Duplex
2003 Spain St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Prime investment opportunity in St. Roch - Renovation-Ready Duplex. Situated on a corner lot and includes a private driveway for convenient off-street parking. Fully gutted and ready for completion. Upgrades include roof (2021), framing, and windows. Zoned HU-RD2
Key facts
- Fully gutted
- Private driveway
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $129k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $763/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 4.3% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Benjamin Franklin Elem. Math And Science (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #479 of 646 statewide, top 75%, 747 students, 98% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 68% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 588 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $49k; list at $129k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.87%
- DSCR
- 3.35
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $283,835
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- -54.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2530 32 N Galvez St | 0.25mi | 5/3.0 | 2,402 (-2%) | 8mo | $214,900 | $89 | 74 |
| 2024 26 St Anthony St | 0.52mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,482 (+1%) | 6mo | $350,000 | $141 | 55 |
| 1612 14 Saint Roch Ave | 0.26mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,660 (+9%) | 6mo | $500,000 | $188 | 55 |
| 1827 29 Frenchmen St | 0.31mi | 5/3.0 | 2,160 (-12%) | 9mo | $360,000 | $167 | 54 |
| 1618 20 Touro St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,624 (+7%) | 10mo | $92,500 | $35 | 53 |
| 1810 Allen St | 0.67mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,390 (-2%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $111 | 49 |
| 2825-27 Spain St | 0.66mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,496 (+2%) | 7mo | $385,000 | $154 | 47 |
| 2009 11 Montegut St | 0.65mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,256 (-8%) | 7mo | $37,500 | $17 | 46 |
| 2535-37 N Rampart St | 0.71mi | 5/2.0 | 2,700 (+10%) | 7mo | $350,000 | $130 | 44 |
| 2329-2331 Saint Anthony St | 0.56mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,156 (-12%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $60 | 42 |
| 1966 N Prieur St | 0.48mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,166 (-12%) | 6mo | $308,000 | $142 | 40 |
| 2117 19 Marais St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,084 (-15%) | 5mo | $295,000 | $142 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $74,713
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- 53.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.09×
- Total profit
- $183,979
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70117
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 588
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,013 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $702/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$633
- Net cashflow
- $1,525
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,598 | -5% $1,562 | +0% $1,525 | +5% $1,489 | +10% $1,452 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,287 | -5% $1,406 | +0% $1,525 | +5% $1,644 | +10% $1,763 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,590 | -0.5pp $1,558 | base $1,525 | +0.5pp $1,492 | +1.0pp $1,458 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $3,014 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,507 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,507 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,013 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2107 Elysian Fields Ave New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1794 | $1,650 | $0.92 | 5d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2920 Pauger St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1882 | $1,995 | $1.06 | 26d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3228 Pauger St New Orleans, LA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 26d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2317 N Rampart St Unit 1272378P New Orleans, LA | 3.0–6.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1581 | $6,144 | $3.88 | 5d | 2 | 0.71mi |
| 1860 Burgundy St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3000 | $3,500 | $1.17 | 26d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3400 Royal St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3300 | $6,900 | $2.09 | 46d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 811 Burgundy St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2059 | $5,000 | $2.43 | 46d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3302 Metropolitan St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 19d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $129,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-04-29price $129,000 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Prime investment opportunity in St. Roch – Renovation-Ready Duplex. Situated on a corner lot and includes a private driveway for convenient off-street parking. Fully gutted and ready for completion. Upgrades include roof (2021), framing, and windows. Zoned HU-RD2
-
2026-04-29price $129,000 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Prime investment opportunity in St. Roch – Renovation-Ready Duplex. Situated on a corner lot and includes a private driveway for convenient off-street parking. Fully gutted and ready for completion. Upgrades include roof (2021), framing, and windows. Zoned HU-RD2
-
2026-03-02price $139,000 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Prime investment opportunity in St. Roch – Renovation-Ready Duplex. Situated on a corner lot and includes a private driveway for convenient off-street parking. Fully gutted and ready for completion. Upgrades include roof (2021), framing, and windows. Zoned HU-RD2
-
2026-03-02price $139,000 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Prime investment opportunity in St. Roch – Renovation-Ready Duplex. Situated on a corner lot and includes a private driveway for convenient off-street parking. Fully gutted and ready for completion. Upgrades include roof (2021), framing, and windows. Zoned HU-RD2
-
2026-02-13$149,000 Active 263-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Prime investment opportunity in St. Roch – Renovation-Ready Duplex. Situated on a corner lot and includes a private driveway for convenient off-street parking. Fully gutted and ready for completion. Upgrades include roof (2021), framing, and windows. Zoned HU-RD2
-
2026-02-13$149,000 Active 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Prime investment opportunity in St. Roch – Renovation-Ready Duplex. Situated on a corner lot and includes a private driveway for convenient off-street parking. Fully gutted and ready for completion. Upgrades include roof (2021), framing, and windows. Zoned HU-RD2
-
2025-07-01price $205,000
-
2025-07-01price $205,000
-
2025-07-01$205,000 Active
-
2025-06-19$149,000 Active
-
2025-03-20$150,000 Active
-
2025-03-20$150,000 Active
-
2019-10-10soldstatus $49,000
-
2006-12-12soldstatus $25,750
-
2006-03-29$23,900
-
2006-03-29$23,900
-
1977-08-15soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $702 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $710 · $59/mo
- Expected delta
- +$7/yr (+$1/mo · 1.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$702
- − Insurance
- −$1,442
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,892
- − Management
- −$2,892
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $17,248
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,139
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,161/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,652
- Household income
- $45,764
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1988.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 30% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -177.22%
- Current HPI
- 184.6061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.49%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+460.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $129,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $129,000 GSREIN
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $139,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $139,000 GSREIN
- 2026-02-13 Listed $149,000 GSREIN
- 2026-02-13 Listed $149,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-01 Price Changed $205,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-07-01 Price Changed $205,000 GSREIN
- 2025-07-01 Listed $205,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-06-19 Listed $149,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-20 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-03-20 Listed $150,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2019-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
- 2006-12-12 Sold (MLS) $25,750 GSREIN
- 2006-03-29 Listed $23,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2006-03-29 Listed $23,900 GSREIN
- 1977-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2026): $702 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…