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619 Grace St
C+ Composite 64.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

619 Grace St · Montgomery, AL 36107
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,368 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 1940 7,405 sqft lot $73/sqft · 91% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Quaint 3 bedroom, 2 bath house located in the Highland community. Location near the Midtown Plaza Shopping Center and the heart of downtown Montgomery. Moment of opportunity for investors, tenant occupied.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($32k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $41k; list at $100k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
10.45%
Cash-on-cash
14.86%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$57,295
List price
$99,900
Delta
72.79%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2430 Plum St 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,388 (+2%) 6mo $89,000 $64 77
2148 Madison Ave 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,350 (-1%) 4mo $60,000 $44 71
1814 James Ave 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,425 (+4%) 1mo $61,000 $43 59
2627 Geneva St 0.23mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,526 (+12%) 4mo $83,000 $54 58
3010 Althea St 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,186 (-13%) 7mo $40,000 $34 57
105 Dunn Dr 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,295 (-5%) 7mo $50,600 $39 56
13 Bradley Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,264 (-8%) 6mo $110,000 $87 54
2468 Spruce Cur Curv 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,263 (-8%) 6mo $10,000 $8 52
1839 James Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,520 (+11%) 4mo $50,000 $33 50
137 Oak Forest Dr 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,183 (-14%) 0mo $47,000 $40 49
111 Bradley Dr 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,222 (-11%) 8mo $8,000 $7 49
2933 Willow Lane Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,234 (-10%) 6mo $121,000 $98 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$8,355
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$46,322
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36107

Home prices YoY
-10.9%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,199 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$35 /mo · $421/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$346

Break-even live

Break-even rent $760
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $403 -5% $375 +0% $346 +5% $318 +10% $290
Rent -10% $252 -5% $299 +0% $346 +5% $394 +10% $441
Rate -1.0pp $397 -0.5pp $372 base $346 +0.5pp $320 +1.0pp $294

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
311 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1104 $825 $0.75 45d 1 0.37mi
2113 Brewton St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1363 $1,150 $0.84 45d 1 0.41mi
2009 Palmetto St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1487 $1,050 $0.71 45d 1 0.49mi
122 Oak Forest Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1092 $975 $0.89 22d 1 0.51mi
2000 Cherry St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1106 $950 $0.86 45d 1 0.54mi
2004 Capitol Ave Unit 1043879P Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.5 1797 $3,518 $1.96 15d 1 0.55mi
2229 Madison Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $625 $0.57 45d 1 0.56mi
15 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1365 $1,500 $1.10 22d 1 0.63mi
3136 Harrison Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.5 1355 $1,025 $0.76 45d 1 0.64mi
18 Oak Forest Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1580 $1,050 $0.66 22d 1 0.65mi
7 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1529 $1,500 $0.98 15d 1 0.66mi
2454 Spruce Curv Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 988 $1,100 $1.11 45d 1 0.69mi
1827 Capitol Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1068 $1,600 $1.50 15d 1 0.69mi
1827 Capitol Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1068 $1,600 $1.50 45d 1 0.69mi
2243 Winona Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1492 $1,225 $0.82 22d 1 0.71mi
2310 Yancey Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1212 $1,250 $1.03 45d 1 0.75mi
401 Ridgewood Ln Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1513 $1,195 $0.79 22d 1 0.77mi
128 S Capitol Pkwy Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,500 $0.97 45d 1 0.78mi
7 Calhoun Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 961 $850 $0.88 45d 1 0.82mi
3233 Hillcrest Ln Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1278 $1,395 $1.09 22d 1 0.85mi
2009 Yancey Ave Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1140 $1,080 $0.95 22d 1 0.85mi
39 S Lewis St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1209 $950 $0.79 45d 1 0.87mi
2020 E 3rd St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1186 $750 $0.63 22d 1 0.88mi
2205 E 5th St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1020 $800 $0.78 45d 1 0.89mi
2122 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1052 $725 $0.69 45d 1 0.91mi
3309 Hillcrest Ln Unit 1043908P Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1625 $2,885 $1.78 22d 1 0.91mi
3323 Bedford Ln Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1134 $1,200 $1.06 22d 1 0.93mi
3329 Vermont Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.5 1465 $1,395 $0.95 15d 1 0.95mi
3319 Willow Lane Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1032 $1,200 $1.16 45d 1 0.95mi
2023 Windsor Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 889 $895 $1.01 45d 1 0.96mi
926 Green Ridge Ct Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1665 $1,381 $0.83 15d 1 0.97mi
3334 Cottonwood Dr Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1025 $1,295 $1.26 15d 1 0.99mi
3346 Bedford Ln Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1134 $1,295 $1.14 15d 1 1.00mi
3318 Habersham Rd Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1134 $1,250 $1.10 15d 1 1.01mi
108 Calhoun Rd Unit 108B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1350 $750 $0.56 45d 1 1.02mi
517 N Florida St Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 900 $750 $0.83 45d 1 1.02mi
3359 Bedford Ln Montgomery, AL 4.0 2.0 1786 $1,600 $0.90 15d 1 1.02mi
2845 Zelda Rd Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1013 $1,042 $1.03 15d 3 1.04mi
2014 Commodore St Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1613 $1,450 $0.90 15d 1 1.06mi
239 Forest Hills Dr Montgomery, AL 4.0 1.5 1500 $1,450 $0.97 22d 1 1.06mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on marketlisting id $99,900 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-03-04
    listed $99,900 Active 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    Quaint 3 bedroom, 2 bath house located in the Highland community. Location near the Midtown Plaza Shopping Center and the heart of downtown Montgomery. Moment of opportunity for investors, tenant occupied.

  5. 2026-02-25
    listed $99,000 Active 205-char remark
    Show marketing remark (205 chars)

    Quaint 3 bedroom, 2 bath house located in the Highland community. Location near the Midtown Plaza Shopping Center and the heart of downtown Montgomery. Moment of opportunity for investors, tenant occupied.

  6. 2025-11-13
    historical $1,300
  7. 2025-11-07
    listed $1,300
  8. 2025-03-12
    historical $1,000
  9. 2025-02-16
    listed $1,000
  10. 2019-09-16
    soldstatus $41,000
  11. 2019-09-13
    soldstatus $41,000
  12. 2019-08-26
    listed $45,000
  13. 2017-05-30
    listed $54,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$421 · $35/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$421 · $35/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,383
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$421
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,151
− Management
−$1,151
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$2,659
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$638
After-tax cash flow
$3,518/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
County
Montgomery County · 190,016 people
City population
175,913
Metro
Montgomery, AL
Population (ZIP)
8,001
Household income
$32,492
Rent vs Own
61.8% rent · 38.2% own
Severe rent burden
642.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 43% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 20%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Iranian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.16%
Current HPI
147.8065
Rent YoY
▲ 5.05%
Metro
Montgomery, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+82.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $99,900 MAAR
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $99,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-11-13 Rental Removed $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-11-07 Listed for Rent $1,300 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-03-12 Rental Removed $1,000 TURBOTENANT
  • 2025-02-16 Listed for Rent $1,000 TURBOTENANT
  • 2019-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $41,000 Public Records
  • 2019-09-13 Sold (MLS) $41,000 MAAR
  • 2019-08-26 Listed $45,000 MAAR
  • 2017-05-30 Listed $54,900 MAAR

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $421 · +56.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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