640 S Magnolia · Laurel, MS
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 97.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment Opportunity! 4-plex investment opportunity featuring a mix of units including one 4/2, two 2/1s, and two 1/1s. New roof installed in 2021 and plumbing updates completed in 2024. Property needs work and is being sold as-is. Will qualify for 203k renovation financing or cash only. Great potential for value-add investors.
Key facts
- New roof installed
- 0.3 acre lot
- Built 1935
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 8-bed/?-bath other listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $786 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#92 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
- Laurel School District (town): math 16% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #101 of 130 in MS (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Laurel Middle School (math 14% / reading 15%, grade F, #133 of 179 statewide, top 76%, 555 students, 100% FRL); Laurel High School (math 11% / reading 12%, grade F, #166 of 197 statewide, top 85%, 708 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Jones County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jones County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.64%
- DSCR
- 2.90
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.69×
- Total profit
- $37,289
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 45.8%
- Equity multiple
- 5.39×
- Total profit
- $97,051
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39440
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,694 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $786
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-02-09soldstatus Closed 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Investment Opportunity! 4-plex investment opportunity featuring a mix of units including one 4/2, two 2/1s, and two 1/1s. New roof installed in 2021 and plumbing updates completed in 2024. Property needs work and is being sold as-is. Will qualify for 203k renovation financing or cash only. Great potential for value-add investors.
-
2026-01-28status Pending 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Investment Opportunity! 4-plex investment opportunity featuring a mix of units including one 4/2, two 2/1s, and two 1/1s. New roof installed in 2021 and plumbing updates completed in 2024. Property needs work and is being sold as-is. Will qualify for 203k renovation financing or cash only. Great potential for value-add investors.
-
2026-01-28status Pending
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Investment Opportunity! 4-plex investment opportunity featuring a mix of units including one 4/2, two 2/1s, and two 1/1s. New roof installed in 2021 and plumbing updates completed in 2024. Property needs work and is being sold as-is. Will qualify for 203k renovation financing or cash only. Great potential for value-add investors.
-
2026-01-15$79,000 Active
-
2026-01-13$79,000 Active 331-char remark
Show marketing remark (331 chars)
Investment Opportunity! 4-plex investment opportunity featuring a mix of units including one 4/2, two 2/1s, and two 1/1s. New roof installed in 2021 and plumbing updates completed in 2024. Property needs work and is being sold as-is. Will qualify for 203k renovation financing or cash only. Great potential for value-add investors.
-
2025-10-07status Active
-
2025-07-29status Pending
-
2025-04-23status Active
-
2025-04-07price $82,500
-
2025-03-24price $95,000
-
2025-03-05price $105,000
-
2025-01-27price $110,000
-
2024-10-22$115,000 Active
-
2024-06-13$135,000 Active
-
2023-02-23soldstatus
-
2020-05-14$65,000
-
2005-04-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,327
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,260
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,626
- − Management
- −$1,626
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $8,696
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,087
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,345/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Laurel School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802460
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,415
- Composite
- 13.36/100
- National rank
- #9535
- State rank
- #101 of 130 in MS
Livability — Laurel
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #92
- US rank
- #11413
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Laurel, MS
- City population
- 20,111
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,111
Population outlook (Jones County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,800 people
- By 2030
- 68,773 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 68,087 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 66,241 · -3.7%
- By 2075
- 58,600 · -14.8%
- By 2100
- 45,744 · -33.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 30% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Jones
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.8) · D 26.2% · R 73.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.6pp · 2024: -46.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.8 2020: R+42.2 2016: R+43.6 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+38.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.63%
- Current HPI
- 126.2541
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+21.5% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Sold (MLS) — HAAR
- 2026-01-28 Pending — HAAR
- 2026-01-28 Pending — LBOR
- 2026-01-15 Listed $79,000 LBOR
- 2026-01-13 Listed $79,000 HAAR
- 2025-10-07 Relisted — HAAR
- 2025-07-29 Pending — HAAR
- 2025-04-23 Relisted — HAAR
- 2025-04-07 Price Changed $82,500 HAAR
- 2025-03-24 Price Changed $95,000 HAAR
- 2025-03-05 Price Changed $105,000 HAAR
- 2025-01-27 Price Changed $110,000 HAAR
- 2024-10-22 Listed $115,000 HAAR
- 2024-06-13 Listed $135,000 HAAR
- 2023-02-23 Sold (MLS) — HAAR
- 2020-05-14 Listed $65,000 HAAR
- 2005-04-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,260 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…