Duplex
2228 Tulip St · Lynchburg, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.8/15.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$174,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Fully occupied and cash-flowing from day one, this Lynchburg duplex generates a strong $1,700/month ($900 Unit A, $800 Unit B). Unit A is beautifully maintained, while Unit B, located on the second floor for added privacyhas been extensively updated with new kitchen countertops, cabinets, appliances, LVP flooring, fresh paint, a new toilet, and vanity. Separate electric meters for each unit support efficient management, with a single water meter. The property also features brand-new exterior paint, enhancing curb appeal. With stable in-place income and recent improvements, this is a low-maintenance, income-producing asset that's hard to pass up.
Key facts
- Extensively updated
- Fresh paint
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $858 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $429/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 4.0% in Lynchburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 91/100 on livability (#1 in VA, #58 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+.
- Lynchburg City Public School District (urban): math 36% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #104 of 131 in VA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 110 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 472 units permitted in Lynchburg city in 2024 (240 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,452/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 552% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lynchburg County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $128k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.02%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,000
- List price
- $174,900
- Delta
- 6.00%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1107 Miller St | 0.56mi | 4/— | 1,920 (+14%) | 20mo | $140,000 | $73 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $30,165
- Equity at exit
- $26,078
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $113,008
- Equity at exit
- $15,122
Cash invested: $48,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24504
- Home prices YoY
- -12.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 110
- Price-to-rent
- 11.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,452 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$917
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,069/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$515
- Net cashflow
- $858
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $957 | -5% $907 | +0% $858 | +5% $808 | +10% $759 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $664 | -5% $761 | +0% $858 | +5% $955 | +10% $1,052 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $946 | -0.5pp $902 | base $858 | +0.5pp $813 | +1.0pp $766 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,452 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,226 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,226 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,452 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,725
- Closing costs
- $5,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1701 Grace St Lynchburg, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2173 | $1,495 | $0.69 | 14d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1316 Harrison St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1535 | $1,500 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1521 Taylor St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1337 | $1,195 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1308 16th St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,800 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1518 Fillmore St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1514 Fillmore St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1560 | $1,800 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1415 Floyd St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,800 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1110 11th St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2000 | $1,450 | $0.72 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 900 Polk St Unit A Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $895 | $0.81 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1105 Fillmore St Unit B Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1008 8th St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,795 | $1.36 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 812 Taylor St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1872 | $1,950 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1401 Kemper St Lynchburg, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,167 | $1.04 | 22d | 6 | 1.17mi |
| 601 Jackson St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $1,595 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2518 Carter St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1091 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 800 Pierce St Lynchburg, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1714 | $1,295 | $0.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 512 Polk St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $1,295 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2269 Aragon St Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,695 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2205 Mayflower Dr Lynchburg, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $174,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $174,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $174,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $174,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $174,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $174,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $174,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $174,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $174,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $174,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $174,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $174,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $174,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $174,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $174,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $174,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $174,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-11$174,900 Active 653-char remark
Show marketing remark (653 chars)
Fully occupied and cash-flowing from day one, this Lynchburg duplex generates a strong $1,700/month ($900 Unit A, $800 Unit B). Unit A is beautifully maintained, while Unit B, located on the second floor for added privacyhas been extensively updated with new kitchen countertops, cabinets, appliances, LVP flooring, fresh paint, a new toilet, and vanity. Separate electric meters for each unit support efficient management, with a single water meter. The property also features brand-new exterior paint, enhancing curb appeal. With stable in-place income and recent improvements, this is a low-maintenance, income-producing asset that's hard to pass up.
-
2026-01-18price $179,900
-
2025-11-14$189,900 Active
-
2025-10-19price $199,000
-
2025-09-11price $212,000
-
2025-08-19$219,500 Active
-
2025-05-09historical $1,000
-
2025-05-01$1,000
-
2025-02-14soldstatus $128,000 Closed
-
2024-12-21status Pending
-
2024-12-17$129,900 Active
-
2022-07-19price $750
-
2003-06-03soldstatus $34,800
-
1998-11-30soldstatus $34,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,069 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,434 · $120/mo
- Expected delta
- +$365/yr (+$30/mo · 34.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,424
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,797
- − Property taxes
- −$1,069
- − Insurance
- −$874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,354
- − Management
- −$2,354
- − Depreciation
- −$5,088
- Taxable income
- $7,887
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,893
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,402/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lynchburg City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102340
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,097
- Composite
- 40.4/100
- National rank
- #3730
- State rank
- #104 of 131 in VA
Livability — Lynchburg
- Score
- 91/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #58
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lynchburg, VA
- County
- Lynchburg City · 97,036 people
- City population
- 97,036
- Metro
- Lynchburg, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,632
- Household income
- $52,571
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 552.0
Population outlook (Lynchburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 87,977 people
- By 2030
- 93,626 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 106,145 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 120,783 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 162,249 · +84.4%
- By 2100
- 191,358 · +117.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 40% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lynchburg
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+7.9) · D 45.4% · R 53.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -4.0pp · 2024: -7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+7.9 2020: D+2.6 2016: R+9.0 2012: R+10.6 2008: R+4.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.39%
- Current HPI
- 229.4423
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.56%
- Metro
- Lynchburg, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+408.4% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Listed $174,900 LMLS
- 2026-01-18 Price Changed $179,900 LMLS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $189,900 LMLS
- 2025-10-19 Price Changed $199,000 LMLS
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed $212,000 LMLS
- 2025-08-19 Listed $219,500 LMLS
- 2025-05-09 Rental Removed $1,000 Avail
- 2025-05-01 Listed for Rent $1,000 Avail
- 2025-02-14 Sold (MLS) $128,000 LMLS
- 2024-12-21 Pending — LMLS
- 2024-12-17 Listed $129,900 LMLS
- 2022-07-19 Price Changed $750 RENT.
- 2003-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $34,800 Public Records
- 1998-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $34,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,069 · +112.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…