CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1307 Edgerly Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 74.13
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

1307 Edgerly Ave · Albany, GA 31701
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 973 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 129 Days on market
Built 1946 10,454 sqft lot Est $75k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

~ CUTE COTTAGE FOR SALE ~ RENTAL OPPORTUNITY WITH AN ESTABLISHED TENANT IN PLACE ~ Rent is $500 per month! Covered back porch! Central heating and air! Excellent opportunity at a turnkey rental situation!

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1946

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Located in the Highland Park subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; Single story
  • Construction: Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Pantry
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $49,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$74,921) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $273 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($775 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 4.7% in Albany — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#371 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety B+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Dougherty County (urban): math 12% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #163 of 174 in GA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 177 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 45 units permitted in Dougherty County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dougherty County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 97% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
12.85%
Cash-on-cash
23.43%
DSCR
2.04
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$74,921
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1305 Highland Ave 0.07mi 3/1.0 (+1) 918 (-6%) 6mo $58,500 $64 73
1013 Whitney Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 996 (+2%) 3mo $13,830 $14 64
1704 W Highland Ave 0.54mi 2/1.0 900 (-8%) 14mo $78,000 $87 46
1709 Gillespie Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,042 (+7%) 17mo $80,000 $77 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.5%
Equity multiple
1.67×
Total profit
$9,295
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
25.1%
Equity multiple
3.18×
Total profit
$30,498
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31701

Home prices YoY
-27.3%
Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$775 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $689/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$163
Net cashflow
$273

Break-even live

Break-even rent $430
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $301 -5% $287 +0% $273 +5% $259 +10% $245
Rent -10% $211 -5% $242 +0% $273 +5% $303 +10% $334
Rate -1.0pp $298 -0.5pp $285 base $273 +0.5pp $260 +1.0pp $247

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1214 Gillespie Ave Unit 1 Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 21d 1 0.16mi
1210 Gillespie Ave Unit A Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 650 $550 $0.85 21d 1 0.16mi
1502 Gillespie Ave Albany, GA 3.0 1.0 1104 $875 $0.79 21d 1 0.32mi
309 S Cleveland St Unit 309 Cleveland-A Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 804 $650 $0.81 21d 1 0.49mi
1204 Julia Ave Apt B Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 796 $900 $1.13 21d 1 0.69mi
1308 Maryland Dr Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 988 $750 $0.76 21d 1 0.95mi
410 Endicott Ln Albany, GA 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,295 $1.20 21d 1 1.07mi
2133 W Gordon Ave Albany, GA 2.0 2.0 840 $750 $0.89 21d 1 1.23mi
727 Lippitt Dr Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 525 $750 $1.43 21d 1 1.28mi
701 W Society Ave Albany, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0 723 $649 $0.90 21d 1 1.36mi
921 W 4th Ave Unit A Albany, GA 1.0 1.0 775 $525 $0.68 21d 1 1.41mi
906 N Van Buren St Albany, GA 2.0 1.0 835 $695 $0.83 21d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $49,900 Active 129 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 128 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 127 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 126 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 125 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,900 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 122 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,900 Active 120 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 119 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 118 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 117 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $49,900 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 112 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 111 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 110 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $49,900 Active 109 DOM
  17. 2026-01-29
    listed $49,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$689 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$689 · $57/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 97% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,306
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$689
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$744
− Management
−$744
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$2,632
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$632
After-tax cash flow
$2,641/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dougherty County
NCES district ID
1301830
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$33,105
Composite
11.31/100
National rank
#9716
State rank
#163 of 174 in GA

Livability — Albany

Score
60/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#18903

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Albany, GA
County
Dougherty County · 89,040 people
City population
89,040
Metro
Albany, GA
Population (ZIP)
16,135
Household income
$35,025
Rent vs Own
66.9% rent · 33.1% own
Severe rent burden
1383.0

Population outlook (Dougherty County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,551 people
By 2030
80,637 · -4.6%
By 2040
72,090 · -14.7%
By 2050
64,056 · -24.2%
By 2075
46,332 · -45.2%
By 2100
33,127 · -60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% White 21% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dougherty

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.1) · D 70.4% · R 29.3%
2008→2024 swing
+6.2pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 41.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.1 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+38.3 2012: D+39.0 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.55%
Current HPI
145.4604
Rent YoY
Metro
Albany, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $49,900 SWGABOR

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $689 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…