6 N Water St · McVeytown, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy the River Views! Mobile Home with addition sporting 2 Bedrooms, 1 Full Bath, Kitchen, Livingroom, and Laundry/Utility room on 1st floor. Basement area with electric and multiple use; Craft Room, Workshop, and storage. Property includes 2 lots bordering the river with many options; kayaking, swimming, fishing and enjoy the river views! Home is flood zone x. It sets up on a higher area and slopes to the river. Great place for summer fun!!
Key facts
- Craft room
- 2 lots
- Flood zone x
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Fee simple ownership; Property condition: Average; Basement: Partial, unfinished with drain, outside/rear entrance, walkout level with windows
Exterior
- Parking: Dirt driveway; Driveway parking (2 spaces); Off-street parking; Total of 2 garage/parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available; Water available; 100 amp electric service; Internet service: Other
- Home design: Detached property; 1 story; Entry level: 1; Main entrance faces west; River location / water-oriented
- Construction: Built (year per assessor); Construction: Block, Metal siding, Mixed materials, T-1-11; Block foundation (permanent); Metal roof; Building not winterized
- Exterior features: Porch(es); Play area; Front yard; Fishing available; Water view (Juniata River); Rented lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Stove
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Oil-fired heating; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Tub with shower; Ceiling fan(s); Combination kitchen/dining; Floor plan: traditional; Eat-in kitchen; Entry-level bedroom
- Laundry & utility: Main floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($714/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $89k (10.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $89k (10.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#1,346 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mifflin County SD (town): math 28% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #380 of 539 in PA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Mifflin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
- Mifflin County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.55%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.69% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.31×
- Total profit
- $36,746
- Equity at exit
- $67,193
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.72×
- Total profit
- $104,180
- Equity at exit
- $125,833
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17051
- Home prices YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $894 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $978/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$188
- Net cashflow
- $59
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $116 | -5% $88 | +0% $59 | +5% $31 | +10% $3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-11 | -5% $24 | +0% $59 | +5% $95 | +10% $130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $110 | -0.5pp $85 | base $59 | +0.5pp $34 | +1.0pp $7 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-15$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $978 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,278 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$300/yr (+$25/mo · 30.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,731
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$978
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$859
- − Management
- −$859
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable loss
- −$965
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$232
- After-tax cash flow
- $945/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mifflin County SD
- NCES district ID
- 4215290
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,718
- Composite
- 32.28/100
- National rank
- #5755
- State rank
- #380 of 539 in PA
Livability — McVeytown
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #1346
- US rank
- #16690
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McVeytown, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,402
Population outlook (Mifflin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,611 people
- By 2030
- 43,212 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 40,197 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 36,813 · -17.5%
- By 2075
- 28,833 · -35.4%
- By 2100
- 20,296 · -54.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Polish 7% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mifflin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.4) · D 21.4% · R 77.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -56.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.4 2020: R+56.1 2016: R+57.5 2012: R+46.8 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.69%
- Current HPI
- 223.881
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2026): $978 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…