2500 S 370th St #118 · Lakeland South, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well cared for 1152 sq ft double wide manufactured home in Kloshee Illahee just off I-5 near Enchanted Village. 55+ community offers resort style amenities. The 2bed, 2bath freshly painted interior is well maintained, open concept with vaulted ceilings & plenty of natural lighting. Master bath has walk in shower, half bath, a tub. Dining space has a built in hutch for storage & dish wear display. The 2nd bedroom opens to a newly constructed deck in the backyard. The path along the side of the home leads to the mailboxes and guest parking in one direction and the clubhouse just beyond the field in the other direction. The newly renovated clubhouse has a pool, exercise space, bocc
Key facts
- Open concept
- Walk in shower
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.7% vs local median 2.9% in Lakeland South — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#113 in WA, #2,299 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Federal Way School District (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #207 of 291 in WA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 233 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 255 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $71k (44%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $89k implies a 271% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 255 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.23%
- DSCR
- 3.77
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $126,217
- List price
- $89,000
- Delta
- -29.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2500 S 370th St #32 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 0mo | $84,000 | $67 | 86 |
| 2430 S 371st St #49 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+4%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $158 | 83 |
| 37301 28th Ave S | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $160 | 77 |
| 2500 S 370th St #112 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 14mo | $118,000 | $95 | 75 |
| 2500 S 370th St #61 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 12mo | $74,500 | $60 | 73 |
| 2500 S 370th St #40 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,296 (+12%) | 14mo | $82,000 | $63 | 68 |
| 2500 S 370th St #146 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 21mo | $69,900 | $56 | 65 |
| 2500 Alder St #214 | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (+8%) | 18mo | $65,000 | $52 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 60.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $66,305
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 64.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.31×
- Total profit
- $157,323
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98003
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,414 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$507
- Net cashflow
- $1,292
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,354 | -5% $1,323 | +0% $1,292 | +5% $1,262 | +10% $1,231 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,102 | -5% $1,197 | +0% $1,292 | +5% $1,388 | +10% $1,483 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,337 | -0.5pp $1,315 | base $1,292 | +0.5pp $1,269 | +1.0pp $1,246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1926 S 368th Pl #206 Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1176 | $2,995 | $2.55 | 2d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 35929 21st Pl S Federal Way, WA | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1174 | $2,650 | $2.26 | 0d | 5 | 0.72mi |
| 2020 S 360th St Federal Way, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $1,915 | $1.97 | 2d | 24 | 0.80mi |
| 1211 S 376th St Milton, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $3,350 | $3.52 | 0d | 65 | 0.96mi |
| 35703 16th Ave S Federal Way, WA | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1098 | $1,874 | $1.71 | 2d | 28 | 1.15mi |
| 207 Meridian Ave E Edgewood, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 835 | $2,498 | $2.99 | 0d | 18 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 247 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-04-03price $89,000
-
2026-03-13status Active
-
2026-01-10status Active
-
2025-12-22status Pending
-
2025-12-19status Active
-
2025-12-13status Pending
-
2025-11-23price $99,950
-
2025-09-05price $120,000
-
2025-09-04$160,000 Active
-
2014-08-14historical
-
2014-08-08soldstatus $24,000 Sold
-
2014-06-10status Pending
-
2014-06-10price $28,000
-
2014-03-24$30,000 Active
-
2003-07-02soldstatus $36,900
-
2003-04-01$36,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,973
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,318
- − Management
- −$2,318
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $14,982
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,596
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,912/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Federal Way School District
- NCES district ID
- 5302820
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,594
- Composite
- 38.79/100
- National rank
- #8361
- State rank
- #207 of 291 in WA
Livability — Lakeland South
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #2299
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakeland South, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 102,067
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,619
- Household income
- $75,319
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2895.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 19% Two or more races 16% Asian 13% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Swedish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -623.87%
- Current HPI
- 327.5371
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.33%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+141.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $89,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-10 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-22 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-19 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-13 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-23 Price Changed $99,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-05 Price Changed $120,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-04 Listed $160,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-14 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-08 Sold (MLS) $24,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-10 Price Changed $28,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-06-10 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-03-24 Listed $30,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-07-02 Sold (MLS) $36,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-01 Listed $36,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…