120 Caraker Ave · Milledgeville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic opportunity in Milledgeville! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home offers 1,344 square feet of living space on a level lot in a walkable, convenient location near shopping and everyday amenities. The home features a spacious floorplan, front and rear porches, and public utilities! This property is ready to bring in rental income, and/or has excellent potential as a flip, with plenty of room for further customization! Ideal for investors or first-time buyers looking to add value and bring their vision to life! Don't miss the chance to transform this home into something special!
Key facts
- Level lot
- Ranch-style home
- Rental income
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; Driveway parking; Level driveway; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Underground utilities; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: One-level home; Resale property
- Construction: Shingle roof; Block foundation; Other construction materials
- Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Other exterior features; Paved city street frontage; Near shopping; Street lights
Interior
- Kitchen: White cabinets; Laminate countertops; Other kitchen features
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; Primary suite on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Master bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Zoned heating; Cooling: other
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; No shared/common walls; Crawl space foundation
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $639 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 3.3% in Milledgeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#134 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
- Baldwin County (town): math 13% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #152 of 174 in GA (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Midway Hills Primary (484 students, 89% FRL); Oak Hill Ms (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #372 of 470 statewide, top 80%, 986 students, 89% FRL); Baldwin High School (math 10% / reading 21%, grade F, #290 of 424 statewide, top 69%, 1,311 students, 89% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 72% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 380 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 202 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $69k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.67%
- DSCR
- 2.77
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,194
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -29.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140A Bell Ave SE | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,312 (-2%) | 10mo | $96,000 | $73 | 72 |
| 144 Bell Ave SE | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 5mo | $38,000 | $30 | 69 |
| 300 Cline Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 11mo | $124,000 | $108 | 57 |
| 701 Nelson Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (+6%) | 18mo | $100,000 | $70 | 53 |
| 163 Swint Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-6%) | 17mo | $21,000 | $17 | 45 |
| 1510 James Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+12%) | 18mo | $83,000 | $55 | 44 |
| 100 Oak Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,194 (-11%) | 3mo | $116,000 | $97 | 42 |
| 1815 SE Vinson Hwy | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 19mo | $65,000 | $45 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.05% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 37.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $30,964
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 44.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.42×
- Total profit
- $85,482
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31061
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 380
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,370 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $640/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $639
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $678 | -5% $658 | +0% $639 | +5% $619 | +10% $600 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $530 | -5% $585 | +0% $639 | +5% $693 | +10% $747 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $673 | -0.5pp $656 | base $639 | +0.5pp $621 | +1.0pp $603 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180 Carter Pl SW Milledgeville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,125 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 399 Allen Memorial Dr SW Milledgeville, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1209 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 205 Ivey Dr SW Milledgeville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $1,299 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 241 S Irwin St Unit 62Unit 62 Milledgeville, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1470 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$69,000 New 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Fantastic opportunity in Milledgeville! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home offers 1,344 square feet of living space on a level lot in a walkable, convenient location near shopping and everyday amenities. The home features a spacious floorplan, front and rear porches, and public utilities! This property is ready to bring in rental income, and/or has excellent potential as a flip, with plenty of room for further customization! Ideal for investors or first-time buyers looking to add value and bring their vision to life! Don't miss the chance to transform this home into something special!
-
2026-05-01$69,000 Active 596-char remark
Show marketing remark (596 chars)
Fantastic opportunity in Milledgeville! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath ranch-style home offers 1,344 square feet of living space on a level lot in a walkable, convenient location near shopping and everyday amenities. The home features a spacious floorplan, front and rear porches, and public utilities! This property is ready to bring in rental income, and/or has excellent potential as a flip, with plenty of room for further customization! Ideal for investors or first-time buyers looking to add value and bring their vision to life! Don't miss the chance to transform this home into something special!
-
2026-04-30historical
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2026-04-28historical
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2026-03-26price $69,000
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2026-03-26price $69,000
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2026-02-27$79,000 New
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2026-02-27$79,000 Active
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2026-02-26historical
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2026-02-26historical
-
2026-01-02$79,000 Active
-
2026-01-02$79,000 New
-
2026-01-01historical
-
2025-11-20$79,000 New
-
2025-11-19historical
-
2025-11-19historical
-
2025-11-14price $79,000
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2025-11-14price $79,000
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2025-09-24price $85,000
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2025-09-24price $85,000
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2025-07-23$98,000 New
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2025-07-21$98,000 Active
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2024-07-31soldstatus $32,000 Closed
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2024-07-31soldstatus $32,000 Sold
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2024-07-16status Under Contract
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2024-07-16historical Active Under Contract
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2024-07-10$45,000 Active
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2024-07-03$45,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $640 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $640 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,446
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$640
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,316
- − Management
- −$1,316
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $6,957
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,670
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,995/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 1300210
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,615
- Composite
- 13.61/100
- National rank
- #9508
- State rank
- #152 of 174 in GA
Livability — Milledgeville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #9206
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milledgeville, GA
- County
- Baldwin County · 41,764 people
- City population
- 41,764
- Metro
- Milledgeville, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,764
- Household income
- $54,263
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1630.0
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,602 people
- By 2030
- 45,481 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 44,310 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 42,129 · -7.6%
- By 2075
- 36,819 · -19.3%
- By 2100
- 29,320 · -35.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 43% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.6% · R 50.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.8pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.2 2020: D+1.3 2016: D+1.7 2012: D+5.5 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.16%
- Current HPI
- 241.3758
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.05%
- Metro
- Milledgeville, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+53.3% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $69,000 FMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $69,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $69,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-26 Price Changed $69,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $79,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $79,000 GAMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $79,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-02 Listed $79,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-01 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-11-20 Listed $79,000 GAMLS
- 2025-11-19 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-11-19 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $79,000 GAMLS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $79,000 FMLS
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $85,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $85,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-23 Listed $98,000 GAMLS
- 2025-07-21 Listed $98,000 FMLS
- 2024-07-31 Sold (MLS) $32,000 GAMLS
- 2024-07-31 Sold (MLS) $32,000 MGMLS
- 2024-07-16 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-07-16 Contingent — MGMLS
- 2024-07-10 Listed $45,000 MGMLS
- 2024-07-03 Listed $45,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+38.4%/yrLatest (2025): $640 · +149.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…