3243 Dakota Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great home offers wonderful light, covered porch, marble window sills, ceramic tile, fenced yard and large window air conditioner. It has been refreshed with new bathroom fixtures, light fixtures, rear screen door, blinds, carpet and paint. Windows have had necessary glass replacement and sash refurbishment done by Vinyl Sash of Michigan - Flint. House and garage have been power washed and front yard trees trimmed. Larger kitchen and dining room with great cabinet space and a new refrigerator. There is a separate utility and laundry area with a sink. Garage is 1.5 car with electricity, opener, workbench area and attached carport/patio. Large detached shed for additional storage.
Key facts
- Ceramic flooring
- Vinyl windows
- Oak cabinets
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: EASTWOOD ACRES; Cross streets: Averill & Branch
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with automatic door opener; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shallow crawl space foundation; Built area above grade: 824 (square feet)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Fenced yard; Shed(s) on the property
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes sleeping areas)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($956 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.55%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $62,252
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3016 Oklahoma Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 746 (-5%) | 1mo | $54,400 | $73 | 77 |
| 2908 Douglas Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 823 (+4%) | 2mo | $68,900 | $84 | 72 |
| 2719 Branch Rd | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-9%) | 2mo | $19,000 | $26 | 72 |
| 3213 Holly Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 799 (+1%) | 3mo | $34,000 | $43 | 70 |
| 3006 Agree Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-11%) | 3mo | $50,000 | $71 | 56 |
| 3006 Arizona Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+14%) | 1mo | $92,900 | $103 | 50 |
| 2426 Maryland Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 712 (-10%) | 2mo | $36,000 | $51 | 50 |
| 2925 Colorado Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+14%) | 3mo | $25,000 | $28 | 50 |
| 3809 Delaware Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 898 (+14%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $156 | 49 |
| 2074 N Center Rd | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-15%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $119 | 41 |
| 4093 Coral St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 906 (+15%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $116 | 40 |
| 3813 Holly Ave | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 906 (+15%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $79 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $4,067
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $24,418
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48506
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $956 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $925/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$201
- Net cashflow
- $254
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2311 N Averill Ave Unit Main Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3618 Branch Rd Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3901 N Averill Apt #307 Ave heuristic Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $975 | $1.15 | 7d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2621 Churchill Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $795 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1553 Illinois Ave Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 702 | $900 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1605 Kearsley Park Blvd Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $975 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 501 S Meade St Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $695 | $0.82 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 22 events
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2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $74,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $74,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $74,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $74,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $74,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $74,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$74,900 Active 687-char remark
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
Great home offers wonderful light, covered porch, marble window sills, ceramic tile, fenced yard and large window air conditioner. It has been refreshed with new bathroom fixtures, light fixtures, rear screen door, blinds, carpet and paint. Windows have had necessary glass replacement and sash refurbishment done by Vinyl Sash of Michigan - Flint. House and garage have been power washed and front yard trees trimmed. Larger kitchen and dining room with great cabinet space and a new refrigerator. There is a separate utility and laundry area with a sink. Garage is 1.5 car with electricity, opener, workbench area and attached carport/patio. Large detached shed for additional storage.
-
2026-05-01$74,900 Active
Show marketing remark (687 chars)
Great home offers wonderful light, covered porch, marble window sills, ceramic tile, fenced yard and large window air conditioner. It has been refreshed with new bathroom fixtures, light fixtures, rear screen door, blinds, carpet and paint. Windows have had necessary glass replacement and sash refurbishment done by Vinyl Sash of Michigan - Flint. House and garage have been power washed and front yard trees trimmed. Larger kitchen and dining room with great cabinet space and a new refrigerator. There is a separate utility and laundry area with a sink. Garage is 1.5 car with electricity, opener, workbench area and attached carport/patio. Large detached shed for additional storage.
-
2010-12-03historical
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2009-08-28historical
-
2008-08-29$49,900
-
2008-08-29$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $925 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,039 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$114/yr (+$10/mo · 12.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,475
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$925
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$918
- − Management
- −$918
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $1,965
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$472
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,581/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,712
- Household income
- $47,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -173.31%
- Current HPI
- 90.0494
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+50.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-01 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-12-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-08-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-08-29 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-08-29 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $925 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…