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510 Ledesma Ln
D- Composite 35.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +1.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0

$285,300

510 Ledesma Ln · Moores Mill, AL 35811
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,852 sqft · SingleFamily · 57 Days on market
Built 2026 $154/sqft · 6% below area Est $305k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

Key facts

  • Luxe owner's suite
  • Full bathroom
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTPRIVATE LOCATIONLUXE OWNER'S SUITEFULL BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-439 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (22.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (32.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (32.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#109 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 560 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,949 (32.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.44%
Cash-on-cash
-6.60%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$305,027
List price
$285,300
Delta
-6.47%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
169 Crab Apple Rd 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,734 (-6%) 3mo $280,000 $161 72
606 Homer Nance Rd 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,840 (-1%) 5mo $275,000 $149 64
104 Saralee Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,798 (-3%) 0mo $320,000 $178 56
166 Patdean Dr 0.43mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,013 (+9%) 5mo $320,000 $159 54
191 Somerton Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,714 (-8%) 0mo $345,000 $201 54
149 Patdean Dr 0.43mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,065 (+12%) 2mo $350,000 $169 53
112 Meadow Run NE 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,958 (+6%) 5mo $335,000 $171 47
101 High Cloud Cir 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,760 (-5%) 18mo $262,550 $149 42
115 Wind Rush Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,617 (-13%) 3mo $303,500 $188 42
104 Grindingstone Way 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,633 (-12%) 9mo $304,000 $186 35
225 Sawmill Rd 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (-14%) 13mo $280,000 $176 34
120 Somerset Park Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,587 (-14%) 10mo $309,000 $195 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.6%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-66,471
Equity at exit
$42,539
10-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-59,538
Equity at exit
$24,668

Cash invested: $79,884 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35811

Home prices YoY
-2.1%
Rents YoY
6.8%
Active inventory
560
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,939 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,496
Tax est. 1.5%
$357 /mo · $4,280/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$407
Net cashflow
$-439

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,496
Max offer price $221,711
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-242 -5% $-341 +0% $-439 +5% $-538 +10% $-637
Rent -10% $-593 -5% $-516 +0% $-439 +5% $-363 +10% $-286
Rate -1.0pp $-296 -0.5pp $-367 base $-439 +0.5pp $-513 +1.0pp $-589

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,325
Closing costs
$8,559
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
119 Wind Rush Rd Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1690 $1,875 $1.11 44d 1 0.62mi
128 Somerset Park Dr Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1570 $1,750 $1.11 24d 1 0.74mi
111 Ranna Dr Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.5 2277 $1,975 $0.87 44d 1 0.81mi
1515 Jordan Rd Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,650 $1.27 44d 1 1.07mi
3202 Jordan Farm Cir NE Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1555 $1,706 $1.10 24d 1 1.15mi
6107 Trailwood Dr Huntsville, AL 3.0 2.0 1879 $1,650 $0.88 24d 1 1.22mi
4550 Friends Xing NE Huntsville, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1149 $1,752 $1.52 14d 26 1.23mi
6111 Homestead Rd Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.0 1640 $2,500 $1.52 44d 1 1.28mi
154 SOUTHERN Trl Huntsville, AL 4.0 2.0 2106 $2,070 $0.98 44d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $285,300 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $285,300 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $290,300 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-05-10
    status Active 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

  5. 2026-05-10
    price $288,050 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

  6. 2026-03-26
    historical 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

  7. 2026-03-25
    status Active 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

  8. 2026-03-25
    price $282,050 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

  9. 2026-03-22
    historical 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

  10. 2026-02-16
    listed $281,800 Active 398-char remark
    Show marketing remark (398 chars)

    This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,274
− Mortgage interest
−$15,981
− Property taxes
−$4,280
− Insurance
−$1,426
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,862
− Management
−$1,862
− Depreciation
−$8,300
Taxable loss
−$10,437
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,505
After-tax cash flow
$-2,769/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Moores Mill

Score
66/100
State rank
#109
US rank
#11986

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Madison County · 380,832 people
Metro
Huntsville, AL
Population (ZIP)
31,008
Household income
$90,812
Rent vs Own
22.4% rent · 77.6% own
Severe rent burden
517.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.13%
Current HPI
332.9423
Rent YoY
▲ 6.81%
Metro
Huntsville, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-10 Price Changed $288,050 Zillow
  • 2026-05-10 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-03-26 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $282,050 Zillow
  • 2026-03-25 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-03-22 Delisted Zillow
  • 2026-02-16 Listed $281,800 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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