CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
404 Beach 43rd St Duplex
B Composite 73.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$606,400

404 Beach 43rd St · New York, NY 11691
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 2005 3,000 sqft lot Est $748k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Amazing two-family opportunity in Far Rockaway, NY. Local attractions in area include Rockaway Beach, Jacob Riis Park, and Jamaica Bay Wildlife Refuge Visitor Center. Each unit includes three bedrooms and two bathrooms. If you blink it will be SOLD. Buyers check with City, County, Zoning, Tax, and other records to their satisfaction. AS-IS SALE property.

Key facts

  • Jacob riis park
  • Rockaway beach
  • 3,000 sq ft lot

Tags

TWO-FAMILY OPPORTUNITYROCKAWAY BEACHJACOB RIIS PARK

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $606k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $717/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $606k).
  • Recommended offer: $597k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $7,268/mo this rent would consume 155% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 4702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($597k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $606k implies a 538% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $597,304 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
9.97%
Cash-on-cash
13.15%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$748,000
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
472 Beach 43rd St 0.13mi 6/4.0 2,000 (0%) 2mo $800,000 $400 92
426 Beach 44th St 0.07mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,080 (+4%) 1mo $525,000 $252 76
318 Beach 42nd St 0.12mi 5/3.0 (-1) 1,764 (-12%) 1mo $659,200 $374 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-6,768
Equity at exit
$90,416
10-year hold
IRR
8.7%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$112,425
Equity at exit
$52,430

Cash invested: $169,792 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11691

Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
13.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$7,268 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,180
Tax from tax record
$449 /mo · $5,385/yr
Insurance
$253
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,526
Net cashflow
$1,434

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,453
Max offer price $606,400
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,777 -5% $1,605 +0% $1,434 +5% $1,262 +10% $1,090
Rent -10% $860 -5% $1,147 +0% $1,434 +5% $1,721 +10% $2,008
Rate -1.0pp $1,739 -0.5pp $1,588 base $1,434 +0.5pp $1,277 +1.0pp $1,117

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $7,268

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$151,600
Closing costs
$18,192
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-03-26
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-24
    listed $606,400 Active
  3. 2024-02-21
    listed $629,000 Active
  4. 2005-02-24
    soldstatus $95,000
  5. 1989-06-29
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,385 · $449/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,817 · $651/mo
Expected delta
+$2,431/yr (+$203/mo · 45.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$87,216
− Mortgage interest
−$33,968
− Property taxes
−$5,385
− Insurance
−$8,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,977
− Management
−$6,977
− Depreciation
−$17,641
Taxable income
$8,117
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,948
After-tax cash flow
$15,256/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
69,359
Household income
$56,135
Rent vs Own
72.3% rent · 27.7% own
Severe rent burden
4702.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -397.66%
Current HPI
281.4044
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+910.7% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $606,400 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-02-21 Listed $629,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 1989-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,385 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…