18240 Codding St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD CASE#261-700870 FHA INSURED FINANCING NOT AVAIL. HOME SOLD AS IS. HUD MAKES NO REPAIRS. ELECTRONIC BIDDING VIA PHONE/INTERNET ONLY! COMM. UP TO 5%. MCB & FUTURE MAKES NO WARRANTY AS TO EXISTENCE OF MOLD IN PROP. & IS NOT LIABLE FOR THE POTENTIALLY HARMFUL EFFECTS THEREOF. APPTS. MUST BE MADE W/ LISTING OFFICE.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1951
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.70%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $66,232
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18293 Codding St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 962 (-1%) | 1mo | $30,000 | $31 | 94 |
| 23450 Margareta St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 957 (-2%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $47 | 85 |
| 17818 Redfern St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (+7%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $38 | 70 |
| 19212 Northrop St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 981 (+1%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $66 | 63 |
| 17335 Beaverland St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,061 (+9%) | 5mo | $81,000 | $76 | 62 |
| 17655 Fenton St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 969 (-0%) | 8mo | $76,500 | $79 | 62 |
| 18434 Wormer St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 | 1,024 (+5%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $93 | 62 |
| 17727 Woodbine St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 850 (-13%) | 0mo | $58,000 | $68 | 56 |
| 22482 W Mcnichols Rd | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,031 (+6%) | 2mo | $61,000 | $59 | 56 |
| 17679 Woodbine St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 850 (-13%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $106 | 53 |
| 18614 Winston St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+9%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $103 | 48 |
| 16836 Beaverland St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+13%) | 6mo | $65,500 | $60 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $23,074
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.94×
- Total profit
- $88,289
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48219
- Home prices YoY
- -10.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.0%
- Active inventory
- 305
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,262 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $998/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $461
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18302 Wormer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $1,475 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 22570 Seven Mile W Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $875 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 24224 W 7 Mile Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $875 | $1.46 | 43d | 3 | 0.58mi |
| 19250 Telegraph Rd Unit O7 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 19248 Telegraph Rd Unit P7 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 19301 Shiawassee Dr Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,150 | $1.55 | 43d | 2 | 0.64mi |
| 19276 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 19264 Telegraph Rd Unit G7 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 18732 Salem Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,050 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 16800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $875 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 17324 Salem St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 21455 Pickford St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 22649 Frisbee St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 16800 Wormer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 18d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,400 | $1.36 | 16d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 21434 Karl St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 19800 Berg Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $1,394 | $1.34 | 16d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 19800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,020 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 16581 Wormer St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,100 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,125 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 17270 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $850 | $1.31 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $838 | $1.20 | 24d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 43d | 2 | 1.04mi |
| 22238 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 16207 Woodbine St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,294 | $1.29 | 5d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 16131 Dale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 18d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $900 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,364 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 19928 Houghton St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,495 | $1.70 | 11d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,325 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 21422 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,695 | $1.70 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 23411 W Eight Mile Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,000 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 20083 Salem St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,050 | $1.08 | 11d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 20083 Salem St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,050 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1101 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 18205 Stout St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 901 | $1,078 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2025-04-23status Pending
-
2025-04-09historical
-
2025-02-26soldstatus $75,000
-
2025-01-18status Pending
-
2025-01-18status Pending
-
2025-01-06price $80,000
-
2025-01-06price $80,000
-
2024-12-21price $85,000
-
2024-12-21price $85,000
-
2024-11-18$95,000 Active
-
2024-11-18$95,000 Active
-
2006-03-15soldstatus $34,500 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
HUD CASE#261-700870 FHA INSURED FINANCING NOT AVAIL. HOME SOLD AS IS. HUD MAKES NO REPAIRS. ELECTRONIC BIDDING VIA PHONE/INTERNET ONLY! COMM. UP TO 5%. MCB & FUTURE MAKES NO WARRANTY AS TO EXISTENCE OF MOLD IN PROP. & IS NOT LIABLE FOR THE POTENTIALLY HARMFUL EFFECTS THEREOF. APPTS. MUST BE MADE W/ LISTING OFFICE.
-
2005-11-18$34,200 326-char remark
Show marketing remark (326 chars)
HUD CASE#261-700870 FHA INSURED FINANCING NOT AVAIL. HOME SOLD AS IS. HUD MAKES NO REPAIRS. ELECTRONIC BIDDING VIA PHONE/INTERNET ONLY! COMM. UP TO 5%. MCB & FUTURE MAKES NO WARRANTY AS TO EXISTENCE OF MOLD IN PROP. & IS NOT LIABLE FOR THE POTENTIALLY HARMFUL EFFECTS THEREOF. APPTS. MUST BE MADE W/ LISTING OFFICE.
-
1999-03-10soldstatus $33,000
-
1999-01-26soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $998 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,115 · $93/mo
- Expected delta
- +$117/yr (+$10/mo · 11.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,144
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$998
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,212
- − Management
- −$1,212
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $4,515
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,084
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,448/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,208
- Household income
- $43,655
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3584.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.06%
- Current HPI
- 563.3263
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.04%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+25.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2025-04-23 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2025-01-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-01-06 Price Changed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-01-06 Price Changed $80,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-12-21 Price Changed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-21 Price Changed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2024-11-18 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-11-18 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-03-15 Sold (MLS) $34,500 REALCOMP
- 2005-11-18 Listed $34,200 REALCOMP
- 1999-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 1999-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $998 · -36.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…