174 South · Frazeysburg, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +5.5/30.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$214,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two Bedeooms and 1 bath, newer roof, gutters, AC and furnace, garage 26 x 55 with electric, two lots
Key facts
- Updated kitchen
- New vinyl siding
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $214k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-461 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (38.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (51.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $104k (51.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#760 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Tri-Valley Local (rural): math 64% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #215 of 656 in OH (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 140 units permitted in Muskingum County in 2024 (100 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muskingum County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $214k implies a 152% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1901 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1901 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.49% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.23%
- DSCR
- 0.59
- GRM
- 17.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $157,620
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 W 4th St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 862 (+1%) | 5mo | $159,900 | $185 | 80 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.07×
- Total profit
- $-64,152
- Equity at exit
- $31,908
- IRR
- -39.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.57×
- Total profit
- $-94,107
- Equity at exit
- $18,503
Cash invested: $59,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43822
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 17.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,039 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,122
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $851/yr
- Insurance
- −$89
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$218
- Net cashflow
- $-461
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-340 | -5% $-401 | +0% $-461 | +5% $-522 | +10% $-582 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-543 | -5% $-502 | +0% $-461 | +5% $-420 | +10% $-379 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-353 | -0.5pp $-407 | base $-461 | +0.5pp $-517 | +1.0pp $-573 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,500
- Closing costs
- $6,420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $214,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $214,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $214,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $214,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $214,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $214,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14pricedays on market $214,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $210,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$210,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $851 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,094 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,244/yr (+$104/mo · 146.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,473
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,987
- − Property taxes
- −$851
- − Insurance
- −$1,070
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$998
- − Management
- −$998
- − Depreciation
- −$6,225
- Taxable loss
- −$9,656
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,317
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,216/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tri-Valley Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904887
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,616
- Composite
- 55.09/100
- National rank
- #1286
- State rank
- #215 of 656 in OH
Livability — Frazeysburg
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #760
- US rank
- #13700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Frazeysburg, OH
- County
- Coshocton · 37,075 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,520
- Household income
- $60,423
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7.0
Population outlook (Muskingum County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 85,625 people
- By 2030
- 84,592 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 81,288 · -5.1%
- By 2050
- 76,751 · -10.4%
- By 2075
- 64,143 · -25.1%
- By 2100
- 47,598 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 5% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muskingum
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.6% · R 71.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -43.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.9 2020: R+39.3 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+7.0 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.51%
- Current HPI
- 264.3694
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+223.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $210,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2025-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $113,333 Public Records
- 2025-11-06 Sold (MLS) $85,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-10-10 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2025-09-15 Listed $110,000 MLSNOW
- 2021-03-08 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MLSNOW
- 2020-09-04 Listed $64,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+11.0%/yrLatest (2025): $851 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…