409 Executive Center Dr #211 · West Palm Beach, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment property! Low taxes and HOA fees. Currently rented at $800 @ month. Lease ends 2/2017. Nothing needed to begin making money on day one!!! Owners firm on their price. Please do not submit lower offers.
Key facts
- Laundry facilities
- Huge walk-in closet
- Location near i-95
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with possible breed and number restrictions
- HOA & community: HOA with monthly fee; Community pool; Tennis courts; Picnic area; Monthly HOA fee
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detectors; Security patrol
- Utilities: Public water; Water service available
- Home design: Condominium; 2-story building; Unit faces north
- Construction: CBS construction
- Exterior features: Not waterfront; No waterfront features listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Walk-in closet; Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.8% vs local median 3.8% in West Palm Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#75 in FL, #1,255 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Westward Elementary School (math 30% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 500 students, 81% FRL); Bear Lakes Middle School (math 19% / reading 33%, grade F, #506 of 571 statewide, top 89%, 842 students, 74% FRL); Palm Beach Lakes High School (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #546 of 667 statewide, top 82%, 2,688 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 52% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 506 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $139k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.06%
- DSCR
- 2.52
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $54,946
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 40.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.34×
- Total profit
- $168,868
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33401
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 506
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,091 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$191 /mo · $2,287/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$360
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$649
- Net cashflow
- $1,105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,183 | -5% $1,144 | +0% $1,105 | +5% $1,065 | +10% $1,026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $861 | -5% $983 | +0% $1,105 | +5% $1,227 | +10% $1,349 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,175 | -0.5pp $1,140 | base $1,105 | +0.5pp $1,069 | +1.0pp $1,032 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Clearwater Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 727 | $3,414 | $4.70 | 25d | 19 | 0.97mi |
| 201 Clearwater Dr West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 731 | $4,365 | $5.97 | 11d | 16 | 0.97mi |
| 1500 Centrepark Blvd West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 862 | $2,630 | $3.05 | 0d | 18 | 1.30mi |
| 591 Evernia St West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 943 | $4,270 | $4.53 | 0d | 25 | 1.35mi |
| 651 Okeechobee Blvd West Palm Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 887 | $3,000 | $3.38 | 14d | 5 | 1.38mi |
| 1050 Blanche St West Palm Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 740 | $2,838 | $3.83 | 3d | 8 | 1.38mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $360 · $4,320/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-03-25price $139,000
-
2026-03-05$149,000 Active
-
2025-03-11historical $1,550
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2025-03-06price $1,550
-
2025-01-29$1,600
-
2023-12-19historical $1,500
-
2023-12-05$1,500
-
2023-11-20historical $1,500
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2023-11-18$1,500
-
2017-02-01soldstatus $70,000
-
2016-12-15soldstatus $54,000
-
2016-12-14soldstatus $54,000 Closed 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Great investment property! Low taxes and HOA fees. Currently rented at $800 @ month. Lease ends 2/2017. Nothing needed to begin making money on day one!!! Owners firm on their price. Please do not submit lower offers.
-
2016-09-09status Pending 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Great investment property! Low taxes and HOA fees. Currently rented at $800 @ month. Lease ends 2/2017. Nothing needed to begin making money on day one!!! Owners firm on their price. Please do not submit lower offers.
-
2016-06-30price $55,000 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Great investment property! Low taxes and HOA fees. Currently rented at $800 @ month. Lease ends 2/2017. Nothing needed to begin making money on day one!!! Owners firm on their price. Please do not submit lower offers.
-
2016-06-30status Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Great investment property! Low taxes and HOA fees. Currently rented at $800 @ month. Lease ends 2/2017. Nothing needed to begin making money on day one!!! Owners firm on their price. Please do not submit lower offers.
-
2016-06-15historical 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Great investment property! Low taxes and HOA fees. Currently rented at $800 @ month. Lease ends 2/2017. Nothing needed to begin making money on day one!!! Owners firm on their price. Please do not submit lower offers.
-
2016-06-11$60,000 Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
Great investment property! Low taxes and HOA fees. Currently rented at $800 @ month. Lease ends 2/2017. Nothing needed to begin making money on day one!!! Owners firm on their price. Please do not submit lower offers.
-
2012-12-06soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,287 · $191/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,287 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,096
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,287
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,968
- − Management
- −$2,968
- − HOA
- −$4,320
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $12,029
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,887
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,370/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Palm Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1255
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Palm Beach, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 222,012
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,698
- Household income
- $67,967
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2953.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 6% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 13% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -324.96%
- Current HPI
- 367.0978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.15%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+152.7% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $139,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $149,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-03-11 Rental Removed $1,550 GFLMLS
- 2025-03-06 Price Changed $1,550 GFLMLS
- 2025-01-29 Listed for Rent $1,600 GFLMLS
- 2023-12-19 Rental Removed $1,500 GFLMLS
- 2023-12-05 Listed for Rent $1,500 GFLMLS
- 2023-11-20 Rental Removed $1,500 GFLMLS
- 2023-11-18 Listed for Rent $1,500 GFLMLS
- 2017-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2016-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 2016-12-14 Sold (MLS) $54,000 Beaches MLS
- 2016-09-09 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2016-06-30 Price Changed $55,000 Beaches MLS
- 2016-06-30 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2016-06-15 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2016-06-11 Listed $60,000 Beaches MLS
- 2012-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,287 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…