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446 S College Ave
B- Composite 69.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

446 S College Ave · Salina, KS 67401
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1922 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • Privacy fenced yard
  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

PRIVACY FENCED YARDDETACHED OVERSIZED GARAGEENCLOSED NON-CONFORMING AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family onsite-built home
  • Construction: Composition roof; Partial foundation with crawl space
  • Exterior features: One level; Wood fencing

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Floor furnace (natural gas); Wall/window air conditioning units (electric)
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Basement has partial foundation with crawl space and no basement windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; 220V outlet for laundry equipment

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $602 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#127 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Salina (town): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #134 of 169 in KS (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Cottonwood Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #507 of 684 statewide, top 78%, 372 students, 82% FRL); Lakewood Middle School (math 11% / reading 23%, grade F, #167 of 219 statewide, top 78%, 688 students, 65% FRL); Salina High Central (math 8% / reading 24%, grade F, #247 of 327 statewide, top 75%, 944 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 50% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 293 units permitted in Saline County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saline County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $48,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.39%
Cap rate
20.74%
Cash-on-cash
51.60%
DSCR
3.30
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
52.5%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$33,542
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
58.8%
Equity multiple
7.64×
Total profit
$92,894
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67401

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
328
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,197 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $725/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$602

Break-even live

Break-even rent $435
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $630 -5% $616 +0% $602 +5% $588 +10% $574
Rent -10% $507 -5% $555 +0% $602 +5% $649 +10% $697
Rate -1.0pp $627 -0.5pp $615 base $602 +0.5pp $589 +1.0pp $576

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $50,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $50,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 45 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $50,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $50,000 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 38 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $50,000 Active 37 DOM
  17. 2026-04-23
    listed $50,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$725 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$725 · $60/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,361
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$725
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,149
− Management
−$1,149
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$6,833
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,640
After-tax cash flow
$5,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salina
NCES district ID
2011370
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,726
Composite
21.94/100
National rank
#8224
State rank
#134 of 169 in KS

Livability — Salina

Score
71/100
State rank
#127
US rank
#6569

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salina, KS
County
Saline County · 50,217 people
City population
50,217
Metro
Salina, KS
Population (ZIP)
50,217
Household income
$64,606
Rent vs Own
33.9% rent · 66.1% own
Severe rent burden
1536.0

Population outlook (Saline County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,099 people
By 2030
54,446 · -1.2%
By 2040
52,572 · -4.6%
By 2050
50,362 · -8.6%
By 2075
45,522 · -17.4%
By 2100
40,059 · -27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 7% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Saline

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.3% · R 64.9% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-5.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.2pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+30.5 2016: R+34.3 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.03%
Current HPI
175.4541
Rent YoY
▲ 5.66%
Metro
Salina, KS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $50,000 SCKMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $725 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…