530 First Ave · Conway, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LOCATION IS THE KEY TO THIS PROPERTY. EASY ACCESS TO THE INTERSTATW, SHOPPING, RESTURANTS, AND SO MUCH MORE. A LITTLE TLC WILL BRING THIS CHARMER BACK TO ITS GLORY DAYS! CALL CSS FOR SHOWINGS.
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- Built 1966
- Listed 30 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Financing options: Conventional loan, cash, or in-house financing
Exterior
- Parking: Parking pads
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Electricity (municipal/Entergy); Natural gas
- Home design: Frame exterior
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Paved road access; Inside city limits
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing stove; Electric range; Refrigerator stays; Formica countertops
- Bedrooms: Great Room (other room listed)
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central gas heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Washer connection; Electric dryer connection; Gas water heater; Walk-in shower; Kitchen countertops - Formica
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (1.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.9% in Conway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#71 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Conway School District (urban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #36 of 238 in AR (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 865 units permitted in Faulkner County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Faulkner County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.58%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $144,384
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 530 First Ave | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,128 (0%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $89 | 96 |
| 555 Factory St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 1,092 (-3%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $114 | 74 |
| 558 Ingram St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 1,034 (-8%) | 3mo | $141,000 | $136 | 72 |
| 521 Fifth Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,246 (+10%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $128 | 60 |
| 508 Ingram St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+11%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $44 | 60 |
| 514 First St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,018 (-10%) | 8mo | $137,600 | $135 | 57 |
| 525 Second St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 990 (-12%) | 13mo | $99,000 | $100 | 54 |
| 524 Monroe St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,046 (-7%) | 14mo | $170,000 | $163 | 51 |
| 612 W Sixth St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,272 (+13%) | 9mo | $176,000 | $138 | 43 |
| 910 6th St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,288 (+14%) | 9mo | $150,000 | $116 | 38 |
| 401 Durham St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-15%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $141 | 31 |
| 406 Durham | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-15%) | 13mo | $80,000 | $83 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-10,316
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,263
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72032
- Home prices YoY
- -17.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 8.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,228 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $848/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $192
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $263 | -5% $227 | +0% $192 | +5% $156 | +10% $121 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $95 | -5% $143 | +0% $192 | +5% $240 | +10% $289 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $255 | -0.5pp $224 | base $192 | +0.5pp $159 | +1.0pp $126 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 513 3rd St Conway, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,250 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 100 Bill Hegeman Blvd Conway, AR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 827 | $1,195 | $1.44 | 15d | 5 | 0.37mi |
| 235 Oliver St Conway, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,450 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1410 Robins St #4 Conway, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,150 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1230 Clifton St Unit 3 Conway, AR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 881 | $880 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1305 Clifton St Conway, AR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $985 | $0.81 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 200 S Ash St Conway, AR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 871 | $800 | $0.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 867 Fendley Dr Conway, AR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,009 | $1.05 | 15d | 5 | 1.38mi |
| 1750 Village Commons Dr Conway, AR | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 885 | $1,030 | $1.16 | 15d | 3 | 1.46mi |
| 114 S Mitchell St Unit A Conway, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1425 Ola St Conway, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $2,600 | $2.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $125,000 Under Contract 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-06$125,000 New Listing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $848 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $848 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,735
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$848
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,179
- − Management
- −$1,179
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $267
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$64
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,238/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Conway School District
- NCES district ID
- 0504590
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 38.27/100
- National rank
- #4236
- State rank
- #36 of 238 in AR
Livability — Conway
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #71
- US rank
- #8673
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Conway, AR
- County
- Faulkner County · 103,634 people
- City population
- 84,754
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,469
- Household income
- $64,695
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 916.0
Population outlook (Faulkner County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,985 people
- By 2030
- 148,264 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 166,010 · +19.4%
- By 2050
- 183,362 · +31.9%
- By 2075
- 224,593 · +61.6%
- By 2100
- 250,603 · +80.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Faulkner
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.3) · D 32.6% · R 64.9% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -25.3pp · 2024: -32.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.3 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+31.6 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+25.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -48.15%
- Current HPI
- 234.6331
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $125,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $848 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…