2405 Stillwater Dr · Ponder, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- Cash flow +6.6/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$248,998
2405 Stillwater Dr · Ponder, TX 76259
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,317 sqft · SingleFamily
public records
· 68 Days on market
Built 2022
5,828 sqft lot
2-car garage
$189/sqft
· 15% below area
Est $291k · 15% under
$40/mo HOA · 2% of rent
↓ 9% since listing
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This incredible, new construction home is located in Big Sky Estates, a beautiful neighborhood in Ponder, Texas. This one-story home features a stylish and functional layout with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, a spacious family room and more. The chef-ready kitchen with its sparkling granite countertops, oversized wood cabinetry, full suite of energy-efficient appliances and easy access to the dining room, create a functional area for preparing your family’s meals. In addition, this home comes with designer-selected upgrades included at no extra cost such as luxury vinyl-plank flooring, a Wi-Fi-enabled garage door opener, programmable thermostat and more.
Key facts
- Pickleball courts
- Soccer field
- Splash pad
Tags
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $249k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-414 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (29.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (13.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (29.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Krum ISD (rural): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #218 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Krum Early Education Center (430 students, 49% FRL); Krum Middle (math 48% / reading 47%, grade C-, #408 of 1,662 statewide, top 25%, 541 students, 37% FRL); Krum H S (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 686 students, 31% FRL).
- Market conditions: 430 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 54d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($234k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer
$175,914
(29.4% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.12%
- DSCR
- 0.68
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $291,305
- List price
- $248,998
- Delta
- -14.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8417 White Wolf Trl | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-1%) | 0mo | $292,900 | $225 | 82 |
| 13503 Roosevelt Arch Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,317 (0%) | 16mo | $295,000 | $224 | 81 |
| 8420 White Wolf Trl | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-1%) | 3mo | $291,900 | $224 | 80 |
| 8425 White Wolf Trl | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-1%) | 2mo | $285,900 | $220 | 80 |
| 8405 White Wolf Trl | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-1%) | 4mo | $286,900 | $221 | 80 |
| 8317 White Wolf Trl | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-1%) | 5mo | $286,900 | $221 | 79 |
| 8205 White Wolf Trl | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-1%) | 10mo | $287,900 | $221 | 77 |
| 8416 White Wolf Trl | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-1%) | 7mo | $293,900 | $226 | 77 |
| 13821 Turtle Mountain Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-1%) | 15mo | $294,900 | $227 | 74 |
| 8304 White Wolf Trl | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-1%) | 14mo | $297,900 | $229 | 74 |
| 8305 White Wolf Trl | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-1%) | 14mo | $294,900 | $227 | 73 |
| 8305 Wibaux Rd | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,301 (-1%) | 15mo | $299,900 | $231 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-66,428
- Equity at exit
- $37,126
10-year hold
- IRR
- -27.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.30×
- Total profit
- $-90,678
- Equity at exit
- $21,529
Cash invested: $69,719 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market
Market conditions
within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 27 active · 7 under contract
- Months of supply
- 16.2 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $276,900 ($207/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 51 d
- This list price
- 4% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +6.8% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76259
- Home prices YoY
- -5.2%
- Active inventory
- 430
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $2,143 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax from tax record
- −$658 /mo · $7,890/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$40
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$450
- Net cashflow
- $-414
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$2,667
Max offer price
$175,914
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-273 | -5% $-343 | +0% $-414 | +5% $-484 | +10% $-555 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-583 | -5% $-498 | +0% $-414 | +5% $-329 | +10% $-244 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-288 | -0.5pp $-350 | base $-414 | +0.5pp $-478 | +1.0pp $-544 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 39 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13616 Musselshell Dr Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 13808 Musselshell Dr Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 13526 Musselshell Dr Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $1,795 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 13629 Musselshell Dr Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,050 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 13624 Mineral Rd Ponder, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $2,195 | $1.38 | 54d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 13604 Mineral Rd Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,899 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 13520 Turtle Mountain Rd Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1857 | $2,425 | $1.31 | 84d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 13507 Musselshell Dr Unit 13507 Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 93d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 13617 Mineral Rd Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,995 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 13617 Mineral Rd Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,995 | $1.25 | 38d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 13528 Turtle Mountain Rd Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1857 | $2,475 | $1.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 13613 Mineral Rd Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 139d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2018 Pondera St Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $1,800 | $1.37 | 139d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 13709 Granite Park Rd Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $1,800 | $1.16 | 108d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1819 Fergus Dr Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 46d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 8205 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 139d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 13716 Logan Pass Dr Krum, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $1,900 | $1.23 | 83d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 8213 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $1,850 | $1.72 | 54d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 13409 Granite Park Rd Ponder, TX | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1614 | $2,282 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8309 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $2,070 | $2.08 | 84d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 8309 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $2,130 | $2.14 | 17d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 8309 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $2,020 | $2.03 | 139d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 8320 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $2,055 | $1.91 | 42d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 13627 Logan Pass Dr Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $1,995 | $1.25 | 76d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 13623 Logan Pass Dr Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $2,400 | $1.55 | 36d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 8324 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $2,020 | $2.03 | 84d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 8321 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $2,070 | $2.08 | 84d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 8413 Silverbow Dr Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1562 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 0d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 8412 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $2,070 | $2.08 | 84d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 8413 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $2,125 | $1.63 | 97d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 8417 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $2,070 | $1.59 | 84d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 8012 White Sulphur Rd Ponder, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 139d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 8436 Fort Benton Dr Ponder, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1772 | $2,345 | $1.32 | 42d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8421 Fort Benton Dr Ponder, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1561 | $2,255 | $1.44 | 84d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8429 Fort Benton Dr Ponder, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1772 | $2,335 | $1.32 | 76d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 26535 U.S. 380 , TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 139d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 26535 U.S. 380 Unit B2 Ponder, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 26493 U.S. 380 Unit 212 Ponder, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,375 | $1.22 | 4d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 26946 U.S. 380 #228 Krum, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1077 | $1,515 | $1.41 | 0d | 1 | 0.65mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Survey available
- Financial info
- Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, Texas Vet, and VA loans
- HOA & community
- Mandatory HOA (Big Sky Estates HOA)HOA dues paid annuallyAssociation fee covers full use of facilities, grounds maintenance, and management feesCommunity park and playground
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garageCovered parking spaces (2)Driveway parkingGarage with garage door opener and garage facing front
- Utilities
- City waterCity sewerNatural gas availableOn a municipal utility district
- Home design
- Single-family residenceOne-storyBuilt in 2022Preowned
- Construction
- Shingle roofSiding exteriorSlab foundation
- Exterior features
- Covered patio/porchWood fencing around back yard
Interior
- Kitchen
- Gas cooktopGas ovenMicrowaveRefrigeratorDishwasherDisposalElectric water heaterKitchen islandNatural stone/granite counters (kitchen)
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms (all on one level)Primary bedroom with walk-in closetTwo additional bedrooms with walk-in closets
- Flooring
- Luxury vinyl plank flooring
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathroomsPrimary bathroom with built-in cabinets and linen closet
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (natural gas)Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features
- Open floorplanKitchen islandPantryBuilt-in cabinetsWindow coverings
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupUtility room on main level
HOA detail $40/mo · $480/yr
- Likely covers
- internet
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $248,998 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $248,998 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $248,998 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $248,998 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $248,998 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $248,998 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $248,998 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $248,998 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $248,998 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $248,998 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $248,998 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $248,998 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $248,998 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $248,998 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $248,998 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-09-02days on market $248,998 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $248,998 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $248,998 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $248,998 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $248,998 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $248,998 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $248,998 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $248,998 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $248,998 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $248,998 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $248,998 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $248,998 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $248,998 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $248,998 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $248,998 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $248,998 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $248,998 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-08-14pricedays on market $248,998 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $255,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $255,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $255,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $255,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $255,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $255,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $255,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $255,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $255,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $255,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $255,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $255,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $255,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $255,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $255,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $255,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $255,000 Active 5 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $7,890 · $658/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,890 · $658/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,722
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$7,890
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,058
- − Management
- −$2,058
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable loss
- −$9,201
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,208
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,756/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
80/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $6,585–$19,755 screening
This well-maintained, single-story home in Ponder, Texas, is ready for immediate occupancy with minor cosmetic updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
F
Composite school gradezoned avg 46/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Krum Early Education Center
Middle
Krum Middle
C-
TX #408/1,662
Nat'l #4,042/14,009
High
Krum H S
F
TX #652/1,632
Nat'l #6,890/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Krum ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825980
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,808
- Composite
- 40.72/100
- National rank
- #3664
- State rank
- #218 of 826 in TX
C
Composite livability gradescore 64/100
Livability — Ponder
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #787
- US rank
- #14394
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute F
Cost of living A
Crime A+
Employment B
Housing A+
Health & safety F
User ratings A
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Denton County · 1,053,010 people
- City population
- 6,596
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,596
- Household income
- $101,845
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 30% of renters
Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,053,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,192,269 · +13.2%
- By 2040
- 1,472,920 · +39.9%
- By 2050
- 1,746,506 · +65.9%
- By 2075
- 2,358,497 · +124.0%
- By 2100
- 2,779,183 · +163.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Denton
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.17%
- Current HPI
- 275.4082
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-8.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-17 Listed $255,000 NTREIS
- 2026-07-08 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-06-14 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $249,999 NTREIS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $270,000 NTREIS
- 2022-12-29 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2022-12-06 Pending — NTREIS
- 2022-12-02 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2022-10-26 Pending — NTREIS
- 2022-10-26 Listed $279,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+89.2%/yrLatest (2025): $7,890 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…