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502 W 4th St
C Composite 55.82
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$141,000

502 W 4th St · Taylor, TX 76574
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,148 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1925 7,013 sqft lot $123/sqft · 48% below area Est $272k · 48% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 1925 home full of character and classic details in the heart of Taylor. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers 1,148 sq ft of living space and features beautiful redwood flooring throughout, giving the home warmth and timeless appeal. The bathroom was recently updated with a walk-in shower installed in January 2024. Enjoy relaxing outdoors on the spacious front porch and wraparound porch, both recently rebuilt with all new wood. The home also features central AC installed in 2020 with a new condenser for added comfort. The kitchen includes a newer Samsung gas stove and dishwasher that will convey with the property. Situated on a 7,013 sq ft lot, this property blends historic charm with recent improvements and offers a wonderful opportunity to own a classic Taylor home with inviting outdoor spaces and vintage character. Property sold as-is, perfect opportunity to renovate

Key facts

  • Central ac
  • Spacious front porch
  • Walk-in shower

Tags

REDWOOD FLOORINGWALK-IN SHOWERSPACIOUS FRONT PORCHWRAPAROUND PORCHCENTRAL ACNEWER SAMSUNG GAS STOVE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $141k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $141k).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.3% in Taylor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#312 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Taylor ISD (town): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #726 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 314 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 7,543 units permitted in Williamson County in 2024 (1,425 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $975 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Williamson County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,770 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.02%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$272,444
List price
$141,000
Delta
-48.25%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
502 W 4th St 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,148 (0%) 0mo $141,000 $123 100
401 Shaw St 0.25mi 2/1.0 1,168 (+2%) 9mo $200,000 $171 78
609 W 6th St 0.13mi 2/1.0 1,167 (+2%) 18mo $215,000 $184 76
910 W 4th St 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,201 (+5%) 1mo $299,900 $250 69
1012 W 6th St 0.41mi 2/1.5 1,216 (+6%) 3mo $235,000 $193 67
1004 W 5th St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,127 (-2%) 6mo $274,900 $244 65
818 Kimbro St 0.41mi 2/1.0 1,100 (-4%) 11mo $219,000 $199 65
402 E 4th St 0.50mi 2/1.0 1,088 (-5%) 16mo $390,000 $358 55
611 Maple St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,048 (-9%) 4mo $120,000 $115 45
816 Lizzie St 0.69mi 2/1.5 1,088 (-5%) 24mo $210,000 $193 37
216 Lizzie St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,257 (+10%) 11mo $254,900 $203 35
1312 Kimbro St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (+7%) 15mo $310,000 $252 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-18,205
Equity at exit
$21,024
10-year hold
IRR
-9.3%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-19,748
Equity at exit
$12,191

Cash invested: $39,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76574

Home prices YoY
-32.3%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
314
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,538 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$739
Tax from tax record
$285 /mo · $3,417/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$132

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,371
Max offer price $141,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,250
Closing costs
$4,230
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
604 W 4th St Taylor, TX 2.0 1.0 946 $1,295 $1.37 43d 1 0.10mi
606 W 4th St Taylor, TX 2.0 1.0 946 $1,295 $1.37 43d 1 0.11mi
415 N Doak St Taylor, TX 2.0 1.0 880 $1,400 $1.59 43d 1 0.15mi
719 W 3rd St Taylor, TX 2.0 1.0 966 $1,750 $1.81 17d 1 0.23mi
600 Kimbro St Taylor, TX 3.0 2.5 1480 $2,250 $1.52 24d 1 0.23mi
401 Shaw St Taylor, TX 2.0 1.0 1168 $1,650 $1.41 17d 1 0.28mi
109 N Main St Unit A Taylor, TX 2.0 1.0 1495 $1,750 $1.17 2d 1 0.32mi
102 E 2nd St Unit 203 Taylor, TX 1.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 1d 1 0.33mi
806 W 8th St Taylor, TX 3.0 1.0 892 $1,600 $1.79 43d 1 0.35mi
400 Symes St Unit A Taylor, TX 2.0 1.0 784 $1,150 $1.47 4d 1 0.47mi
1117 W 4th St Taylor, TX 3.0 2.0 1334 $1,400 $1.05 17d 1 0.51mi
412 Booth St Unit A Taylor, TX 2.0 2.0 837 $1,395 $1.67 43d 1 0.59mi
610 Vernon St Unit Labs Taylor, TX 2.0 1.0 960 $1,550 $1.61 17d 1 0.63mi
410 Old Thorndale Rd Unit C Taylor, TX 1.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 22d 1 0.76mi
210 W Lake Dr Taylor, TX 2.0 1.5 1057 $1,450 $1.37 43d 1 0.82mi
2002 W 2nd St Unit 802 Taylor, TX 2.0 1.0 720 $1,100 $1.53 43d 1 1.05mi
350 Debus Dr Unit 121A Taylor, TX 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,795 $1.78 43d 1 1.10mi
350 Debus Dr Unit 204A Taylor, TX 2.0 2.0 952 $1,575 $1.65 22d 1 1.10mi
230 Debus Dr Taylor, TX 2.0 2.0 882 $1,350 $1.53 7d 1 1.10mi
230 Debus Dr Unit 100B Taylor, TX 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,723 $1.71 22d 1 1.10mi
2800 Bull Run Taylor, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $875 $1.25 20d 1 1.41mi
2800 Bull Run Unit 704 Taylor, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $875 $1.25 24d 1 1.41mi
2805 Davis St Unit A Taylor, TX 2.0 1.0 996 $1,500 $1.51 1d 1 1.43mi
2806 Bull Run Unit D Taylor, TX 2.0 2.0 864 $1,301 $1.51 24d 1 1.47mi
2806 Bull Run Taylor, TX 2.0 2.0 864 $1,295 $1.50 24d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Charming 1925 home full of character and classic details in the heart of Taylor. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers 1,148 sq ft of living space and features beautiful redwood flooring throughout, giving the home warmth and timeless appeal. The bathroom was recently updated with a walk-in shower installed in January 2024. Enjoy relaxing outdoors on the spacious front porch and wraparound porch, both recently rebuilt with all new wood. The home also features central AC installed in 2020 with a new condenser for added comfort. The kitchen includes a newer Samsung gas stove and dishwasher that will convey with the property. Situated on a 7,013 sq ft lot, this property blends historic charm with recent improvements and offers a wonderful opportunity to own a classic Taylor home with inviting outdoor spaces and vintage character. Property sold as-is, perfect opportunity to renovate

  2. 2026-04-21
    price $141,000 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Charming 1925 home full of character and classic details in the heart of Taylor. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers 1,148 sq ft of living space and features beautiful redwood flooring throughout, giving the home warmth and timeless appeal. The bathroom was recently updated with a walk-in shower installed in January 2024. Enjoy relaxing outdoors on the spacious front porch and wraparound porch, both recently rebuilt with all new wood. The home also features central AC installed in 2020 with a new condenser for added comfort. The kitchen includes a newer Samsung gas stove and dishwasher that will convey with the property. Situated on a 7,013 sq ft lot, this property blends historic charm with recent improvements and offers a wonderful opportunity to own a classic Taylor home with inviting outdoor spaces and vintage character. Property sold as-is, perfect opportunity to renovate

  3. 2026-04-06
    price $149,900 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Charming 1925 home full of character and classic details in the heart of Taylor. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers 1,148 sq ft of living space and features beautiful redwood flooring throughout, giving the home warmth and timeless appeal. The bathroom was recently updated with a walk-in shower installed in January 2024. Enjoy relaxing outdoors on the spacious front porch and wraparound porch, both recently rebuilt with all new wood. The home also features central AC installed in 2020 with a new condenser for added comfort. The kitchen includes a newer Samsung gas stove and dishwasher that will convey with the property. Situated on a 7,013 sq ft lot, this property blends historic charm with recent improvements and offers a wonderful opportunity to own a classic Taylor home with inviting outdoor spaces and vintage character. Property sold as-is, perfect opportunity to renovate

  4. 2026-03-23
    price $164,900 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Charming 1925 home full of character and classic details in the heart of Taylor. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers 1,148 sq ft of living space and features beautiful redwood flooring throughout, giving the home warmth and timeless appeal. The bathroom was recently updated with a walk-in shower installed in January 2024. Enjoy relaxing outdoors on the spacious front porch and wraparound porch, both recently rebuilt with all new wood. The home also features central AC installed in 2020 with a new condenser for added comfort. The kitchen includes a newer Samsung gas stove and dishwasher that will convey with the property. Situated on a 7,013 sq ft lot, this property blends historic charm with recent improvements and offers a wonderful opportunity to own a classic Taylor home with inviting outdoor spaces and vintage character. Property sold as-is, perfect opportunity to renovate

  5. 2026-03-18
    listed $179,900 Active 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Charming 1925 home full of character and classic details in the heart of Taylor. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence offers 1,148 sq ft of living space and features beautiful redwood flooring throughout, giving the home warmth and timeless appeal. The bathroom was recently updated with a walk-in shower installed in January 2024. Enjoy relaxing outdoors on the spacious front porch and wraparound porch, both recently rebuilt with all new wood. The home also features central AC installed in 2020 with a new condenser for added comfort. The kitchen includes a newer Samsung gas stove and dishwasher that will convey with the property. Situated on a 7,013 sq ft lot, this property blends historic charm with recent improvements and offers a wonderful opportunity to own a classic Taylor home with inviting outdoor spaces and vintage character. Property sold as-is, perfect opportunity to renovate

  6. 2005-11-07
    soldstatus
  7. 2002-07-01
    soldstatus 17-char remark
    Show marketing remark (17 chars)

    Restrictions: Yes

  8. 2002-05-20
    historical 17-char remark
    Show marketing remark (17 chars)

    Restrictions: Yes

  9. 2002-02-19
    listed $89,000 17-char remark
    Show marketing remark (17 chars)

    Restrictions: Yes

  10. 1999-03-12
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,417 · $285/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,417 · $285/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,461
− Mortgage interest
−$7,898
− Property taxes
−$3,417
− Insurance
−$705
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,477
− Management
−$1,477
− Depreciation
−$4,102
Taxable loss
−$615
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$148
After-tax cash flow
$1,736/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Taylor ISD
NCES district ID
4842280
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$45,330
Composite
20.35/100
National rank
#8606
State rank
#726 of 826 in TX

Livability — Taylor

Score
71/100
State rank
#312
US rank
#7013

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taylor, TX
County
Williamson County · 680,029 people
City population
20,242
Metro
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
Population (ZIP)
20,242
Household income
$78,568
Rent vs Own
23.4% rent · 76.6% own
Severe rent burden
371.0

Population outlook (Williamson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
699,027 people
By 2030
795,537 · +13.8%
By 2040
990,683 · +41.7%
By 2050
1,184,292 · +69.4%
By 2075
1,623,825 · +132.3%
By 2100
1,924,153 · +175.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 22% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 23% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Williamson

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 50.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -2.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.5 2020: D+1.4 2016: R+9.9 2012: R+21.5 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.71%
Current HPI
227.58
Rent YoY
▲ 0.43%
Metro
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+58.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending Unlock MLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $141,000 Unlock MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $149,900 Unlock MLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $164,900 Unlock MLS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $179,900 Unlock MLS
  • 2005-11-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-07-01 Sold (MLS) Unlock MLS
  • 2002-05-20 Delisted Unlock MLS
  • 2002-02-19 Listed $89,000 Unlock MLS
  • 1999-03-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,417 · -15.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…