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8101 Darlington Dr
A- Composite 83.34
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0

$99,000

8101 Darlington Dr · Houston, TX 77028
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 988 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1949 7,074 sqft lot $100/sqft · 34% below area Est $150k · 34% under ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor / builder special in Houston 77028. 8101 Darlington Dr is a distressed property positioned for redevelopment, new construction, or full down-to-the-studs renovation. Ideal opportunity for builders, Investor buyers, flippers, landlords, buy-and-hold investors, institutional buyers, and Wall Street-style rental portfolio investors. Large lot offers strong potential for a new residential build, rental property, affordable housing project, or value-add redevelopment. Property is being sold as-is, where-is, with no repairs. Existing structure may require full rehab or teardown. Excellent fit for investors searching for distressed property, fixer-upper, teardown, land value, infill lot,

Key facts

  • Infill lot
  • Large lot
  • 7,074 sq ft lot

Tags

LARGE LOTNEW CONSTRUCTION OPPORTUNITYVALUE-ADD REDEVELOPMENTINFILL LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story elements with second-floor bedroom (multi-level layout); Slab foundation
  • Construction: Wood siding exterior; Composition roof; Built in 1949
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Additional bedroom on the second floor
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Breakfast nook; Family room; Kitchen; Primary bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Forest Brook Middle (math 12% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,609 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 613 students, 98% FRL); North Forest H S (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,505 of 1,632 statewide, top 92%, 974 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.47%
Cap rate
11.29%
Cash-on-cash
17.83%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
5.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$149,823
List price
$99,000
Delta
-33.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8106 Flintridge Dr 0.03mi 3/1.0 (+1) 963 (-2%) 13mo $143,000 $148 79
8121 Woodlyn Rd 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 917 (-7%) 4mo $80,000 $87 58
7901 Richland Dr 0.42mi 2/1.0 1,108 (+12%) 10mo $115,000 $104 51
7973 Ritz St 0.60mi 2/2.0 1,076 (+9%) 3mo $89,900 $84 51
7828 Homewood Ln 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 925 (-6%) 4mo $140,000 $151 50
7957 Ritz St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-13%) 2mo $120,000 $139 44
7973 Birmingham St 0.69mi 2/1.0 878 (-11%) 9mo $100,000 $114 42
7966 Safebuy St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,109 (+12%) 9mo $194,900 $176 36
7625 Delavan Dr 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,092 (+10%) 12mo $145,000 $133 34
7622 Delavan Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (+13%) 6mo $132,000 $118 34
6810 Tommye St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,119 (+13%) 6mo $190,000 $170 32
7938 Safebuy St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,108 (+12%) 14mo $198,000 $179 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.25% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
2.67×
Total profit
$46,221
Equity at exit
$57,581
10-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
4.94×
Total profit
$109,219
Equity at exit
$100,622

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77028

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
353
Price-to-rent
5.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,459 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$181 /mo · $2,168/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$306
Net cashflow
$412

Break-even live

Break-even rent $938
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8309 Carolwood Dr Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 938 $1,350 $1.44 43d 1 0.22mi
7600 E Houston Rd Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $1,233 $1.21 13d 8 0.56mi
7973 Ritz St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1076 $2,250 $2.09 7d 1 0.62mi
7947 Henson St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,349 $1.24 5d 1 0.84mi
8015 Elbert St Unit A Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1021 $1,650 $1.62 7d 1 0.96mi
8117 Saint Louis St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,335 $1.22 22d 1 1.04mi
8119 Saint Louis St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,349 $1.24 43d 1 1.04mi
8346 Tidwell Rd Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 980 $1,000 $1.02 43d 1 1.07mi
8350 Tidwell Rd Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 980 $975 $0.99 43d 1 1.07mi
9550 N Wayside Dr Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 896 $1,199 $1.34 1d 5 1.09mi
9133 Woodlyn Rd Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1073 $1,495 $1.39 3d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 42 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 41 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-05-06
    price $99,000 888-char remark
  13. 2026-05-05
    listed $119,999 Active 888-char remark
  14. 1988-01-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,168 · $181/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,168 · $181/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,514
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$2,168
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,401
− Management
−$1,401
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$3,623
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$869
After-tax cash flow
$4,073/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
19,109
Household income
$38,357
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
1177.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (57%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 15% White 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 38%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.25%
Current HPI
267.7798
Rent YoY
▼ -1.55%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $99,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $119,999 HARMLS
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,168 · +21.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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