CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
869 County Road 45
B- Composite 68.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,999

869 County Road 45 · Abbeville, AL 36345
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 45 Days on market
Built 1984 0.60 ac lot $69/sqft · 80% above area ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy peaceful country living with modern updates in this beautifully remodeled mobile home, perfectly situated on approximately 0.6 acres between Headland and Abbeville, Alabama. This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home, with an additional versatile room that could serve as a third bedroom, office space, or playroom, offers a perfect blend of comfort, functionality, and rural charm — ideal for anyone seeking space, privacy, and a simpler lifestyle. Inside, you'll find a fresh, modern interior with new paint throughout, updated bathrooms, new ceiling fans and lighting, and stylish new door hardware. The spacious kitchen features new countertops and a functional island, perfect for extra storag

Key facts

  • Versatile room
  • Modern updates
  • Updated bathrooms

Tags

MODERN UPDATESREMODELED MOBILE HOMEAPPROXIMATELY 0.6 ACRESVERSATILE ROOMFRESH MODERN INTERIORUPDATED BATHROOMS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (1 covered space, total 1 parking space); Attached garage
  • Utilities: Water available; Sewer available; Water source: see remarks
  • Home design: Residential mobile home; Rural setting
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area inside; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $829 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#180 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Headland Elementary School (math 39% / reading 59%, grade D, #132 of 627 statewide, top 21%, 858 students, 48% FRL); Headland Middle School (math 16% / reading 58%, grade F, #73 of 257 statewide, top 29%, 576 students, 47% FRL); Headland High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 412 students, 49% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,299 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.91%
Cap rate
17.34%
Cash-on-cash
39.46%
DSCR
2.76
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$50,000
List price
$89,999
Delta
80.00%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.7%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$38,162
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
42.4%
Equity multiple
5.01×
Total profit
$101,061
Equity at exit
$7,781

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36345

Home prices YoY
-16.0%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,718 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$19 /mo · $228/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$829

Break-even live

Break-even rent $669
Max offer price $89,999
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $880 -5% $854 +0% $829 +5% $803 +10% $778
Rent -10% $693 -5% $761 +0% $829 +5% $896 +10% $964
Rate -1.0pp $874 -0.5pp $852 base $829 +0.5pp $805 +1.0pp $782

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,999 Active 45 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,999 Active 44 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,999 Active 43 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,999 Active 42 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,999 Active 41 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,999 Active 39 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,999 Active 38 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,999 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,999 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,999 Active 33 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,999 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,999 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,999 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,999 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,999 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $89,999 Active 1423-char remark
  17. 2026-01-30
    price $99,999
  18. 2026-01-06
    price $112,500
  19. 2025-11-12
    price $115,000
  20. 2025-10-24
    price $126,900
  21. 2025-10-06
    listed $135,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$228 · $19/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$369 · $31/mo
Expected delta
+$141/yr (+$12/mo · 61.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,614
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$228
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,649
− Management
−$1,649
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$8,979
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,155
After-tax cash flow
$7,789/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
0101740
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$41,502
Composite
27.78/100
National rank
#6894
State rank
#55 of 129 in AL

Livability — Abbeville

Score
63/100
State rank
#180
US rank
#15180

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
8,838

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,109 people
By 2030
16,928 · -1.1%
By 2040
16,376 · -4.3%
By 2050
15,778 · -7.8%
By 2075
14,491 · -15.3%
By 2100
12,673 · -25.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 16% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.3% · R 75.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -50.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.8 2020: R+43.0 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+29.4 2008: R+29.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.45%
Current HPI
213.0749
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $89,999 SAMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Price Changed $99,999 SAMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $112,500 SAMLS
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $115,000 SAMLS
  • 2025-10-24 Price Changed $126,900 SAMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Listed $135,000 SAMLS

Property tax history

+12.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $228 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…