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3243 Dakota Ave
C Composite 56.48
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

3243 Dakota Ave · Flint, MI 48506
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 788 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1950 0.25 ac lot Est $62k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great home offers wonderful light, covered porch, marble window sills, ceramic tile, fenced yard and large window air conditioner. It has been refreshed with new bathroom fixtures, light fixtures, rear screen door, blinds, carpet and paint. Windows have had necessary glass replacement and sash refurbishment done by Vinyl Sash of Michigan - Flint. House and garage have been power washed and front yard trees trimmed. Larger kitchen and dining room with great cabinet space and a new refrigerator. There is a separate utility and laundry area with a sink. Garage is 1.5 car with electricity, opener, workbench area and attached carport/patio. Large detached shed for additional storage.

Key facts

  • Ceramic flooring
  • Vinyl windows
  • Oak cabinets

Tags

NEWER BATHLARGER REFINISHED KITCHENOAK CABINETSCERAMIC FLOORINGMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRYVINYL WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: EASTWOOD ACRES; Cross streets: Averill & Branch
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with automatic door opener; Approximately 1.5 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shallow crawl space foundation; Built area above grade: 824 (square feet)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Fenced yard; Shed(s) on the property

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms (includes sleeping areas)
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($956 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,653 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.37%
Cash-on-cash
14.55%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$62,252
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3016 Oklahoma Ave 0.29mi 2/1.0 746 (-5%) 1mo $54,400 $73 77
2908 Douglas Ave 0.39mi 2/1.0 823 (+4%) 2mo $68,900 $84 72
2719 Branch Rd 0.26mi 2/1.0 720 (-9%) 2mo $19,000 $26 72
3213 Holly Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 (+1) 799 (+1%) 3mo $34,000 $43 70
3006 Agree Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 700 (-11%) 3mo $50,000 $71 56
3006 Arizona Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (+14%) 1mo $92,900 $103 50
2426 Maryland Ave 0.68mi 2/1.0 712 (-10%) 2mo $36,000 $51 50
2925 Colorado Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (+14%) 3mo $25,000 $28 50
3809 Delaware Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 898 (+14%) 3mo $140,000 $156 49
2074 N Center Rd 0.72mi 2/1.0 672 (-15%) 1mo $80,000 $119 41
4093 Coral St 0.72mi 2/1.0 906 (+15%) 1mo $105,000 $116 40
3813 Holly Ave 0.63mi 2/2.0 906 (+15%) 2mo $72,000 $79 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$4,067
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$24,418
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48506

Active inventory
202
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$956 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $925/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$201
Net cashflow
$254

Break-even live

Break-even rent $634
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2311 N Averill Ave Unit Main Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 13d 1 0.34mi
3618 Branch Rd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 13d 1 0.45mi
3901 N Averill Apt #307 Ave heuristic Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $975 $1.15 7d 1 0.52mi
2621 Churchill Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 736 $795 $1.08 13d 1 0.78mi
1553 Illinois Ave Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 702 $900 $1.28 21d 1 1.43mi
1605 Kearsley Park Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 875 $975 $1.11 13d 1 1.47mi
501 S Meade St Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $695 $0.82 13d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,900 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,900 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,900 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,900 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,900 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,900 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 30 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $74,900 Active 29 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $74,900 Active 687-char remark
    Show marketing remark (687 chars)

    Great home offers wonderful light, covered porch, marble window sills, ceramic tile, fenced yard and large window air conditioner. It has been refreshed with new bathroom fixtures, light fixtures, rear screen door, blinds, carpet and paint. Windows have had necessary glass replacement and sash refurbishment done by Vinyl Sash of Michigan - Flint. House and garage have been power washed and front yard trees trimmed. Larger kitchen and dining room with great cabinet space and a new refrigerator. There is a separate utility and laundry area with a sink. Garage is 1.5 car with electricity, opener, workbench area and attached carport/patio. Large detached shed for additional storage.

  18. 2026-05-01
    listed $74,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (687 chars)

    Great home offers wonderful light, covered porch, marble window sills, ceramic tile, fenced yard and large window air conditioner. It has been refreshed with new bathroom fixtures, light fixtures, rear screen door, blinds, carpet and paint. Windows have had necessary glass replacement and sash refurbishment done by Vinyl Sash of Michigan - Flint. House and garage have been power washed and front yard trees trimmed. Larger kitchen and dining room with great cabinet space and a new refrigerator. There is a separate utility and laundry area with a sink. Garage is 1.5 car with electricity, opener, workbench area and attached carport/patio. Large detached shed for additional storage.

  19. 2010-12-03
    historical
  20. 2009-08-28
    historical
  21. 2008-08-29
    listed $49,900
  22. 2008-08-29
    listed $49,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$925 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,039 · $87/mo
Expected delta
+$114/yr (+$10/mo · 12.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,475
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$925
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$918
− Management
−$918
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$1,965
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$472
After-tax cash flow
$2,581/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
City population
93,814
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,712
Household income
$47,929
Rent vs Own
31.4% rent · 68.6% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -173.31%
Current HPI
90.0494
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.1% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $74,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $74,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2010-12-03 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2009-08-28 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-08-29 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2008-08-29 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $925 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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