8101 Darlington Dr · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- Appreciation +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor / builder special in Houston 77028. 8101 Darlington Dr is a distressed property positioned for redevelopment, new construction, or full down-to-the-studs renovation. Ideal opportunity for builders, Investor buyers, flippers, landlords, buy-and-hold investors, institutional buyers, and Wall Street-style rental portfolio investors. Large lot offers strong potential for a new residential build, rental property, affordable housing project, or value-add redevelopment. Property is being sold as-is, where-is, with no repairs. Existing structure may require full rehab or teardown. Excellent fit for investors searching for distressed property, fixer-upper, teardown, land value, infill lot,
Key facts
- Infill lot
- Large lot
- 7,074 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Single-story elements with second-floor bedroom (multi-level layout); Slab foundation
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Built in 1949
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Additional bedroom on the second floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Breakfast nook; Family room; Kitchen; Primary bathroom
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Forest Brook Middle (math 12% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 613 students, 98% FRL); North Forest H S (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,505 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 974 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.83%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,823
- List price
- $99,000
- Delta
- -33.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8106 Flintridge Dr | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 963 (-2%) | 13mo | $143,000 | $148 | 79 |
| 8121 Woodlyn Rd | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 917 (-7%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $87 | 58 |
| 7901 Richland Dr | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 1,108 (+12%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $104 | 51 |
| 7973 Ritz St | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,076 (+9%) | 3mo | $89,900 | $84 | 51 |
| 7828 Homewood Ln | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 925 (-6%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $151 | 50 |
| 7957 Ritz St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 864 (-13%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $139 | 44 |
| 7973 Birmingham St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 878 (-11%) | 9mo | $100,000 | $114 | 42 |
| 7966 Safebuy St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,109 (+12%) | 9mo | $194,900 | $176 | 36 |
| 7625 Delavan Dr | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+10%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $133 | 34 |
| 7622 Delavan Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+13%) | 6mo | $132,000 | $118 | 34 |
| 6810 Tommye St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,119 (+13%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $170 | 32 |
| 7938 Safebuy St | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,108 (+12%) | 14mo | $198,000 | $179 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.25% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $46,221
- Equity at exit
- $57,581
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.94×
- Total profit
- $109,219
- Equity at exit
- $100,622
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77028
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Rents YoY
- -1.6%
- Active inventory
- 353
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,459 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$181 /mo · $2,168/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $412
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8309 Carolwood Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,350 | $1.44 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 7600 E Houston Rd Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1017 | $1,233 | $1.21 | 13d | 8 | 0.56mi |
| 7973 Ritz St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $2,250 | $2.09 | 7d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7947 Henson St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,349 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 8015 Elbert St Unit A Houston, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $1,650 | $1.62 | 7d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 8117 Saint Louis St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,335 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8119 Saint Louis St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,349 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8346 Tidwell Rd Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,000 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 8350 Tidwell Rd Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $975 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 9550 N Wayside Dr Houston, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 896 | $1,199 | $1.34 | 1d | 5 | 1.09mi |
| 9133 Woodlyn Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,495 | $1.39 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $99,000 888-char remark
-
2026-05-05$119,999 Active 888-char remark
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,168 · $181/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,168 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,514
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$2,168
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,401
- − Management
- −$1,401
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $3,623
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$869
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,073/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,109
- Household income
- $38,357
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1177.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (57%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 15% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 38%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.25%
- Current HPI
- 267.7798
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.55%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-17.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $99,000 HARMLS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $119,999 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,168 · +21.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…