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28-08 21st St Unit 2-B
D Composite 43.46
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0

$595,000

28-08 21st St Unit 2-B · New York, NY 11102
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 524 sqft · Condo · 83 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition $364/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Twenty8, Astoria’s newest boutique condominium collection, offering a fresh, modern lifestyle in one of New York’s most vibrant and inviting neighborhoods. Residence 2B is a thoughtfully designed one-bedroom residence that blends modern comfort with functional elegance in the heart of Astoria. This bright, east-facing home is filled with natural morning light and offers open views of the surrounding Queens cityscape. A private 42sqft balcony extends the living space outdoors—perfect for enjoying a quiet coffee or unwinding at the end of the day. The kitchens feature custom matte white-and-grey cabinetry paired with elegant white quartz countertops and a stunning

Key facts

  • Custom cabinetry
  • Quartz countertops
  • Private balcony

Tags

PRIVATE BALCONYCUSTOM CABINETRYQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSWATERFALL ISLANDIN-UNIT WASHER AND DRYERWIDE-PLANK HARDWOOD FLOORS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other:
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $364; Pets allowed in building

Exterior

  • Parking: Has garage
  • Security:
  • Utilities:
  • Home design: 8-story building; Entry on level 2; East exposures
  • Construction:
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Private outdoor space under 60 sqft; Building roof deck; Building storage

Interior

  • Kitchen:
  • Bedrooms:
  • Flooring:
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 3 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: In-unit washer; In-unit dryer; Building allows washer/dryer installation

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $595k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-509 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $521k (12.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $502k (15.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $502k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,022/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($97k/yr) (locally 2407% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $976 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($559k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $502,155 (15.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.27%
Cash-on-cash
-3.67%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.16% appreciation · 4.79% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-35,708
Equity at exit
$177,668
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$50,863
Equity at exit
$217,514

Cash invested: $166,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11102

Home prices YoY
0.1%
Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,022 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,120
Tax est. 1.5%
$744 /mo · $8,925/yr
Insurance
$248
HOA
$364
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,055
Net cashflow
$-509

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,666
Max offer price $521,363
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-98 -5% $-303 +0% $-509 +5% $-714 +10% $-920
Rent -10% $-906 -5% $-707 +0% $-509 +5% $-311 +10% $-112
Rate -1.0pp $-209 -0.5pp $-358 base $-509 +0.5pp $-663 +1.0pp $-820

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$148,750
Closing costs
$17,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1420 27th Ave Astoria, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 887 $3,237 $3.65 0d 10 0.15mi
888 Main St New York, NY 3.0 1.0–2.0 908 $4,928 $5.43 1d 8 0.90mi
515 E 86th St Unit 1760 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 485 $5,360 $11.05 1d 1 1.07mi
515 E 86th St Unit 589 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 695 $6,070 $8.73 22d 1 1.07mi
501 E 87th St #2094 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 618 $7,050 $11.41 1d 2 1.08mi
501 1/2 E 83rd St #1998 New York, NY 2.0 1.0 525 $4,710 $8.97 26d 2 1.12mi
3705 30th St Long Island City, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 700 $4,840 $6.91 12d 3 1.14mi
1567 York Ave Unit 1021866P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 742 $5,910 $7.96 24d 1 1.16mi
34-35 44th St Astoria, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 613 $3,576 $5.83 0d 22 1.23mi
354 E 91st St #648 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 692 $5,520 $7.97 1d 2 1.25mi
420 E 80th St #198 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 623 $4,760 $7.64 21d 1 1.26mi
345 E 94th St #1470 New York, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 710 $5,645 $7.95 5d 3 1.27mi
315 E 86th St Unit 1327 New York, NY 1.0 2.0 726 $6,460 $8.90 26d 1 1.34mi
515 E 72nd St Unit 17D New York, NY 1.0 1.0 687 $5,500 $8.01 26d 1 1.38mi
235 E 89th St Unit 1495783P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 699 $7,443 $10.65 23d 1 1.39mi
244 E 86th St #604 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 950 $4,920 $5.18 5d 2 1.41mi
347 E 78th St Unit 1530420P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 645 $6,270 $9.72 24d 1 1.41mi
347 E 78th St Unit 1460467P New York, NY 2.0 1.0 645 $7,606 $11.79 26d 1 1.41mi
301 E 79th St Unit 28P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $5,500 $7.86 26d 1 1.45mi
315 E 78th St Unit 1021894P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 548 $5,643 $10.30 24d 1 1.45mi
315 E 78th St Unit 1021847P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 516 $4,880 $9.46 22d 1 1.45mi
315 E 78th St Unit 1021885P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 516 $6,242 $12.10 1d 1 1.45mi
315 E 78th St Unit 1021994P New York, NY 1.0 1.0 441 $5,037 $11.42 23d 1 1.45mi
215 E 95th St #1293 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 740 $5,420 $7.32 1d 2 1.46mi
308 E 78th St #2024 New York, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 550 $4,610 $8.38 26d 2 1.47mi
215 E 96th St Unit 688 New York, NY 1.0 1.0 717 $7,810 $10.89 1d 1 1.48mi
200 E 89th St Unit 12G New York, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $5,000 $7.69 20d 1 1.49mi
1373 1st Ave Unit 1952 New York, NY 2.0 2.0 650 $7,260 $11.17 26d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$364 · $4,368/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $595,000 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $595,000 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $595,000 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $595,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $595,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $595,000 Active 71 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $595,000 Active 70 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $595,000 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $595,000 Active 66 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $595,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $595,000 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $595,000 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-03-30
    listed $595,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$60,259
− Mortgage interest
−$33,329
− Property taxes
−$8,925
− Insurance
−$2,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,821
− Management
−$4,821
− HOA
−$4,368
− Depreciation
−$17,309
Taxable loss
−$16,289
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,909
After-tax cash flow
$-2,197/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This modern one-bedroom condo in Astoria is in excellent condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a fresh, modern lifestyle with open views and a private balcony. Upgrades to the exterior and landscaping would significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — Improves curb appeal and rental value
  • Both Upgrading the HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
28,503
Household income
$96,617
Rent vs Own
86.6% rent · 13.4% own
Severe rent burden
2407.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 26% Asian 15% Two or more races 12% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
55% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.16%
Current HPI
144.3118
Rent YoY
▲ 4.79%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $595,000 RLS at REBNY

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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