104 N 2nd St · Herman, NE
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$136,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly updated 3 bed, 1 bath home. New bathroom, kitchen, paint, flooring, drywall, plumbing - all, electrical- all, windows-most. Agent has equity in home. Turned all to electric. No propane needed.
Key facts
- Expansive yard
- Updated flooring
- Mudroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached covered garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-and-one-half story; Residential property, not new
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Composition roof; Other type foundation; Built in 1920
- Exterior features: Porch; Deck; Storm cellar; Shed(s) on the property; Lot size approximately 0.23 acres (up to 1/4 acre)
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main floor; Additional bedrooms on the second floor
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating with baseboard and wall furnace options; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: No basement; No fireplaces
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $136k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-53 ($-634/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (6.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (15.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $115k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#435 in NE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Tekamah-Herman Community Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #72 of 111 in NE (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Elementary School At Tekamah (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #200 of 502 statewide, top 46%, 297 students, 35% FRL); High School At Tekamah (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #176 of 261 statewide, top 68%, 230 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($944 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $99k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.43%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $3,490
- Equity at exit
- $51,145
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $29,862
- Equity at exit
- $71,633
Cash invested: $38,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68029
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,152 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$716
- Tax from tax record
- −$124 /mo · $1,483/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $-53
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $24 | -5% $-14 | +0% $-53 | +5% $-91 | +10% $-130 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-144 | -5% $-98 | +0% $-53 | +5% $-7 | +10% $38 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $16 | -0.5pp $-18 | base $-53 | +0.5pp $-88 | +1.0pp $-124 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,125
- Closing costs
- $4,095
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $136,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $136,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $136,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $136,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $136,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $136,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $136,500 New 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $136,500 New 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 691-char remark
-
2026-06-12$136,500 New 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,483 · $124/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,361 · $197/mo
- Expected delta
- +$878/yr (+$73/mo · 59.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,822
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,646
- − Property taxes
- −$1,483
- − Insurance
- −$1,480
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,106
- − Management
- −$1,106
- − Depreciation
- −$3,971
- Taxable loss
- −$2,970
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$713
- After-tax cash flow
- $79/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tekamah-Herman Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3100071
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,922
- Composite
- 40.2/100
- National rank
- #3784
- State rank
- #72 of 111 in NE
Livability — Herman
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #435
- US rank
- #16661
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Herman, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 814
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,361 people
- By 2030
- 20,293 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 19,861 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 19,080 · -6.3%
- By 2075
- 17,987 · -11.7%
- By 2100
- 16,240 · -20.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Romanian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 100% English-only · Spanish 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.1pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+40.3 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+26.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.63%
- Current HPI
- 300.423
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+242.1% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $136,500 GPRMLS
- 2020-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
- 2020-06-17 Sold (MLS) $99,000 GPRMLS
- 2020-04-29 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2020-03-28 Price Changed $99,000 GPRMLS
- 2020-03-13 Price Changed $108,000 GPRMLS
- 2020-02-06 Price Changed $115,000 GPRMLS
- 2020-01-17 Price Changed $119,800 GPRMLS
- 2019-12-10 Listed $125,000 GPRMLS
- 2018-09-26 Sold (MLS) $24,000 GPRMLS
- 2018-07-30 Pending — GPRMLS
- 2018-07-10 Price Changed $25,000 GPRMLS
- 2018-06-01 Listed $30,000 GPRMLS
- 2007-01-12 Listing Removed — GPRMLS
- 2006-07-12 Listed $39,900 GPRMLS
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,483 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…