714 S Medora St · Terrell, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment property, house is already gutted and ready for remodeling. Buyer and buyers agent to verify all details.
Key facts
- Investment property
- Ready for remodeling
- 9,148 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.8% in Terrell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#520 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, schools F.
- Terrell ISD (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #677 of 826 in TX (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 372 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.03%
- DSCR
- 1.58
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $252,761
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -48.61%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 412 S Park St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,439 (-4%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $146 | 80 |
| 914 S Frances St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,418 (-5%) | 6mo | $314,999 | $222 | 80 |
| 509 Bethlehem St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-3%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $83 | 70 |
| 1108 S Medora St | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,537 (+3%) | 6mo | $255,000 | $166 | 66 |
| 603 S Ann St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,624 (+9%) | 12mo | $299,990 | $185 | 64 |
| 404 Bethlehem St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,425 (-4%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $175 | 62 |
| 805 S Catherine St | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,270 (-15%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $157 | 58 |
| 212 Mineral Wells St | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,358 (-9%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $166 | 58 |
| 202 Campbell St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,617 (+8%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $164 | 50 |
| 200 Campbell St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,607 (+8%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $165 | 48 |
| 701 Rose Hill Rd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-10%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $130 | 47 |
| 200 1st St | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,358 (-9%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $96 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $4,242
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 12.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $36,640
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75160
- Home prices YoY
- -13.2%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,860 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$339 /mo · $4,071/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $395
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1210 S Frances St Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,700 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1300 S Adelaide St Terrell, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 785 | $1,413 | $1.80 | 1d | 9 | 0.61mi |
| 303 N Delphine St Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1526 | $1,950 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 203 E Brin St Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,500 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 111 Kennedy Dr Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $1,750 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 111 Kennedy Dr Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $1,750 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1001 Mineral Wells St Terrell, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,299 | $1.28 | 1d | 3 | 0.90mi |
| 507 Campbell St Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,950 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 113 Destiny Ct Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 113 Brookline Dr Terrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,975 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 226 Still Glen Dr Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,900 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 221 Woodlands Blvd Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,950 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 920 N Virginia St Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,650 | $1.79 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 231 Woodlands Blvd Terrell, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1629 | $2,000 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 230 Woodlands Blvd Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 236 Woodlands Blvd Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,949 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 105 Capewood Dr Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $1,950 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-02-26$129,900 Active 122-char remark
Show marketing remark (122 chars)
Great Investment property, house is already gutted and ready for remodeling. Buyer and buyers agent to verify all details.
-
2024-04-11soldstatus
-
2010-11-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,071 · $339/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,071 · $339/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,322
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$4,071
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,786
- − Management
- −$1,786
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $2,975
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$714
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,025/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Terrell ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842450
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,265
- Composite
- 23.57/100
- National rank
- #7855
- State rank
- #677 of 826 in TX
Livability — Terrell
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #520
- US rank
- #10213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Terrell, TX
- County
- Kaufman County · 122,338 people
- City population
- 28,206
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,206
- Household income
- $71,801
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 845.0
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 19% Black 18%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 24% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.39%
- Current HPI
- 278.507
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Listed $129,900 NTREIS
- 2024-04-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-11-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,071 · +50.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…