520 Linda Vista Dr · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Unique opportunity in Pontiac offering space, flexibility, and value all in one! This well-maintained 2-bedroom home can easily be converted back to a 3-bedroom layout, giving you options to fit your needs. Enjoy a spacious primary bedroom, a brand new furnace (2025) for peace of mind, and a versatile basement perfect for storage, additional living space, or future bedroom potential. Carter's Plumbing recently replaced the water service from the curb stop to the house (2026; receipts available). Step outside to a fully fenced backyard and brand new deck (2026) providing privacy and security — ideal for pets, entertaining, or simply relaxing outdoors. Conveniently located near major ro
Key facts
- Brand new deck
- Versatile basement
- Conveniently located
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.4% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Herrington School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,300 of 1,397 statewide, top 94%, 287 students, 88% FRL); Pontiac Middle School (math 8% / reading 23%, grade F, #450 of 493 statewide, top 91%, 729 students, 81% FRL); Pontiac High School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #622 of 713 statewide, top 88%, 935 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools at 81% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.06%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,719
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -26.08%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd N | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,677 (+0%) | 10mo | $170,000 | $101 | 84 |
| 207 Victory Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,870 (+12%) | 6mo | $195,000 | $104 | 63 |
| 679 Linda Vista Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,890 (+13%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $79 | 63 |
| 576 Markle Ave | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,633 (-3%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $95 | 60 |
| 730 Stirling St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,712 (+2%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $105 | 58 |
| 755 Scottwood St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,450 (-14%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $100 | 48 |
| 608 Brady Ln | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,880 (+12%) | 8mo | $274,999 | $146 | 46 |
| 596 Brady Ln | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,880 (+12%) | 9mo | $279,999 | $149 | 46 |
| 570 E Kennett Rd | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,475 (-12%) | 12mo | $143,170 | $97 | 45 |
| 615 Lenox Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,912 (+14%) | 1mo | $192,000 | $100 | 42 |
| 663 Lenox Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,886 (+12%) | 8mo | $182,000 | $97 | 42 |
| 777 Emerson Ave | 0.75mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,797 (+7%) | 6mo | $207,000 | $115 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $2,188
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $31,723
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48342
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,475 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $775/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $365
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $439 | -5% $402 | +0% $365 | +5% $329 | +10% $292 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $249 | -5% $307 | +0% $365 | +5% $424 | +10% $482 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $431 | -0.5pp $398 | base $365 | +0.5pp $332 | +1.0pp $298 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 188 Vernon Dr Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 26d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 26d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 264 Nelson St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1478 | $1,590 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 90 Marquette St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1886 | $1,800 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 107 N Sanford St Pontiac, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1467 | $1,750 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 49 Oakhill St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,575 | $1.31 | 26d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 38 N Shirley St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1174 | $1,425 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 128 S Edith St Pontiac, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 19d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-03historical
-
2026-04-03historical
-
2026-04-03$129,900 Active
-
2026-04-03$129,900 Active
-
2026-02-12$124,900 Active
-
2026-02-12$124,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $775 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,388 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$613/yr (+$51/mo · 79.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,702
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$775
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,416
- − Management
- −$1,416
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $2,390
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$574
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,812/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- City population
- 44,593
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,227
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.18%
- Current HPI
- 214.3258
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+4.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-02-12 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $775 · -10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…