9 Kiowa Ct #9 · Coram, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Cash flow +2.4/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to your dream home in the highly sought-after North Isle Community in Coram! This beautiful open concept ground-level one-bedroom co-op is all about LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION, offering the ultimate in convenience. Situated just a stroll away from the laundry room, parking, and everything you need right at your fingertips. Enjoy resort-style living with top-tier amenities including a pool, gym, clubhouse, tennis courts, sauna, and much more. The common charges include: hot water, heating, snow removal, gas, landscaping, garbage removal and more-allowing for stress-free living. Located just minutes from the Long Island Expressway, this home is perfect for commuters and offers easy access to shopping, dining, and entertainment. Good investment property as well! It's cash flowing!! Don't miss this opportunity! Why rent, when you can own!!!
Key facts
- Open concept
- Top-tier amenities
- Pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-664 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $94k (50.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (50.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 2.1% vs local median 3.5% in Coram — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#646 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Longwood Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #235 of 590 in NY (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Longwood High School (math 90% / reading 77%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 2,977 students, 44% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 84% at this address vs 58% district-wide (+26 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Longwood Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 65d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 49% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 51% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 2.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -14.98%
- DSCR
- 0.33
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $215,580
- List price
- $189,999
- Delta
- -11.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Idaho #11 | 0.08mi | 1/1.0 | 800 (0%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $294 | 94 |
| 8 Idaho Unit i8 | 0.09mi | 1/1.0 | 800 (0%) | 2mo | $209,990 | $262 | 94 |
| 3 Laramie Ct Unit L3 | 0.06mi | 1/1.0 | 750 (-6%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $293 | 84 |
| 30 Kiowa Ct Unit K30 | 0.02mi | 1/1.0 | 700 (-12%) | 4mo | $168,000 | $240 | 75 |
| 138 N Pointe Cir #138 | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+12%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $256 | 66 |
| 79 Pointe Circle South #79 | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 (+1) | 875 (+9%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $223 | 63 |
| 197 N Pointe Cir #197 | 0.15mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 950 (+19%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $263 | 60 |
| 255 Sagamore Hills Dr | 1.17mi | 1/1.0 | 826 (+3%) | 0mo | $330,000 | $400 | 59 |
| 172 Pointe Cir N #172 | 0.18mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 957 (+20%) | 2mo | $249,990 | $261 | 58 |
| 27 Hearthside Dr | 1.21mi | 1/1.0 | 844 (+6%) | 3mo | $399,000 | $473 | 53 |
| 10 Gettysburg Ct | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 916 (+14%) | 1mo | $420,000 | $459 | 43 |
| 65 Federal Ln | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 916 (+14%) | 2mo | $410,000 | $448 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.66% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -40.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.29×
- Total profit
- $-68,750
- Equity at exit
- $28,329
- IRR
- -38.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.81×
- Total profit
- $-96,077
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 1 active · 4 under contract
- Median asking
- $229,990 ($287/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 94 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- -6.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 11727
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 278
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,149 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,850/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$1,049
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$451
- Net cashflow
- $-664
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-533 | -5% $-598 | +0% $-664 | +5% $-730 | +10% $-795 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-834 | -5% $-749 | +0% $-664 | +5% $-579 | +10% $-494 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-568 | -0.5pp $-616 | base $-664 | +0.5pp $-713 | +1.0pp $-763 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Houston Ct #10 Coram, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,150 | $3.31 | 71d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5 Laramie Ct Unit 5 Coram, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,150 | $2.87 | 73d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 11 Laramie Ct Unit 11 Coram, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,100 | $2.80 | 66d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 21 Sierra Ct Unit 21 Coram, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,895 | $2.92 | 93d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 23 Sierra Ct Unit 23 Coram, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,995 | $3.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 39 Fargo Ct Unit 39 Coram, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,000 | $3.08 | 93d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 119 Sequoia Dr Coram, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 64d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 27 Stuart Dr Coram, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $2,000 | $3.81 | 0d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 5 Whitney Ln Coram, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $1,900 | $3.44 | 93d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1 Avalon Pines Dr Coram, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1108 | $2,869 | $2.59 | 0d | 14 | 1.04mi |
| 36 Wedgewood Dr Coram, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,975 | $3.04 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1 Leesburg Ct Mount Sinai, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,800 | $2.02 | 26d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 100 Stonegate Way Middle Island, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1058 | $2,725 | $2.58 | 0d | 5 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail $1,049/mo · $12,588/yr condo
- Likely covers
- watertrashgaslandscapingsnow removalpoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $189,999 Active 137 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $189,999 Active 135 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $189,999 Active 134 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $189,999 Active 133 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $189,999 Active 132 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $189,999 Active 129 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $189,999 Active 127 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $189,999 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $189,999 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $189,999 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $189,999 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $189,999 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $189,999 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $189,999 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $189,999 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $189,999 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $189,999 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $189,999 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $189,999 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $189,999 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $189,999 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $189,999 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $189,999 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $189,999 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $189,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $189,999 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $189,999 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $189,999 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $189,999 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $189,999 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $189,999 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $189,999 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $189,999 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $189,999 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $189,999 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $189,999 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-24days on market $189,999 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $189,999 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $189,999 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,999 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,999 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,999 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,999 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,999 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,999 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,999 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,999 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,999 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $189,999 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,999 Active 71 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,794
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$2,850
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,063
- − Management
- −$2,063
- − HOA
- −$12,588
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$10,892
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,614
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,354/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained one-bedroom condo in Coram, NY, offers a good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Aesthetic update needed
- Minor Kitchen countertops — Clean and freshen up
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Replace dated kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the space and adds value ↑
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale Replace dated flooring — Modern flooring improves aesthetics ↑
- Resale Replace dated kitchen countertops — Freshens up the kitchen and adds value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Longwood Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3619230
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,748
- Composite
- 51.63/100
- National rank
- #1703
- State rank
- #235 of 590 in NY
Livability — Coram
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #646
- US rank
- #12097
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coram, NY
- County
- Suffolk County · 1,505,262 people
- City population
- 28,495
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,495
- Household income
- $103,287
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12% of renters
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 18% Black 15% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 8% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -571.88%
- Current HPI
- 388.8297
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.66%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
-4.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Listed $189,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-11 Listed $199,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…