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516 Church St
B- Composite 69.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

516 Church St · Huntingdon, PA 16652
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 101 Days on market
2,613 sqft lot $36/sqft · 39% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

FIXER UPPER - BRING YOUR VISION! 3 bedroom home ready for renovation. Features living room, dining room & kitchen. Second floor has been taken down to the studs, offering a blank slate to redesign to your taste. No heat or plumbing currently in place. Fenced yard.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Kitchen
  • Living room

Tags

LIVING ROOMDINING ROOMKITCHENFENCED YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $544 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 4.1% in Huntingdon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,050 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Huntingdon Area SD (town): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #366 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Standing Stone El Sch (math 30% / reading 49%, grade F, #947 of 1,518 statewide, top 65%, 421 students, 62% FRL); Huntingdon Area Ms (math 23% / reading 43%, grade F, #346 of 512 statewide, top 69%, 385 students, 50% FRL); Huntingdon Area Shs (math 62%, 539 students, 32% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Huntingdon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Huntingdon County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $45,409 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.44%
Cap rate
19.38%
Cash-on-cash
46.73%
DSCR
3.08
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$104,087
List price
$49,900
Delta
-52.06%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
408 Church St 0.11mi 3/1.5 1,388 (-0%) 2mo $73,550 $53 91
510 5th St 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,547 (+11%) 1mo $101,000 $65 75
413 Church St 0.09mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,457 (+5%) 7mo $26,000 $18 71
508 7th St 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,258 (-10%) 10mo $129,900 $103 68
805 Fifth St 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,512 (+9%) 7mo $155,000 $103 68
424 Moore St 0.08mi 3/1.0 1,186 (-15%) 6mo $37,000 $31 67
521 13th St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,327 (-5%) 3mo $77,000 $58 66
230 Church St 0.24mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,280 (-8%) 2mo $75,000 $59 65
710 7th St 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,600 (+15%) 5mo $85,000 $53 59
1319 Washington St 0.61mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,348 (-3%) 1mo $125,000 $93 58
1413 Mifflin St 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,482 (+6%) 1mo $165,000 $111 58
1135 Washington St 0.48mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,600 (+15%) 1mo $175,000 $109 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.1%
Equity multiple
2.91×
Total profit
$26,631
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
50.1%
Equity multiple
5.87×
Total profit
$68,069
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16652

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,218 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,628/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$544

Break-even live

Break-even rent $529
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $572 -5% $558 +0% $544 +5% $530 +10% $516
Rent -10% $448 -5% $496 +0% $544 +5% $592 +10% $640
Rate -1.0pp $569 -0.5pp $557 base $544 +0.5pp $531 +1.0pp $518

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $49,900 Pending 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,900 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 97 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $49,900 Active 96 DOM
  6. 2026-02-25
    status Active 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    FIXER UPPER - BRING YOUR VISION! 3 bedroom home ready for renovation. Features living room, dining room & kitchen. Second floor has been taken down to the studs, offering a blank slate to redesign to your taste. No heat or plumbing currently in place. Fenced yard.

  7. 2026-02-05
    status Pending 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    FIXER UPPER - BRING YOUR VISION! 3 bedroom home ready for renovation. Features living room, dining room & kitchen. Second floor has been taken down to the studs, offering a blank slate to redesign to your taste. No heat or plumbing currently in place. Fenced yard.

  8. 2026-02-04
    listed $49,900 Active 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    FIXER UPPER - BRING YOUR VISION! 3 bedroom home ready for renovation. Features living room, dining room & kitchen. Second floor has been taken down to the studs, offering a blank slate to redesign to your taste. No heat or plumbing currently in place. Fenced yard.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,628 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,628 · $136/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,616
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$1,628
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,169
− Management
−$1,169
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$6,153
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,477
After-tax cash flow
$5,052/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Huntingdon Area SD
NCES district ID
4212090
Math proficiency
32% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,534
Composite
33.4/100
National rank
#5478
State rank
#366 of 539 in PA

Livability — Huntingdon

Score
66/100
State rank
#1050
US rank
#11779

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Huntingdon, PA
Population (ZIP)
15,858

Population outlook (Huntingdon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,212 people
By 2030
43,057 · -2.6%
By 2040
40,537 · -8.3%
By 2050
37,844 · -14.4%
By 2075
31,411 · -29.0%
By 2100
23,907 · -45.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Huntingdon

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.2% · R 76.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -52.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.9 2020: R+51.0 2016: R+50.7 2012: R+37.4 2008: R+27.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -54.10%
Current HPI
197.6958
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-25 Relisted HCBR
  • 2026-02-05 Pending HCBR
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $49,900 HCBR

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,628 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…