1228 Ironwood Dr · South Bend, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- ARV discount +4.0/15.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- 1% rule +0.5/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$255,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Possibilities are endless with this adorable Ranch near the campus of Notre Dame! Hardwood floors, wood burning fireplace and finished basement are just a few amenities this home offers. With some much needed updates and a little TLC this home could be absolutely perfect! Seller is offering a 1-year home warranty as well!
Key facts
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1957
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (site-built); One story
- Construction: Stone and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 140 (0.18 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Gas range
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Window treatments; One fireplace in the living room; Basement (full, partially finished)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-513 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (35.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $140k (45.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $140k (45.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#365 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, crime F.
- South Bend Community School Corporation (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #284 of 301 in IN (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Edison Middle School (math 7% / reading 13%, grade F, #314 of 330 statewide, top 95%, 381 students, 84% FRL); Adams High School (math 28% / reading 57%, grade F, #195 of 369 statewide, top 53%, 1,976 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 70% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 754 units permitted in St. Joseph County in 2024 (460 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $107k; list at $255k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.55% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.63%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 15.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $236,405
- List price
- $255,000
- Delta
- 7.87%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2202 Rockne Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+1%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $186 | 78 |
| 2715 Edison Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (+4%) | 6mo | $182,500 | $169 | 70 |
| 1329 Pyle Ave | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,137 (+9%) | 9mo | $220,000 | $193 | 69 |
| 2609 Anzio Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (-12%) | 0mo | $190,000 | $208 | 68 |
| 1904 E Hartman Dr | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,149 (+10%) | 1mo | $207,000 | $180 | 67 |
| 2405 Rockne Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,184 (+14%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $177 | 66 |
| 3215 Bentley Ln | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,064 (+2%) | 3mo | $180,000 | $169 | 60 |
| 1741 Rockne Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,078 (+4%) | 11mo | $305,000 | $283 | 58 |
| 1234 N Twyckenham Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,155 (+11%) | 11mo | $375,000 | $325 | 47 |
| 1243 Browne Ln | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 896 (-14%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $201 | 43 |
| 1312 Brummit Ln | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 896 (-14%) | 5mo | $151,000 | $169 | 42 |
| 822 N Jacob St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-10%) | 10mo | $195,000 | $208 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-73,670
- Equity at exit
- $38,021
- IRR
- -33.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.47×
- Total profit
- $-104,790
- Equity at exit
- $22,048
Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46617
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 15.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,398 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,337
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,096/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $-513
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-369 | -5% $-441 | +0% $-513 | +5% $-586 | +10% $-658 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-624 | -5% $-569 | +0% $-513 | +5% $-458 | +10% $-403 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-385 | -0.5pp $-449 | base $-513 | +0.5pp $-580 | +1.0pp $-647 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,750
- Closing costs
- $7,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1512 Rosemary Ln South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,138 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1222 Chalfant St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,300 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1234 Bissell St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,249 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1018 S Bend Ave South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $2,950 | $3.53 | 14d | 27 | 1.03mi |
| 1145 N Eddy St South Bend, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 959 | $4,377 | $4.56 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 300 Pin Oak Cir Mishawaka, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 835 | $1,225 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3001 E Jefferson Blvd South Bend, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $1,329 | $1.57 | 14d | 21 | 1.38mi |
| 427 S 27th St South Bend, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $950 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-07$255,000 Active 1356-char remark
-
2026-02-13status Active
-
2026-02-13historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-06$255,000 Active
-
2020-04-29soldstatus $107,000
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
The Possibilities are endless with this adorable Ranch near the campus of Notre Dame! Hardwood floors, wood burning fireplace and finished basement are just a few amenities this home offers. With some much needed updates and a little TLC this home could be absolutely perfect! Seller is offering a 1-year home warranty as well!
-
2020-02-28$107,500
Show marketing remark (327 chars)
The Possibilities are endless with this adorable Ranch near the campus of Notre Dame! Hardwood floors, wood burning fireplace and finished basement are just a few amenities this home offers. With some much needed updates and a little TLC this home could be absolutely perfect! Seller is offering a 1-year home warranty as well!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,096 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,132 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- +$36/yr (+$3/mo · 1.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,780
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,284
- − Property taxes
- −$2,096
- − Insurance
- −$1,275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,342
- − Management
- −$1,342
- − Depreciation
- −$7,418
- Taxable loss
- −$10,978
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,635
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,527/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- South Bend Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1810290
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,935
- Composite
- 14.21/100
- National rank
- #9452
- State rank
- #284 of 301 in IN
Livability — South Bend
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #365
- US rank
- #13730
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bend, IN
- County
- Saint Joseph County · 189,048 people
- City population
- 99,767
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,032
- Household income
- $74,186
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 422.0
Population outlook (St. Joseph County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 273,186 people
- By 2030
- 273,594 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 271,641 · -0.6%
- By 2050
- 269,187 · -1.5%
- By 2075
- 263,136 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 245,659 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Joseph
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.1pp · 2024: 1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+0.2 2012: D+3.5 2008: D+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -163.04%
- Current HPI
- 260.7904
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
+137.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $255,000 IRMLS
- 2026-02-13 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-02-13 Contingent — IRMLS
- 2026-01-06 Listed $255,000 IRMLS
- 2020-04-29 Sold (MLS) $107,000 IRMLS
- 2020-02-28 Listed $107,500 IRMLS
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,096 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…