating
- Interior features: Dining area with a separate/formal dining room; Hardwood floors; Full walk-out basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (2.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $185k (2.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 5.3% in Allentown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#171 in PA, #1,440 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D.
- Allentown City SD (urban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #513 of 539 in PA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $165k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.87%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,041
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -2.64%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 553 Skyline Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 900 (+4%) | 19mo | $320,000 | $356 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-10,158
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $39,174
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18109
- Home prices YoY
- -21.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.6%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,848 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$169 /mo · $2,030/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 503 S Austin St Unit 503 A Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 517 A Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 514 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 14d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 524 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 23d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit A Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 2d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 503 S Austin St Unit 520 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,650 | $1.65 | 14d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 303 E Union St Unit 1st Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,550 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 333 River Dr Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $2,025 | $2.33 | 2d | 13 | 0.33mi |
| 501 E Walnut St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,795 | $2.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 236 N Front St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,800 | $1.76 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 817 E Turner St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,795 | $2.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 717 S Filmore St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,745 | $1.84 | 2d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 949 E Linden St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,795 | $2.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 201 N 3rd St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1145 | $2,128 | $1.86 | 2d | 4 | 0.87mi |
| 305 N 2nd St #1 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 757 | $1,500 | $1.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 605 E Susquehanna St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,500 | $2.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 338 N 2nd St Apt 1 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,475 | $2.46 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 120 N 4th St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,475 | $1.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1509 S Albert St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,750 | $1.90 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 801-819 N Halstead St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 995 | $1,795 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 801 N Halstead St Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 872 | $1,795 | $2.06 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 45 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1002 | $3,616 | $3.61 | 2d | 13 | 1.21mi |
| 26 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 953 | $2,224 | $2.33 | 2d | 9 | 1.24mi |
| 520 W Cumberland St Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $2,293 | $2.47 | 2d | 13 | 1.29mi |
| 218 N 6th St Apt 3 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,600 | $2.13 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 427 N 5th St Unit 2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 621 W Turner St Apt 14 Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,395 | $1.74 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 27 N 7th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $2,222 | $2.64 | 2d | 11 | 1.32mi |
| 702 Saint John St Apt 3 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 107 N 7th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $2,972 | $3.47 | 2d | 23 | 1.33mi |
| 948 N Front St Unit C-2 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $2,300 | $2.41 | 2d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 948 N Front St Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 864 | $2,300 | $2.66 | 2d | 3 | 1.35mi |
| 1701 S Albert St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,450 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 144 N 7th St Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,595 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 818 Walnut St Apt 5 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 18d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 801 N Jordan St Unit 3 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,350 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 528 N 6th St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $1,700 | $1.76 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 835 Hamilton St Unit 409 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $2,374 | $2.26 | 18d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 835 Hamilton St Unit 509 Allentown, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1052 | $2,399 | $2.28 | 18d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-04price $199,900 838-char remark
-
2026-04-28$210,000 Active 838-char remark
-
2008-07-17soldstatus $95,000 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Well kept brick row * New windows * New carpet * Gas heat and hot water * Skylight in bath * 3rd bedroom being used as walk in closet * New garage door * Newly painted * This is not a drive by *
-
2008-07-17soldstatus $95,000
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Well kept brick row * New windows * New carpet * Gas heat and hot water * Skylight in bath * 3rd bedroom being used as walk in closet * New garage door * Newly painted * This is not a drive by *
-
2008-03-20$89,900 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
Well kept brick row * New windows * New carpet * Gas heat and hot water * Skylight in bath * 3rd bedroom being used as walk in closet * New garage door * Newly painted * This is not a drive by *
-
2005-06-06soldstatus $59,900
-
2005-06-01soldstatus $59,900
Show marketing remark (218 chars)
Row in nice area * 1 car detached garage * Gas cooking * Gas heat * Gas hot water * Skylight in bath * Some new tilt-in windows * 3 Bedrooms, one is a walk thru, 1 walk through * 1 bath * All appliances stay *
-
2005-04-08$59,900
Show marketing remark (218 chars)
Row in nice area * 1 car detached garage * Gas cooking * Gas heat * Gas hot water * Skylight in bath * Some new tilt-in windows * 3 Bedrooms, one is a walk thru, 1 walk through * 1 bath * All appliances stay *
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,030 · $169/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,515 · $210/mo
- Expected delta
- +$485/yr (+$40/mo · 23.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,178
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,030
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,774
- − Management
- −$1,774
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$512
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$123
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,714/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allentown City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,337
- Composite
- 12.43/100
- National rank
- #9630
- State rank
- #513 of 539 in PA
Livability — Allentown
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #1440
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Allentown, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 56,443
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,446
- Household income
- $58,031
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 898.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 55% White 33% Two or more races 15% Black 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 27% Cuban 1% Dominican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 1% Polish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 53% English-only · Spanish 37% Arabic 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.00%
- Current HPI
- 342.9027
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.57%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+175.5% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $165,000 GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-24 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $189,900 GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $199,900 GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $210,000 GLVRMLS
- 2008-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-17 Sold (MLS) $95,000 GLVRMLS
- 2008-03-20 Listed $89,900 GLVRMLS
- 2005-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 2005-06-01 Sold (MLS) $59,900 GLVRMLS
- 2005-04-08 Listed $59,900 GLVRMLS
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2026): $2,030 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…