716 Washington St · Lyle, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity awaits your creative mind. This home was formerly a 2 bedroom, 2 bath home that's been "gutted" with plans to make it a duplex. The owner has plans for the conversion or it could be kept as a single family home. The conversion has been permitted and the permit is transferable if the new owner so desires. It is situated on a large lot that can accommodate parking for both units, but the seller owns an adjacent parcel and is willing to provide a deeded ingress/egress easement across said parcel so the home can be accessed from both sides.
Key facts
- Gutted home
- Permitted conversion
- Plans for conversion
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $663 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#361 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, employment D+.
- Lyle School District (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #261 of 291 in WA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Klickitat County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Klickitat County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.37%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $440,958
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -43.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1006 Balfour St | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,730 (-0%) | 17mo | $550,000 | $318 | 70 |
| 401 Third St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,526 (-12%) | 16mo | $445,000 | $292 | 44 |
| 510 Tacoma Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,501 (-13%) | 12mo | $459,000 | $306 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,658
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $55,542
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98635
- Home prices YoY
- -24.4%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,791 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,519/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$586
- Net cashflow
- $663
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $805 | -5% $734 | +0% $663 | +5% $592 | +10% $522 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $443 | -5% $553 | +0% $663 | +5% $773 | +10% $884 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $789 | -0.5pp $727 | base $663 | +0.5pp $598 | +1.0pp $533 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $250,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $250,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $250,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $250,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $250,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-04-03$250,000 Active 579-char remark
Show marketing remark (579 chars)
Investment opportunity awaits your creative mind. This home was formerly a 2 bedroom, 2 bath home that's been "gutted" with plans to make it a duplex. The owner has plans for the conversion or it could be kept as a single family home. The conversion has been permitted and the permit is transferable if the new owner so desires. It is situated on a large lot that can accommodate parking for both units, but the seller owns an adjacent parcel and is willing to provide a deeded ingress/egress easement across said parcel so the home can be accessed from both sides.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,519 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,450 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- +$931/yr (+$78/mo · 61.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,493
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$1,519
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,679
- − Management
- −$2,679
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable income
- $4,089
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$981
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,977/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lyle School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304590
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,641
- Composite
- 30.49/100
- National rank
- #11492
- State rank
- #261 of 291 in WA
Livability — Lyle
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #361
- US rank
- #13734
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lyle, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,033
Population outlook (Klickitat County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,337 people
- By 2030
- 22,829 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 23,382 · +4.7%
- By 2050
- 23,654 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 24,266 · +8.6%
- By 2100
- 23,782 · +6.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Italian 6% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Klickitat
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.3) · D 43.7% · R 53.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.2pp · 2024: -9.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.3 2020: R+9.4 2016: R+16.3 2012: R+7.8 2008: D+0.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.22%
- Current HPI
- 251.2278
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $250,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+40.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,519 · -23.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…