510 Ledesma Ln · Moores Mill, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +1.4/10.0
- DSCR +1.1/10.0
$285,300
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.
Key facts
- Luxe owner's suite
- Full bathroom
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-439 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (22.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (32.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (32.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#109 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 560 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.60%
- DSCR
- 0.71
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $305,027
- List price
- $285,300
- Delta
- -6.47%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169 Crab Apple Rd | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,734 (-6%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $161 | 72 |
| 606 Homer Nance Rd | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,840 (-1%) | 5mo | $275,000 | $149 | 64 |
| 104 Saralee Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,798 (-3%) | 0mo | $320,000 | $178 | 56 |
| 166 Patdean Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,013 (+9%) | 5mo | $320,000 | $159 | 54 |
| 191 Somerton Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,714 (-8%) | 0mo | $345,000 | $201 | 54 |
| 149 Patdean Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,065 (+12%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $169 | 53 |
| 112 Meadow Run NE | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,958 (+6%) | 5mo | $335,000 | $171 | 47 |
| 101 High Cloud Cir | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,760 (-5%) | 18mo | $262,550 | $149 | 42 |
| 115 Wind Rush Rd | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,617 (-13%) | 3mo | $303,500 | $188 | 42 |
| 104 Grindingstone Way | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,633 (-12%) | 9mo | $304,000 | $186 | 35 |
| 225 Sawmill Rd | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,595 (-14%) | 13mo | $280,000 | $176 | 34 |
| 120 Somerset Park Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,587 (-14%) | 10mo | $309,000 | $195 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-66,471
- Equity at exit
- $42,539
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-59,538
- Equity at exit
- $24,668
Cash invested: $79,884 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35811
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 560
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,939 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,496
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$357 /mo · $4,280/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$407
- Net cashflow
- $-439
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-242 | -5% $-341 | +0% $-439 | +5% $-538 | +10% $-637 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-593 | -5% $-516 | +0% $-439 | +5% $-363 | +10% $-286 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-296 | -0.5pp $-367 | base $-439 | +0.5pp $-513 | +1.0pp $-589 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,325
- Closing costs
- $8,559
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Wind Rush Rd Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1690 | $1,875 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 128 Somerset Park Dr Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1570 | $1,750 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 111 Ranna Dr Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2277 | $1,975 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1515 Jordan Rd Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3202 Jordan Farm Cir NE Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1555 | $1,706 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 6107 Trailwood Dr Huntsville, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1879 | $1,650 | $0.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4550 Friends Xing NE Huntsville, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1149 | $1,752 | $1.52 | 14d | 26 | 1.23mi |
| 6111 Homestead Rd Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1640 | $2,500 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 154 SOUTHERN Trl Huntsville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2106 | $2,070 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $285,300 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $285,300 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $290,300 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-10status Active 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-05-10price $288,050 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-03-26historical 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-03-25status Active 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-03-25price $282,050 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-03-22historical 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.
-
2026-02-16$281,800 Active 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
This new single-story home is perfect for various needs and lifestyles. Three secondary bedrooms boast a private location at the front of the home, near a spacious and flexible open-concept layout that blends the kitchen, living and dining areas to maximize interior space. The luxe owner's suite provides a serene retreat in a private rear corner, complete with a full bathroom and walk-in closet.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,274
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,981
- − Property taxes
- −$4,280
- − Insurance
- −$1,426
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,862
- − Management
- −$1,862
- − Depreciation
- −$8,300
- Taxable loss
- −$10,437
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,505
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,769/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Moores Mill
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #11986
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,008
- Household income
- $90,812
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 517.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.13%
- Current HPI
- 332.9423
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.81%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+2.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $288,050 Zillow
- 2026-05-10 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-26 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $282,050 Zillow
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — Zillow
- 2026-03-22 Delisted — Zillow
- 2026-02-16 Listed $281,800 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…