28-08 21st St Unit 2-B · New York, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
$595,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Twenty8, Astoria’s newest boutique condominium collection, offering a fresh, modern lifestyle in one of New York’s most vibrant and inviting neighborhoods. Residence 2B is a thoughtfully designed one-bedroom residence that blends modern comfort with functional elegance in the heart of Astoria. This bright, east-facing home is filled with natural morning light and offers open views of the surrounding Queens cityscape. A private 42sqft balcony extends the living space outdoors—perfect for enjoying a quiet coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. The kitchens feature custom matte white-and-grey cabinetry paired with elegant white quartz countertops and a stunning
Key facts
- Custom cabinetry
- Quartz countertops
- Private balcony
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $364; Pets allowed in building
Exterior
- Parking: Has garage
- Security:
- Utilities:
- Home design: 8-story building; Entry on level 2; East exposures
- Construction:
- Exterior features: Balcony; Private outdoor space under 60 sqft; Building roof deck; Building storage
Interior
- Kitchen:
- Bedrooms:
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 3 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: In-unit washer; In-unit dryer; Building allows washer/dryer installation
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $595k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-509 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $521k (12.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $502k (15.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $502k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,022/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 2407% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $976 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($559k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.67%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.16% appreciation · 4.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-35,708
- Equity at exit
- $177,668
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $50,863
- Equity at exit
- $217,514
Cash invested: $166,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11102
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 114
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,022 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,120
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$744 /mo · $8,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$248
- HOA
- −$364
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,055
- Net cashflow
- $-509
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-98 | -5% $-303 | +0% $-509 | +5% $-714 | +10% $-920 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-906 | -5% $-707 | +0% $-509 | +5% $-311 | +10% $-112 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-209 | -0.5pp $-358 | base $-509 | +0.5pp $-663 | +1.0pp $-820 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $148,750
- Closing costs
- $17,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1420 27th Ave Astoria, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $3,237 | $3.65 | 0d | 10 | 0.15mi |
| 888 Main St New York, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 908 | $4,928 | $5.43 | 1d | 8 | 0.90mi |
| 515 E 86th St Unit 1760 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 485 | $5,360 | $11.05 | 1d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 515 E 86th St Unit 589 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $6,070 | $8.73 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 501 E 87th St #2094 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 618 | $7,050 | $11.41 | 1d | 2 | 1.08mi |
| 501 1/2 E 83rd St #1998 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $4,710 | $8.97 | 26d | 2 | 1.12mi |
| 3705 30th St Long Island City, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $4,840 | $6.91 | 12d | 3 | 1.14mi |
| 1567 York Ave Unit 1021866P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $5,910 | $7.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 34-35 44th St Astoria, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 613 | $3,576 | $5.83 | 0d | 22 | 1.23mi |
| 354 E 91st St #648 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $5,520 | $7.97 | 1d | 2 | 1.25mi |
| 420 E 80th St #198 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 623 | $4,760 | $7.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 345 E 94th St #1470 New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 710 | $5,645 | $7.95 | 5d | 3 | 1.27mi |
| 315 E 86th St Unit 1327 New York, NY | 1.0 | 2.0 | 726 | $6,460 | $8.90 | 26d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 515 E 72nd St Unit 17D New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 687 | $5,500 | $8.01 | 26d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 235 E 89th St Unit 1495783P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 699 | $7,443 | $10.65 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 244 E 86th St #604 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $4,920 | $5.18 | 5d | 2 | 1.41mi |
| 347 E 78th St Unit 1530420P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $6,270 | $9.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 347 E 78th St Unit 1460467P New York, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $7,606 | $11.79 | 26d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 301 E 79th St Unit 28P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $5,500 | $7.86 | 26d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 315 E 78th St Unit 1021894P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 548 | $5,643 | $10.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 315 E 78th St Unit 1021847P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $4,880 | $9.46 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 315 E 78th St Unit 1021885P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 516 | $6,242 | $12.10 | 1d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 315 E 78th St Unit 1021994P New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 441 | $5,037 | $11.42 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 215 E 95th St #1293 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 740 | $5,420 | $7.32 | 1d | 2 | 1.46mi |
| 308 E 78th St #2024 New York, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $4,610 | $8.38 | 26d | 2 | 1.47mi |
| 215 E 96th St Unit 688 New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 717 | $7,810 | $10.89 | 1d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 200 E 89th St Unit 12G New York, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $5,000 | $7.69 | 20d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1373 1st Ave Unit 1952 New York, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 650 | $7,260 | $11.17 | 26d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $364 · $4,368/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $595,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $595,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $595,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $595,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $595,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $595,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $595,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $595,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $595,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $595,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $595,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $595,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-03-30$595,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $60,259
- − Mortgage interest
- −$33,329
- − Property taxes
- −$8,925
- − Insurance
- −$2,975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,821
- − Management
- −$4,821
- − HOA
- −$4,368
- − Depreciation
- −$17,309
- Taxable loss
- −$16,289
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,909
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,197/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This modern one-bedroom condo in Astoria is in excellent condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a fresh, modern lifestyle with open views and a private balcony. Upgrades to the exterior and landscaping would significantly enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value ↑
- Both Upgrading the HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,503
- Household income
- $96,617
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2407.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 26% Asian 15% Two or more races 12% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.16%
- Current HPI
- 144.3118
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.79%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Listed $595,000 RLS at REBNY
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…