9508 Palmetto Ln · Shreveport, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$178,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom gem nestled in one of Southwest Shreveport's most welcoming neighborhoods in the 71118 zip code. Welcome home to this charming 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom gem nestled in one of Southwest Shreveport's most welcoming neighborhoods in the 71118 zip code. From the moment you pull up, you will appreciate the inviting curb appeal and the convenience of a spacious carport that keeps your vehicle protected from sun and rain year round. Step inside to discover a thoughtfully designed floor plan with comfortable living spaces perfect for both quiet evenings and lively gatherings. The bright living area flows naturally into the kitchen and dining space, cr
Key facts
- Bright living area
- Spacious carport
- 0.45 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property for sale (Active); Possession at closing/funding; Listing held with exclusive right to sell
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Covered carport for 2 vehicles; Concrete parking surface; No garage
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1960; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approximately 0.446 acre); Subdivision: Lambert Park Sub
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; One living area; One dining area; Fireplace (gas and wood-burning)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $178k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($121/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (18.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $145k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($173k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $120k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.24%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $189,215
- List price
- $178,000
- Delta
- -5.93%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9443 Primrose Ln | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,805 (+6%) | 4mo | $189,900 | $105 | 76 |
| 837 Drewry Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,650 (-4%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $55 | 73 |
| 9355 Kingston Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,616 (-6%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $123 | 72 |
| 9427 Primrose Ln | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 | 1,893 (+11%) | 3mo | $185,500 | $98 | 72 |
| 9629 Fairlawn Ct | 0.30mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,810 (+6%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $97 | 70 |
| 1144 Hallmark Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-5%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $123 | 63 |
| 830 Elmdale St | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,705 (-0%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $126 | 61 |
| 1003 Bridal Wreath Trl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,836 (+7%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $108 | 60 |
| 9320 New London St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,540 (-10%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $143 | 51 |
| 9224 Midvale Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,530 (-10%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $134 | 45 |
| 9146 Kingston Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,453 (-15%) | 3mo | $76,000 | $52 | 42 |
| 9312 Pine Grove St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,940 (+14%) | 5mo | $229,000 | $118 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-30,056
- Equity at exit
- $26,540
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-32,769
- Equity at exit
- $15,390
Cash invested: $49,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71118
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,455 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$933
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,579/yr
- Insurance
- −$74
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $111 | -5% $60 | +0% $10 | +5% $-40 | +10% $-91 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-105 | -5% $-47 | +0% $10 | +5% $68 | +10% $125 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $100 | -0.5pp $55 | base $10 | +0.5pp $-36 | +1.0pp $-83 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,500
- Closing costs
- $5,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9434 Palmetto Ln Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1122 | $1,425 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 9471 Blom Blvd Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1303 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1029 Bert Kouns Industrial Loop Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,500 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2045 Bert Kouns Industrial Loop Shreveport, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1006 | $1,320 | $1.31 | 44d | 11 | 0.88mi |
| 9295 Savanna Dr Shreveport, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1297 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 9137 Mansfield Rd Shreveport, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1018 | $1,700 | $1.67 | 14d | 3 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $178,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $178,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $178,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $178,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $178,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $178,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $178,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $178,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $178,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $178,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $178,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $178,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $178,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $178,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $178,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $178,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-20$178,000 Active 1676-char remark
-
2012-10-08soldstatus $120,200
-
1999-11-18soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,579 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,579 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,458
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,971
- − Property taxes
- −$1,579
- − Insurance
- −$890
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,397
- − Management
- −$1,397
- − Depreciation
- −$5,178
- Taxable loss
- −$2,953
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$709
- After-tax cash flow
- $830/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caddo Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200300
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -30.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,227
- Composite
- 22.23/100
- National rank
- #8148
- State rank
- #53 of 98 in LA
Livability — Shreveport
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #19730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shreveport, LA
- County
- Caddo Parish · 178,536 people
- City population
- 164,123
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,219
- Household income
- $50,287
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1046.0
Population outlook (Caddo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 243,190 people
- By 2030
- 237,231 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 222,502 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 206,516 · -15.1%
- By 2075
- 165,706 · -31.9%
- By 2100
- 122,262 · -49.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 33% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Caddo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.6% · R 47.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.0pp · 2024: 4.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.6 2020: D+6.8 2016: D+4.2 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.81%
- Current HPI
- 129.1782
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.74%
- Metro
- Shreveport-Bossier City, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+48.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $178,000 NTREIS
- 2012-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $120,200 Public Records
- 1999-11-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,579 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…