77006 Lauppe Ln · Citrus Heights, CA 95621

$95,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · Manufactured · 14 Days on market

Built 2018 $132/sqft · 56% above area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Single Wide In 55+ Park * Light and Bright * Newer Built Home in 2018 * New Vinyl Flooring Installed In Living Room * $1018 Space Rent * Space Rent Includes Swimming Pool, and Park Maintenance * Covered Deck * Gas Range * Easy Access To Hwy 80 Freeway * Driveway To Home With Covered Carport * Don't Miss This Opportunity!

Key facts

• Covered deck
• Gas range
• New vinyl flooring

Tags

• NEW VINYL FLOORING
• COVERED DECK
• GAS RANGE
• EASY ACCESS TO HWY 80 FREEWAY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $904 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
• Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 3.4% in Citrus Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 60/100 on livability (#614 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
• San Juan Unified (suburban): math 40% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #138 of 517 in CA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 210 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,825 units permitted in Sacramento County in 2024 (1,752 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sacramento County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $95,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.99% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.71%
• Cash-on-cash: 40.77%
• DSCR: 2.81
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $60,900
• List price: $95,000
• Delta: 55.99%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 10 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
77262 Lauppe Ln	0.21mi	2/2.0	720 (0%)	2mo	$80,000	$111	84
77024 Lauppe Ln	0.08mi	2/1.0	652 (-9%)	2mo	$99,500	$153	79
77102 Lauppe Ln	0.17mi	2/1.5	800 (+11%)	5mo	$65,000	$81	67
77264 Lauppe Ln	0.21mi	1/1.0 (-1)	700 (-3%)	19mo	$50,000	$71	65
77140 Lauppe Ln	0.11mi	1/1.0 (-1)	800 (+11%)	15mo	$94,000	$118	59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 36.0%
• Equity multiple: 2.51×
• Total profit: $40,090
• Equity at exit: $14,165

10-year hold

• IRR: 42.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.79×
• Total profit: $100,681
• Equity at exit: $8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 95621

• Rents YoY: 1.9%
• Active inventory: 210
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,888 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$498
• Tax from tax record: −$50 /mo · $598/yr
• Insurance: −$40
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$396
• Net cashflow: $904

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744

Max offer price $95,000

Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $23,750
• Closing costs: $2,850
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 10 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7541 Ramona Ln Citrus Heights, CA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	837	$2,295	$2.74	2d	9	0.59mi
7727 Mariposa Ave Unit 5 Citrus Heights, CA	2.0	1.0	725	$1,795	$2.48	44d	1	0.76mi
7434 Auburn Oaks Ct Citrus Heights, CA	1.0–2.0	1.0	790	$1,875	$2.37	24d	4	0.83mi
6413 Tupelo Dr Citrus Heights, CA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	775	$2,000	$2.58	2d	10	1.09mi
7840 Antelope Rd Citrus Heights, CA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	840	$1,675	$1.99	44d	1	1.20mi
7849 Sunrise Blvd Citrus Heights, CA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	842	$1,800	$2.14	8d	1	1.23mi
6635 Sylvan Rd Citrus Heights, CA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	865	$2,120	$2.45	8d	8	1.31mi
7918 Blazingwood Dr Citrus Heights, CA	1.0	1.0	420	$1,600	$3.81	15d	1	1.36mi
6650 Crosswoods Cir Citrus Heights, CA	1.0	1.0	465	$1,575	$3.39	2d	6	1.36mi
7522 Sunrise Blvd Unit 607 Citrus Heights, CA	1.0	1.0	635	$1,650	$2.60	44d	1	1.40mi

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $598 · $50/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $722 · $60/mo
• Expected delta: +$124/yr (+$10/mo · 20.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 36 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,654
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,321
• − Property taxes: −$598
• − Insurance: −$475
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,812
• − Management: −$1,812
• − Depreciation: −$2,764
• Taxable income: $9,872
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,369
• After-tax cash flow: $8,477/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: San Juan Unified
• NCES district ID: 0634620
• Math proficiency: 40% ▲ 3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 62% ▲ 16.00%
• Median HH income: $55,655
• Composite: 44.07/100
• National rank: #2878
• State rank: #138 of 517 in CA

Livability — Citrus Heights

• Score: 60/100
• State rank: #614
• US rank: #19580

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Citrus Heights, CA
• County: Sacramento County · 1,539,646 people
• City population: 89,370
• Metro: Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
• Population (ZIP): 42,442
• Household income: $80,901
• Rent vs Own: 31.9% rent · 68.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1854.0

Population outlook (Sacramento County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,660,763 people
• By 2030: 1,732,990 · +4.3%
• By 2040: 1,855,755 · +11.7%
• By 2050: 1,941,335 · +16.9%
• By 2075: 2,046,162 · +23.2%
• By 2100: 1,961,444 · +18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (66%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 66% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 11% Asian 6% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 16%
• Common ancestry: Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Sacramento

• 2024 margin: D (+19.7) · D 58.1% · R 38.4% · Other 3.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +0.7pp no change · 2008: 19.0pp · 2024: 19.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+19.7 2020: D+25.3 2016: D+23.7 2012: D+16.3 2008: D+19.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -408.14%
• Current HPI: 351.9333
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.90%
• Metro: Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Property tax history

-4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $598 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.