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1228 Ironwood Dr
F Composite 20.82
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +5.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$255,000

1228 Ironwood Dr · South Bend, IN 46617
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1957 7,841 sqft lot $245/sqft · 91% above area Est $236k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Possibilities are endless with this adorable Ranch near the campus of Notre Dame! Hardwood floors, wood burning fireplace and finished basement are just a few amenities this home offers. With some much needed updates and a little TLC this home could be absolutely perfect! Seller is offering a 1-year home warranty as well!

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1957

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One story
  • Construction: Stone and vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 140 (0.18 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Window treatments; One fireplace in the living room; Basement (full, partially finished)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-513 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (35.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (45.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (45.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
  • South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Edison Middle School (math 7% / reading 13%, grade F, #314 of 330 statewide, top 95%, 381 students, 84% FRL); Adams High School (math 28% / reading 57%, grade F, #195 of 369 statewide, top 53%, 1,976 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $107k; list at $255k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $139,831 (45.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.55%
Cap rate
3.88%
Cash-on-cash
-8.63%
DSCR
0.62
GRM
15.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$236,405
List price
$255,000
Delta
7.87%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2202 Rockne Dr 0.26mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+1%) 10mo $195,000 $186 78
2715 Edison Rd 0.38mi 3/1.0 1,080 (+4%) 6mo $182,500 $169 70
1329 Pyle Ave 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,137 (+9%) 9mo $220,000 $193 69
2609 Anzio Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 912 (-12%) 0mo $190,000 $208 68
1904 E Hartman Dr 0.20mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,149 (+10%) 1mo $207,000 $180 67
2405 Rockne Dr 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,184 (+14%) 2mo $210,000 $177 66
3215 Bentley Ln 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+2%) 3mo $180,000 $169 60
1741 Rockne Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,078 (+4%) 11mo $305,000 $283 58
1234 N Twyckenham Dr 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,155 (+11%) 11mo $375,000 $325 47
1243 Browne Ln 0.71mi 3/1.0 896 (-14%) 1mo $180,000 $201 43
1312 Brummit Ln 0.64mi 3/1.0 896 (-14%) 5mo $151,000 $169 42
822 N Jacob St 0.71mi 3/1.0 936 (-10%) 10mo $195,000 $208 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-31.3%
Equity multiple
-0.03×
Total profit
$-73,670
Equity at exit
$38,021
10-year hold
IRR
-33.8%
Equity multiple
-0.47×
Total profit
$-104,790
Equity at exit
$22,048

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46617

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
140
Price-to-rent
15.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,398 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$175 /mo · $2,096/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$-513

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,048
Max offer price $164,288
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-369 -5% $-441 +0% $-513 +5% $-586 +10% $-658
Rent -10% $-624 -5% $-569 +0% $-513 +5% $-458 +10% $-403
Rate -1.0pp $-385 -0.5pp $-449 base $-513 +0.5pp $-580 +1.0pp $-647

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1512 Rosemary Ln South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 910 $1,138 $1.25 22d 1 0.27mi
1222 Chalfant St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0 992 $1,300 $1.31 44d 1 0.96mi
1234 Bissell St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 704 $1,249 $1.77 44d 1 0.97mi
1018 S Bend Ave South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0–2.0 836 $2,950 $3.53 14d 27 1.03mi
1145 N Eddy St South Bend, IN 3.0 1.0–3.0 959 $4,377 $4.56 44d 1 1.03mi
300 Pin Oak Cir Mishawaka, IN 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 835 $1,225 $1.47 14d 1 1.36mi
3001 E Jefferson Blvd South Bend, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 848 $1,329 $1.57 14d 21 1.38mi
427 S 27th St South Bend, IN 2.0 1.0 840 $950 $1.13 44d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    listed $255,000 Active 1356-char remark
  2. 2026-02-13
    status Active
  3. 2026-02-13
    historical Active Under Contract
  4. 2026-01-06
    listed $255,000 Active
  5. 2020-04-29
    soldstatus $107,000
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    The Possibilities are endless with this adorable Ranch near the campus of Notre Dame! Hardwood floors, wood burning fireplace and finished basement are just a few amenities this home offers. With some much needed updates and a little TLC this home could be absolutely perfect! Seller is offering a 1-year home warranty as well!

  6. 2020-02-28
    listed $107,500
    Show marketing remark (327 chars)

    The Possibilities are endless with this adorable Ranch near the campus of Notre Dame! Hardwood floors, wood burning fireplace and finished basement are just a few amenities this home offers. With some much needed updates and a little TLC this home could be absolutely perfect! Seller is offering a 1-year home warranty as well!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,096 · $175/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,132 · $178/mo
Expected delta
+$36/yr (+$3/mo · 1.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,780
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$2,096
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,342
− Management
−$1,342
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$10,978
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,635
After-tax cash flow
$-3,527/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Bend Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1810290
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$41,935
Composite
14.21/100
National rank
#9452
State rank
#284 of 301 in IN

Livability — South Bend

Score
64/100
State rank
#365
US rank
#13730

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Bend, IN
County
Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
City population
99,767
Metro
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
Population (ZIP)
10,032
Household income
$74,186
Rent vs Own
37.4% rent · 62.6% own
Severe rent burden
422.0

Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
273,186 people
By 2030
273,594 · +0.1%
By 2040
271,641 · -0.6%
By 2050
269,187 · -1.5%
By 2075
263,136 · -3.7%
By 2100
245,659 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -163.04%
Current HPI
260.7904
Rent YoY
▲ 3.30%
Metro
South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+137.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $255,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Contingent IRMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $255,000 IRMLS
  • 2020-04-29 Sold (MLS) $107,000 IRMLS
  • 2020-02-28 Listed $107,500 IRMLS

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,096 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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