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C+ Composite 61.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

18240 Codding St · Detroit, MI 48219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 974 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1951 10,019 sqft lot Est $66k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUD CASE#261-700870 FHA INSURED FINANCING NOT AVAIL. HOME SOLD AS IS. HUD MAKES NO REPAIRS. ELECTRONIC BIDDING VIA PHONE/INTERNET ONLY! COMM. UP TO 5%. MCB & FUTURE MAKES NO WARRANTY AS TO EXISTENCE OF MOLD IN PROP. & IS NOT LIABLE FOR THE POTENTIALLY HARMFUL EFFECTS THEREOF. APPTS. MUST BE MADE W/ LISTING OFFICE.

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1951

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $461 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $75k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $75,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
13.21%
Cash-on-cash
24.70%
DSCR
2.10
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$66,232
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18293 Codding St 0.06mi 3/1.0 962 (-1%) 1mo $30,000 $31 94
23450 Margareta St 0.20mi 3/1.0 957 (-2%) 4mo $45,000 $47 85
17818 Redfern St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,044 (+7%) 1mo $40,000 $38 70
19212 Northrop St 0.72mi 3/1.0 981 (+1%) 2mo $65,000 $66 63
17335 Beaverland St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,061 (+9%) 5mo $81,000 $76 62
17655 Fenton St 0.64mi 3/1.0 969 (-0%) 8mo $76,500 $79 62
18434 Wormer St 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,024 (+5%) 7mo $95,000 $93 62
17727 Woodbine St 0.44mi 3/1.5 850 (-13%) 0mo $58,000 $68 56
22482 W Mcnichols Rd 0.65mi 3/1.5 1,031 (+6%) 2mo $61,000 $59 56
17679 Woodbine St 0.46mi 3/1.0 850 (-13%) 6mo $90,000 $106 53
18614 Winston St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+9%) 5mo $110,000 $103 48
16836 Beaverland St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+13%) 6mo $65,500 $60 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$23,074
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
4.94×
Total profit
$88,289
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,262 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $998/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$461

Break-even live

Break-even rent $678
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18302 Wormer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1046 $1,475 $1.41 43d 1 0.45mi
22570 Seven Mile W Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 890 $875 $0.98 43d 1 0.52mi
24224 W 7 Mile Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 600 $875 $1.46 43d 3 0.58mi
19250 Telegraph Rd Unit O7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 24d 1 0.62mi
19248 Telegraph Rd Unit P7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 24d 1 0.63mi
19301 Shiawassee Dr Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 740 $1,150 $1.55 43d 2 0.64mi
19276 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 43d 1 0.65mi
19264 Telegraph Rd Unit G7 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 820 $975 $1.19 43d 1 0.65mi
18732 Salem Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 925 $1,050 $1.14 12d 1 0.79mi
16800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 775 $875 $1.13 43d 1 0.79mi
17324 Salem St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 989 $1,200 $1.21 24d 1 0.82mi
21455 Pickford St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,275 $1.27 43d 1 0.85mi
22649 Frisbee St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,495 $1.36 43d 1 0.86mi
16800 Wormer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,250 $1.37 18d 1 0.86mi
21451 Glenco St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,400 $1.36 16d 1 0.86mi
21434 Karl St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 43d 1 0.87mi
19800 Berg Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 16d 1 0.88mi
21440 Bennett St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1037 $1,394 $1.34 16d 1 0.90mi
18025 Bentler St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 728 $1,250 $1.72 24d 1 0.91mi
19800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 855 $1,020 $1.19 43d 1 0.92mi
16581 Wormer St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,100 $1.53 43d 1 0.96mi
17721 Westbrook St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1040 $1,125 $1.08 24d 1 1.00mi
17270 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 650 $850 $1.31 43d 1 1.01mi
17274 Bentler St #46 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 16d 1 1.02mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $838 $1.20 24d 2 1.04mi
17274 Bentler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 43d 2 1.04mi
22238 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 1.04mi
16207 Woodbine St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 5d 1 1.05mi
16131 Dale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 18d 1 1.07mi
16700 Lahser Rd Apt 18 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $900 $1.20 43d 1 1.07mi
18437 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 875 $1,364 $1.56 15d 1 1.09mi
19928 Houghton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 880 $1,495 $1.70 11d 1 1.10mi
15847 Chatham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,325 $1.46 5d 1 1.21mi
21422 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,695 $1.70 16d 1 1.27mi
23411 W Eight Mile Rd Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 742 $1,000 $1.35 43d 1 1.34mi
20083 Salem St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,050 $1.08 11d 1 1.37mi
20083 Salem St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 969 $1,050 $1.08 5d 1 1.37mi
16717 Trinity St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1101 $1,250 $1.14 43d 1 1.37mi
18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 16d 1 1.40mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 24d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2025-04-23
    status Pending
  2. 2025-04-09
    historical
  3. 2025-02-26
    soldstatus $75,000
  4. 2025-01-18
    status Pending
  5. 2025-01-18
    status Pending
  6. 2025-01-06
    price $80,000
  7. 2025-01-06
    price $80,000
  8. 2024-12-21
    price $85,000
  9. 2024-12-21
    price $85,000
  10. 2024-11-18
    listed $95,000 Active
  11. 2024-11-18
    listed $95,000 Active
  12. 2006-03-15
    soldstatus $34,500 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    HUD CASE#261-700870 FHA INSURED FINANCING NOT AVAIL. HOME SOLD AS IS. HUD MAKES NO REPAIRS. ELECTRONIC BIDDING VIA PHONE/INTERNET ONLY! COMM. UP TO 5%. MCB & FUTURE MAKES NO WARRANTY AS TO EXISTENCE OF MOLD IN PROP. & IS NOT LIABLE FOR THE POTENTIALLY HARMFUL EFFECTS THEREOF. APPTS. MUST BE MADE W/ LISTING OFFICE.

  13. 2005-11-18
    listed $34,200 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    HUD CASE#261-700870 FHA INSURED FINANCING NOT AVAIL. HOME SOLD AS IS. HUD MAKES NO REPAIRS. ELECTRONIC BIDDING VIA PHONE/INTERNET ONLY! COMM. UP TO 5%. MCB & FUTURE MAKES NO WARRANTY AS TO EXISTENCE OF MOLD IN PROP. & IS NOT LIABLE FOR THE POTENTIALLY HARMFUL EFFECTS THEREOF. APPTS. MUST BE MADE W/ LISTING OFFICE.

  14. 1999-03-10
    soldstatus $33,000
  15. 1999-01-26
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$998 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,115 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$117/yr (+$10/mo · 11.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,144
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$998
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,212
− Management
−$1,212
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$4,515
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,084
After-tax cash flow
$4,448/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2025-04-23 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-09 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-02-26 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2025-01-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2025-01-06 Price Changed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-01-06 Price Changed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-21 Price Changed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-12-21 Price Changed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2024-11-18 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-11-18 Listed $95,000 REALCOMP
  • 2006-03-15 Sold (MLS) $34,500 REALCOMP
  • 2005-11-18 Listed $34,200 REALCOMP
  • 1999-03-10 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
  • 1999-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $998 · -36.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…