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296 George St
C Composite 58.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$197,000

296 George St · Orange, VT 05641
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,769 sqft · Other public records · 129 Days on market
Built 1980 1.10 ac lot $111/sqft · 44% below area Est $349k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This unique single-family home offers a rare blend of country living and functional space. Situated on 1.1 acres, this property is a haven for nature enthusiasts, hobby farmers, or anyone dreaming of a peaceful, secluded lifestyle. 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence spans around 1,769 sqft, providing a comfortable and spacious environment to call home. The property's true charm lies in its extensive outdoor potential, which includes: Farm animal capabilities: The property features two barns and open fields/pastures, perfect for keeping horses or farm animals. Gardening and nature: Ample room for gardening, mature apple trees, and berry bushes, all set against a backdrop of nature's beauty. Rural tranquility: Located in a quiet, rural area known for a strong sense of community and outdoor activities like hiking and fishing. Orange has no zoning regulations and this property also offers a 9.25 acre adjoining lot with its own septic system and drilled well (installed in 2020). This lot is being listed separately but I”m willing to give a discount to a buyer who wants to buy them together. While offering seclusion, the location provides convenient access to amenities, with the town of Barre nearby for shopping and dining options as well as Central Vermont Medical Center.

Key facts

  • 1.1 acres
  • Two barns
  • Berry bushes

Tags

1.1 ACRESFARM ANIMAL CAPABILITIESTWO BARNSOPEN FIELDSMATURE APPLE TREESBERRY BUSHES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $197k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (0.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 74 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (28 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $140k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $173,360 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.65%
Cash-on-cash
4.86%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$349,114
List price
$197,000
Delta
-43.57%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-17,697
Equity at exit
$29,373
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,942
Equity at exit
$17,033

Cash invested: $55,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Vermont
41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause in Burlington (2022); strong habitability.

ZIP-level market 05641

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,969 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,033
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,610/yr
Insurance
$82
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$414
Net cashflow
$223

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,687
Max offer price $197,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $335 -5% $279 +0% $223 +5% $167 +10% $112
Rent -10% $68 -5% $145 +0% $223 +5% $301 +10% $379
Rate -1.0pp $322 -0.5pp $273 base $223 +0.5pp $172 +1.0pp $120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,250
Closing costs
$5,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $197,000 Active 129 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $197,000 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $197,000 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $197,000 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $197,000 Active 124 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $197,000 Active 123 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $197,000 Active 121 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $197,000 Active 120 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $219,000 Active 117 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $219,000 Active 116 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,000 Active 115 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $219,000 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $219,000 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $219,000 Active 110 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $219,000 Active 109 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 108 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $219,000 Active 107 DOM
  18. 2026-02-12
    listed $219,000 Active 1290-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1290 chars)

    This unique single-family home offers a rare blend of country living and functional space. Situated on 1.1 acres, this property is a haven for nature enthusiasts, hobby farmers, or anyone dreaming of a peaceful, secluded lifestyle. 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence spans around 1,769 sqft, providing a comfortable and spacious environment to call home. The property's true charm lies in its extensive outdoor potential, which includes: Farm animal capabilities: The property features two barns and open fields/pastures, perfect for keeping horses or farm animals. Gardening and nature: Ample room for gardening, mature apple trees, and berry bushes, all set against a backdrop of nature's beauty. Rural tranquility: Located in a quiet, rural area known for a strong sense of community and outdoor activities like hiking and fishing. Orange has no zoning regulations and this property also offers a 9.25 acre adjoining lot with its own septic system and drilled well (installed in 2020). This lot is being listed separately but I”m willing to give a discount to a buyer who wants to buy them together. While offering seclusion, the location provides convenient access to amenities, with the town of Barre nearby for shopping and dining options as well as Central Vermont Medical Center.

  19. 2012-07-06
    soldstatus $140,000
  20. 2012-06-29
    soldstatus $140,000 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Unique property with 2 barns. Many opportunities with open fields/pastures to have horses/farm animals, gardening room to grow your own vegetables/fruits. Old-fashioned wood cook-stove for cooking or heating. Deck off the back of the home for viewing nature's beauty while taking the fresh air.

  21. 2012-02-13
    listed $140,000 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Unique property with 2 barns. Many opportunities with open fields/pastures to have horses/farm animals, gardening room to grow your own vegetables/fruits. Old-fashioned wood cook-stove for cooking or heating. Deck off the back of the home for viewing nature's beauty while taking the fresh air.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,610 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,177 · $265/mo
Expected delta
+$566/yr (+$47/mo · 21.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,634
− Mortgage interest
−$11,035
− Property taxes
−$2,610
− Insurance
−$985
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,891
− Management
−$1,891
− Depreciation
−$5,731
Taxable loss
−$509
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$122
After-tax cash flow
$2,800/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Orange

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Washington County · 16,936 people
Metro
Barre, VT
Population (ZIP)
16,936
Household income
$76,855
Rent vs Own
30.2% rent · 69.8% own
Severe rent burden
588.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,186 people
By 2030
27,359 · -2.9%
By 2040
25,221 · -10.5%
By 2050
23,023 · -18.3%
By 2075
18,621 · -33.9%
By 2100
14,477 · -48.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Slovak 7% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.2) · D 58.3% · R 38.1% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 31.3pp · 2024: 20.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.2 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+18.8 2012: D+32.1 2008: D+31.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.01%
Current HPI
333.7046
Rent YoY
Metro
Barre, VT
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+56.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $219,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2012-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2012-06-29 Sold (MLS) $140,000 PrimeMLS
  • 2012-02-13 Listed $140,000 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,610 · +8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…