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504 W Lacy Dr
B- Composite 68.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

504 W Lacy Dr · Palestine, TX 75801
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,078 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1925 3,497 sqft lot ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Older Home that Is Currently Rented For $555.00 Per Month. Bank Owned Property Thru Foreclosure. Property Is In Fair condition To Be sold In As Is condition. Can Be Bought With MLS 84810.

Key facts

  • 3,497 sq ft lot
  • Built 1925
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking; No garage; Concrete parking surface
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built as a single-story
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Chain link fence; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Vinyl flooring; One fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $366 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.9% in Palestine — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#657 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools D, employment D.
  • Palestine ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #509 of 826 in TX (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 196 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 29 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anderson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.46%
Cap rate
11.79%
Cash-on-cash
19.63%
DSCR
1.87
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.7%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$10,378
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
20.7%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$39,126
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75801

Home prices YoY
-35.0%
Active inventory
196
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,166 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,238/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$366

Break-even live

Break-even rent $703
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1600 E Murchison St Palestine, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $787 $1.12 43d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $79,900 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 614-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,238 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,462 · $122/mo
Expected delta
+$224/yr (+$19/mo · 18.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,995
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,238
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,120
− Management
−$1,120
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,319
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$797
After-tax cash flow
$3,595/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palestine ISD
NCES district ID
4834050
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,881
Composite
30.34/100
National rank
#6267
State rank
#509 of 826 in TX

Livability — Palestine

Score
66/100
State rank
#657
US rank
#12357

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Palestine, TX
County
Anderson County · 17,531 people
City population
17,531
Metro
Palestine, TX
Population (ZIP)
17,531
Household income
$56,787
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
609.0

Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
56,663 people
By 2030
57,373 · +1.3%
By 2040
58,960 · +4.1%
By 2050
59,073 · +4.3%
By 2075
53,737 · -5.2%
By 2100
42,516 · -25.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 15% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Anderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.8) · D 18.8% · R 80.6%
2008→2024 swing
-18.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.5pp · 2024: -61.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.8 2020: R+58.0 2016: R+58.1 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+43.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.17%
Current HPI
154.6138
Rent YoY
Metro
Palestine, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $79,900 PAOR
  • 2014-07-07 Sold (MLS) PAOR
  • 2014-05-14 Listed $24,900 PAOR
  • 2014-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2007-09-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,238 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…