Duplex
117 Baltimore St · Hanover, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- ARV discount +3.7/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment! Priced below appraised value by certified appraiser. The first floor unit is now vacant, live there and rent the upstairs, a GREAT way to grow wealth. Units in good condition. Spacious up/down 2 unit with separate water heaters, electric panels, furnaces, and lots of parking! Each unit has electric baseboard, and gas radiator heat. Wood floors, newer kitchens, and off street parking including a couple carports, easily made into garages with overhead doors added! Front and back entrances, basement, and attic.
Key facts
- Gas radiator heat
- Off street parking
- Newer kitchens
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $732 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $366/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
- Recommended offer: $221k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.9% in Hanover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#373 in PA, #3,295 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, commute F.
- Hanover Public SD (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #294 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,062/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 1076% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($221k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $182k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.36%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $216,696
- List price
- $235,000
- Delta
- 8.45%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 E Middle St | 0.09mi | 4/4.0 | 2,800 (+8%) | 7mo | $324,900 | $116 | 69 |
| 530 Baer Ave | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 2,504 (-3%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $92 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $13,876
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $94,692
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17331
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 386
- Price-to-rent
- 12.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,062 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$356 /mo · $4,277/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$643
- Net cashflow
- $732
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $865 | -5% $799 | +0% $732 | +5% $666 | +10% $599 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $490 | -5% $611 | +0% $732 | +5% $853 | +10% $974 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $851 | -0.5pp $792 | base $732 | +0.5pp $671 | +1.0pp $609 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $3,062 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,531 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,531 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,062 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 McCosh St Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1800 | $2,050 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 409 Carlisle St Unit A Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2372 | $1,200 | $0.51 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 51 Overlook Dr Unit J Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $2,120 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 51 Overlook Dr Unit F Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1820 | $1,983 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Great investment! Priced below appraised value by certified appraiser. The first floor unit is now vacant, live there and rent the upstairs, a GREAT way to grow wealth. Units in good condition. Spacious up/down 2 unit with separate water heaters, electric panels, furnaces, and lots of parking! Each unit has electric baseboard, and gas radiator heat. Wood floors, newer kitchens, and off street parking including a couple carports, easily made into garages with overhead doors added! Front and back entrances, basement, and attic.
-
2026-05-06price $235,000 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Great investment! Priced below appraised value by certified appraiser. The first floor unit is now vacant, live there and rent the upstairs, a GREAT way to grow wealth. Units in good condition. Spacious up/down 2 unit with separate water heaters, electric panels, furnaces, and lots of parking! Each unit has electric baseboard, and gas radiator heat. Wood floors, newer kitchens, and off street parking including a couple carports, easily made into garages with overhead doors added! Front and back entrances, basement, and attic.
-
2026-04-02price $249,900 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Great investment! Priced below appraised value by certified appraiser. The first floor unit is now vacant, live there and rent the upstairs, a GREAT way to grow wealth. Units in good condition. Spacious up/down 2 unit with separate water heaters, electric panels, furnaces, and lots of parking! Each unit has electric baseboard, and gas radiator heat. Wood floors, newer kitchens, and off street parking including a couple carports, easily made into garages with overhead doors added! Front and back entrances, basement, and attic.
-
2026-03-02$275,000 Active 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Great investment! Priced below appraised value by certified appraiser. The first floor unit is now vacant, live there and rent the upstairs, a GREAT way to grow wealth. Units in good condition. Spacious up/down 2 unit with separate water heaters, electric panels, furnaces, and lots of parking! Each unit has electric baseboard, and gas radiator heat. Wood floors, newer kitchens, and off street parking including a couple carports, easily made into garages with overhead doors added! Front and back entrances, basement, and attic.
-
2024-09-18historical $995
-
2024-09-05$995
-
1988-12-19soldstatus $182,250
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,277 · $356/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,277 · $356/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,744
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$4,277
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,940
- − Management
- −$2,940
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable income
- $5,413
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,299
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,488/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hanover Public SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211450
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,022
- Composite
- 37.26/100
- National rank
- #4457
- State rank
- #294 of 539 in PA
Livability — Hanover
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #373
- US rank
- #3295
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hanover, PA
- County
- York County · 278,806 people
- City population
- 56,443
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,443
- Household income
- $79,488
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1076.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 454,205 people
- By 2030
- 457,407 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 457,529 · +0.7%
- By 2050
- 448,261 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 427,388 · -5.9%
- By 2100
- 384,218 · -15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.48%
- Current HPI
- 251.8974
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Metro
- York-Hanover, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+28.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $235,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $249,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-02 Listed $275,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-09-18 Rental Removed $995 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-09-05 Listed for Rent $995 RENTALBEAST
- 1988-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $182,250 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,277 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…