CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4810 Heathers Cross
D+ Composite 45.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0

$252,500

4810 Heathers Cross · St. Hedwig, TX 78152
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,994 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 184 Days on market
Built 2021 6,141 sqft lot Est $363k · 30% under $21/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Spacious two story home with 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bath, office and game room. Open floorplan living room. Island kitchen with stainless steel appliances: stove, microwave, dishwasher and disposal. Office with French doors. Upstairs bedrooms with game room. Primary bedroom with full bath and walk-in closet. Nice size secondary bedrooms. Covered patio in privacy fenced backyard. Two car attached garage. Easy access to IH-35 and Loop 1604. Near Randolph Air Force Base and Fort Sam Houston. Minutes to shops and restaurants. 3.25 VA int rate can be assumed

Key facts

  • Island kitchen
  • Easy access to ih-35
  • Covered patio

Tags

ISLAND KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCOVERED PATIOPRIVACY FENCED BACKYARDEASY ACCESS TO IH-35NEAR RANDOLPH AIR FORCE BASE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Down payment assistance resources available
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; HOA dues $250 annually; Association transfer fee $250

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water system; Public sewer system
  • Home design: Pre-owned single-family home; Built by Rausch Coleman Homes (approx. 5 years old); Cement fiber exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Subdivision: HEATHERS PLACE / ASHER PLACE
  • Construction: Cement fiber exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Approximately 5 years old; Pre-owned
  • Exterior features: Privacy fence; Paved street with curbs and sidewalks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove / range; Dishwasher; Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on upper level (15 x 14); Bedroom 2 (12 x 10); Bedroom 3 (11 x 10)
  • Flooring: Carpeting; Linoleum flooring
  • Bathrooms: Three total bathrooms (2 full, 1 half); Master bath with tub/shower combination (9 x 8)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (1 unit)
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Two living areas; Eat-in kitchen; Study / library; Game room; Utility room inside; Cable TV available; High speed internet; Some window coverings remain; Disposal
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Utility room (8 x 6)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $252k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-212 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (14.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (27.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (27.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.0% in St. Hedwig — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Schertz-Cibolo-U City ISD (suburban): math 49% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #152 of 826 in TX (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($124k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,413 (27.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
5.29%
Cash-on-cash
-3.59%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$362,908
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13222 Hagerd 0.25mi 3/2.5 2,133 (+7%) 3mo $289,000 $135 74
4538 Heathers Rose 0.11mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,216 (+11%) 1mo $275,000 $124 71
12928 Cicely Ct 0.43mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,903 (-5%) 2mo $234,900 $123 66
13008 Lineberry Ln 0.48mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,903 (-5%) 3mo $234,900 $123 63
5016 Rancagua 0.72mi 3/2.5 2,037 (+2%) 4mo $337,500 $166 60
13027 Dolomar Pkwy 0.31mi 3/2.5 1,700 (-15%) 3mo $224,347 $132 58
12646 Olozaga 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,901 (-5%) 1mo $345,500 $182 56
12711 El Arrayan 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,901 (-5%) 0mo $345,500 $182 55
5019 Royal Mile 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,901 (-5%) 2mo $347,000 $183 50
5012 Rancagua 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,901 (-5%) 3mo $351,500 $185 49
12668 Olozaga 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,703 (-15%) 1mo $333,000 $196 39
5024 Rancagua 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,703 (-15%) 1mo $333,000 $196 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.24% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-11,132
Equity at exit
$89,419
10-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$3,258
Equity at exit
$121,361

Cash invested: $70,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78152

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,834 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,324
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,523/yr
Insurance
$105
HOA
$21
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$-212

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,102
Max offer price $215,109
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,125
Closing costs
$7,575
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13039 Heathers Sun Saint Hedwig, TX 4.0 2.5 2216 $1,895 $0.86 24d 1 0.08mi
4614 Heathers Cross Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1770 $1,850 $1.05 24d 1 0.12mi
4522 Heathers Cross Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1652 $1,900 $1.15 16d 1 0.17mi
13111 Bay Point Way Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1642 $1,595 $0.97 24d 1 0.23mi
13311 Badlands Bnd Saint Hedwig, TX 4.0 2.5 2471 $2,250 $0.91 11d 1 0.24mi
13023 Heathers Elm Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1234 $1,500 $1.22 2d 1 0.24mi
13014 Rosemary Cv Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1479 $1,800 $1.22 24d 1 0.33mi
5333 Basil Chase Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,680 $1.14 15d 1 0.33mi
13003 Rosemary Cv Converse, TX 4.0 3.0 1910 $1,726 $0.90 11d 1 0.35mi
13014 Candace Way Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1553 $1,675 $1.08 4d 1 0.37mi
4241 Fort Palmer Blvd Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1858 $1,880 $1.01 2d 1 0.38mi
13038 Candace Way Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1689 $1,675 $0.99 4d 1 0.39mi
13112 Candace Way Saint Hedwig, TX 4.0 2.5 1903 $1,750 $0.92 4d 1 0.43mi
5330 Lisa Pt Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1250 $1,450 $1.16 1d 1 0.43mi
13019 Lineberry Ln Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1689 $1,638 $0.97 15d 1 0.43mi
13117 Candace Way Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 1903 $1,800 $0.95 4d 1 0.44mi
4211 Asher Aly Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,438 $1.15 3d 1 0.46mi
5424 Thyme Cor Saint Hedwig, TX 4.0 2.0 1667 $1,450 $0.87 20d 1 0.47mi
3936 Abbott Pass Unit 101 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,450 $1.08 22d 1 0.49mi
3932 Abbott Pass Unit 102 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,495 $1.11 24d 1 0.49mi
12811 Sage Turn Converse, TX 4.0 3.0 1914 $1,800 $0.94 24d 1 0.51mi
12922 Sage Turn Saint Hedwig, TX 4.0 2.0 1667 $1,597 $0.96 24d 1 0.51mi
3937 Abbott Pass Unit 102 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,495 $1.11 43d 1 0.52mi
3933 Abbott Pass Unit 101 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,450 $1.08 24d 1 0.52mi
3925 Abbott Pass Unit 101 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,450 $1.08 43d 1 0.52mi
3921 Abbott Pass Unit 101 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,595 $1.19 11d 1 0.52mi
3909 Asher Aly Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1575 $1,399 $0.89 1d 1 0.54mi
4018 Fallow Xing Saint Hedwig, TX 4.0 2.5 2316 $2,050 $0.89 22d 1 0.54mi
5214 Winding Strm Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1398 $1,500 $1.07 17d 1 0.56mi
5214 Winding Strm Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1401 $1,500 $1.07 4d 1 0.56mi
5602 Daniel Way Saint Hedwig, TX 4.0 2.5 2445 $1,995 $0.82 11d 1 0.56mi
5602 Daniel Way Saint Hedwig, TX 4.0 2.5 2445 $1,995 $0.82 24d 1 0.56mi
13015 Kathleen St Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1235 $1,540 $1.25 22d 1 0.57mi
13015 Kathleen St Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1235 $1,540 $1.25 24d 1 0.57mi
5227 Dawn Break Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1826 $1,695 $0.93 20d 1 0.58mi
3815 Abbott Pass Unit 102 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,450 $1.08 43d 1 0.58mi
13015 Red Elks Lks Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,650 $1.14 2d 1 0.59mi
13715 Summer Lgt Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1401 $1,575 $1.12 3d 1 0.61mi
3923 Ivy Path Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,600 $1.11 24d 1 0.62mi
5006 Dawn Break Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1826 $1,695 $0.93 24d 1 0.65mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$21 · $252/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $252,500 Active 184 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $252,500 Active 183 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $252,500 Active 182 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $252,500 Active 179 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $252,500 Active 178 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $252,500 Active 175 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $252,500 Active 174 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $252,500 Active 173 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $252,500 Active 170 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $252,500 Active 169 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $252,500 Active 168 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $252,500 Active 167 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $252,500 Active 166 DOM
  14. 2026-05-17
    price $252,500
  15. 2026-04-16
    price $255,000
  16. 2026-04-03
    price $257,500
  17. 2026-03-18
    price $260,000
  18. 2026-03-10
    price $269,500
  19. 2026-01-08
    price $279,500
  20. 2025-12-17
    price $285,000
  21. 2025-12-16
    listed $289,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,523 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,621 · $385/mo
Expected delta
+$2,097/yr (+$175/mo · 83.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,010
− Mortgage interest
−$14,144
− Property taxes
−$2,523
− Insurance
−$1,262
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,761
− Management
−$1,761
− HOA
−$252
− Depreciation
−$7,345
Taxable loss
−$7,039
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,689
After-tax cash flow
$-851/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Schertz-Cibolo-U City ISD
NCES district ID
4839480
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$75,790
Composite
44.02/100
National rank
#2886
State rank
#152 of 826 in TX

Livability — St. Hedwig

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
3,958
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
4,521
Household income
$123,981
Rent vs Own
16.6% rent · 83.4% own
Severe rent burden
27.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 21% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 17% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.24%
Current HPI
328.7859
Rent YoY
▼ -0.90%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.6% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $252,500 LERA
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $255,000 LERA
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $257,500 LERA
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $260,000 LERA
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $269,500 LERA
  • 2026-01-08 Price Changed $279,500 LERA
  • 2025-12-17 Price Changed $285,000 LERA
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $289,000 LERA

Property tax history

-29.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,523 · -57.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…