7095 & 7097 Milton Dr · East Milton, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This OLD House Project. .. .. Calling . . All Do-It- Yourself Investors/Builders /Rehaber's Corner Lot. .Walk Around the block . . to Fishing . and water sports Bring all your Construction Talent to this one. .. .Selling Property . .. .As IS . .. Duplex in prime location . .Fix It , Keep It for long term Rental Income, Or Flip It . .. Only One Mile from Historical Down Town Milton Fl. .. Yes . .you can live in one unit and rent the 2nd unit for passive income. .. Win Win. .. .This is a very Special "Historical Land Mark Site". .. .. This is your chance Hurry call your Realtor for showing. ..
Key facts
- East milton location
- Historical landmark
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a other listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 4.6% in East Milton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#199 in FL, #3,139 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, commute F.
- Santa Rosa (suburban): math 63% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 73 in FL (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Martin Luther King Middle School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 660 students, 69% FRL); Milton High School (math 44% / reading 42%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,085 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 36% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Santa Rosa average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 822 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,983 units permitted in Santa Rosa County in 2024 (128 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Santa Rosa County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.40%
- DSCR
- 2.04
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.75×
- Total profit
- $18,727
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.63×
- Total profit
- $65,467
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32583
- Home prices YoY
- -11.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 822
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,394 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $486
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $547 | -5% $517 | +0% $486 | +5% $455 | +10% $424 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $376 | -5% $431 | +0% $486 | +5% $541 | +10% $596 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $531 | -0.5pp $509 | base $486 | +0.5pp $463 | +1.0pp $439 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5394 Munson Hwy Milton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5376 Conecuh St Milton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,400 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6567 Park Ave NW Unit D Milton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $925 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 6567 Park Ave Unit A Milton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $925 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $89,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-19statusdays on market $89,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Contingent 238 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Contingent 237 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Contingent 234 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Contingent 233 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Contingent 232 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Contingent 231 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Contingent 230 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Contingent 229 DOM
-
2026-04-25historical Contingent
-
2026-04-20status Active
-
2026-04-16historical Contingent
-
2026-03-24price $89,000
-
2026-01-05price $99,700
-
2025-10-13$139,500 Active
-
2008-03-06historical
-
2008-01-31historical
-
2006-08-28$129,000
-
2006-07-07$139,900
-
2001-09-25soldstatus $212,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,724
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,338
- − Management
- −$1,338
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $4,694
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,126
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,705/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Santa Rosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201650
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,161
- Composite
- 53.12/100
- National rank
- #1511
- State rank
- #8 of 73 in FL
Livability — East Milton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #3139
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Milton, FL
- County
- Santa Rosa County · 194,764 people
- City population
- 31,415
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,828
- Household income
- $85,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 122.0
Population outlook (Santa Rosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,978 people
- By 2030
- 209,782 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 235,293 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 256,408 · +30.8%
- By 2075
- 298,074 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 303,216 · +54.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 11% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Santa Rosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.1% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+46.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+52.6 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.35%
- Current HPI
- 301.8819
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.53%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-58.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — PARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Contingent — PARMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $89,000 PARMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $99,700 PARMLS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $139,500 PARMLS
- 2008-03-06 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2008-01-31 Listing Removed — PARMLS
- 2006-08-28 Listed $129,000 PARMLS
- 2006-07-07 Listed $139,900 PARMLS
- 2001-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $212,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-11.4%/yrLatest (2025): $135 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…