4153 58th St N #142 · Kenneth City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$92,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
First Floor Unit!! This 1-1 is "as cute as a button". It features an open concept kitchen. Screened lanai in the front with reserved parking right outside your door. A florida room with access to the courtyard area in the back. Updated windows, doors and electrical panel. The perfect location at a perfect price. Only about 15 minutes to area beaches and convenient shopping, dining and health care nearby. Come enjoy the Florida lifestyle!
Key facts
- Full size appliances
- Ground floor
- Mature landscaping
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Total monthly HOA fees $480.40; Total annual HOA fees $5,764.80
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $480.40 (includes cable TV, common area taxes, escrow reserves, insurance, internet, structure and grounds maintenance, trash, water, sewer, management); Clearview Oaks Condo Association; Association amenities include shuffleboard court; Clubhouse and sidewalks; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs), maximum pet weight 25 lbs
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Guest parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Condominium; Single-story; Faces west; First-floor unit; Living area approximately 562 square feet
- Construction: Block construction; Built-up roof; Slab foundation; Building number 9
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio; Screened porch; Awnings; Sidewalks
Interior
- Kitchen: Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window treatments; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater; Laundry located inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($228/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#47 in FL, #874 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 309 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $636 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.89%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-16,238
- Equity at exit
- $13,717
- IRR
- -19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-22,559
- Equity at exit
- $7,954
Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33709
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 309
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,444 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$482
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,449/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$480
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $19
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,000
- Closing costs
- $2,760
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5323 59th Cir W Kenneth City, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 3d | 4 | 0.74mi |
| 3980 64th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 707 | $1,350 | $1.91 | 3d | 6 | 0.82mi |
| 5255 62nd St N Kenneth City, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 2d | 2 | 0.83mi |
| 5680 28th Ave N Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,500 | $3.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 6538 42nd Ave N Unit 7 Kenneth City, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $2,000 | $3.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3556 66th St N St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,300 | $2.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6522 54th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $1,300 | $1.46 | 1d | 10 | 1.13mi |
| 5701 21st Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,449 | $1.87 | 7d | 3 | 1.28mi |
| 4701 68th St N Saint Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,099 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 6801 48th Ave N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,525 | $2.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $480 · $5,760/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-04status $92,000 Pending 26 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $92,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $92,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $92,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-08$99,900 Active
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2022-05-24soldstatus $100,000
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2015-06-16soldstatus $30,000
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2015-06-02soldstatus $30,000 Sold 452-char remark
Show marketing remark (452 chars)
First Floor Unit!! This 1-1 is "as cute as a button". It features an open concept kitchen. Screened lanai in the front with reserved parking right outside your door. A florida room with access to the courtyard area in the back. Updated windows, doors and electrical panel. The perfect location at a perfect price. Only about 15 minutes to area beaches and convenient shopping, dining and health care nearby. Come enjoy the Florida lifestyle!
-
2015-05-02status Pending 452-char remark
Show marketing remark (452 chars)
First Floor Unit!! This 1-1 is "as cute as a button". It features an open concept kitchen. Screened lanai in the front with reserved parking right outside your door. A florida room with access to the courtyard area in the back. Updated windows, doors and electrical panel. The perfect location at a perfect price. Only about 15 minutes to area beaches and convenient shopping, dining and health care nearby. Come enjoy the Florida lifestyle!
-
2015-04-25price $32,000 452-char remark
Show marketing remark (452 chars)
First Floor Unit!! This 1-1 is "as cute as a button". It features an open concept kitchen. Screened lanai in the front with reserved parking right outside your door. A florida room with access to the courtyard area in the back. Updated windows, doors and electrical panel. The perfect location at a perfect price. Only about 15 minutes to area beaches and convenient shopping, dining and health care nearby. Come enjoy the Florida lifestyle!
-
2015-03-28$32,900 Active 452-char remark
Show marketing remark (452 chars)
First Floor Unit!! This 1-1 is "as cute as a button". It features an open concept kitchen. Screened lanai in the front with reserved parking right outside your door. A florida room with access to the courtyard area in the back. Updated windows, doors and electrical panel. The perfect location at a perfect price. Only about 15 minutes to area beaches and convenient shopping, dining and health care nearby. Come enjoy the Florida lifestyle!
-
2015-03-06historical
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2015-03-05status Active
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2015-02-13historical
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2015-02-06historical Active with Contract
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2015-01-22$32,950 Active
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2010-05-07soldstatus $23,000
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2010-04-28soldstatus $23,000
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2009-09-09$29,900
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2007-09-24$42,000
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2007-01-15$52,000
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2004-10-06soldstatus $39,500
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2004-10-01soldstatus $39,500
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2004-09-14historical
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2004-09-10$39,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,449 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,449 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,326
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,153
- − Property taxes
- −$1,449
- − Insurance
- −$460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,386
- − Management
- −$1,386
- − HOA
- −$5,760
- − Depreciation
- −$2,676
- Taxable loss
- −$946
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$227
- After-tax cash flow
- $455/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Kenneth City
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #874
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kenneth City, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,050
- Household income
- $53,501
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 712.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -416.74%
- Current HPI
- 391.368
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.99%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+152.9% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2015-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2015-06-02 Sold (MLS) $30,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-02 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-25 Price Changed $32,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-28 Listed $32,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-06 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-05 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-02-13 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-02-06 Contingent — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-01-22 Listed $32,950 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-07 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
- 2010-04-28 Sold (MLS) $23,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-09-09 Listed $29,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-09-24 Listed $42,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-01-15 Listed $52,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $39,500 Public Records
- 2004-10-01 Sold (MLS) $39,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-14 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-10 Listed $39,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,449 · -5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…