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2405 Stillwater Dr
D- Composite 37.75
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$255,000

2405 Stillwater Dr · Ponder, TX 76259
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,317 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 5,828 sqft lot 2-car garage $194/sqft · 13% below area Est $292k · 13% under $40/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This incredible, new construction home is located in Big Sky Estates, a beautiful neighborhood in Ponder, Texas. This one-story home features a stylish and functional layout with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, a spacious family room and more. The chef-ready kitchen with its sparkling granite countertops, oversized wood cabinetry, full suite of energy-efficient appliances and easy access to the dining room, create a functional area for preparing your family’s meals. In addition, this home comes with designer-selected upgrades included at no extra cost such as luxury vinyl-plank flooring, a Wi-Fi-enabled garage door opener, programmable thermostat and more.

Key facts

  • Pickleball courts
  • Soccer field
  • Splash pad

Tags

SPLASH PADPLAYGROUNDPICNIC AREASPICKLEBALL COURTSBASKETBALL COURTSSOCCER FIELD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-453 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $175k (31.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (16.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $175k (31.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Krum ISD (rural): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #218 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Krum Early Education Center (430 students, 49% FRL); Krum Middle (math 48% / reading 47%, grade C-, #408 of 1,662 statewide, top 25%, 541 students, 37% FRL); Krum H S (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #652 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 686 students, 31% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 365 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 38d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 61% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 10,531 units permitted in Denton County in 2024 (2,713 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Denton County population projected at +66% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $174,965 (31.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
4.16%
Cash-on-cash
-7.61%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$291,654
List price
$255,000
Delta
-14.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13503 Roosevelt Arch Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,317 (0%) 14mo $295,000 $224 82
8420 White Wolf Trl 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-1%) 1mo $291,900 $224 82
8425 White Wolf Trl 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-1%) 0mo $285,900 $220 81
8405 White Wolf Trl 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-1%) 2mo $286,900 $221 81
8317 White Wolf Trl 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-1%) 4mo $286,900 $221 81
8416 White Wolf Trl 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-1%) 5mo $293,900 $226 78
8205 White Wolf Trl 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-1%) 9mo $287,900 $221 78
13821 Turtle Mountain Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-1%) 13mo $294,900 $227 76
8304 White Wolf Trl 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-1%) 12mo $297,900 $229 75
13705 Turtle Mountain Rd 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-1%) 14mo $299,900 $231 75
8305 White Wolf Trl 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-1%) 13mo $294,900 $227 74
8305 Wibaux Rd 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,301 (-1%) 14mo $299,900 $231 74

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.4%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-69,912
Equity at exit
$38,021
10-year hold
IRR
-29.4%
Equity multiple
-0.36×
Total profit
$-96,957
Equity at exit
$22,048

Cash invested: $71,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
25 active · 3 under contract
Months of supply
15.0 mo (7%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$276,900 ($221/sqft)
Median days on market
39 d
This list price
8% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+0.4% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 76259

Home prices YoY
-5.2%
Active inventory
365
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,137 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,337
Tax from tax record
$658 /mo · $7,890/yr
Insurance
$106
HOA
$40
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$-453

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,710
Max offer price $174,965
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-309 -5% $-381 +0% $-453 +5% $-525 +10% $-597
Rent -10% $-622 -5% $-537 +0% $-453 +5% $-369 +10% $-284
Rate -1.0pp $-325 -0.5pp $-388 base $-453 +0.5pp $-519 +1.0pp $-586

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,750
Closing costs
$7,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13616 Musselshell Dr Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1551 $1,950 $1.26 0d 1 0.11mi
13526 Musselshell Dr Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1552 $1,900 $1.22 0d 1 0.12mi
13624 Mineral Rd Ponder, TX 4.0 2.0 1596 $2,195 $1.38 7d 1 0.15mi
13604 Mineral Rd Krum, TX 3.0 2.0 1596 $1,999 $1.25 0d 1 0.16mi
13520 Turtle Mountain Rd Ponder, TX 3.0 2.5 1857 $2,425 $1.31 38d 1 0.18mi
13507 Musselshell Dr Unit 13507 Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1552 $1,900 $1.22 46d 1 0.18mi
13617 Mineral Rd Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,995 $1.25 0d 1 0.19mi
13613 Mineral Rd Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,900 $1.44 93d 1 0.19mi
2018 Pondera St Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1317 $1,800 $1.37 93d 1 0.19mi
13709 Granite Park Rd Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1552 $1,800 $1.16 61d 1 0.24mi
1819 Fergus Dr Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 0d 1 0.25mi
8205 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1301 $1,895 $1.46 93d 1 0.25mi
13716 Logan Pass Dr Krum, TX 3.0 2.0 1551 $1,900 $1.23 36d 1 0.26mi
8213 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1076 $1,850 $1.72 7d 1 0.26mi
13409 Granite Park Rd Ponder, TX 2.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1614 $2,282 $1.41 0d 1 0.27mi
8309 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX 2.0 2.0 996 $2,020 $2.03 93d 1 0.28mi
8309 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX 2.0 2.0 996 $2,070 $2.08 38d 1 0.28mi
13627 Logan Pass Dr Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1596 $1,995 $1.25 30d 1 0.29mi
8324 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX 2.0 2.0 996 $2,020 $2.03 38d 1 0.29mi
8321 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX 2.0 2.0 996 $2,070 $2.08 38d 1 0.30mi
8413 Silverbow Dr Ponder, TX 3.0 2.5 1562 $1,975 $1.26 0d 1 0.31mi
8412 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX 2.0 2.0 996 $2,070 $2.08 38d 1 0.31mi
8413 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1301 $2,125 $1.63 51d 1 0.33mi
8417 White Wolf Trl Ponder, TX 3.0 2.0 1301 $2,070 $1.59 38d 1 0.34mi
8012 White Sulphur Rd Ponder, TX 4.0 2.0 1600 $2,000 $1.25 93d 1 0.34mi
8436 Fort Benton Dr Ponder, TX 4.0 2.5 1772 $2,345 $1.32 0d 1 0.43mi
8421 Fort Benton Dr Ponder, TX 3.0 2.5 1561 $2,255 $1.44 38d 1 0.43mi
8429 Fort Benton Dr Ponder, TX 4.0 2.5 1772 $2,335 $1.32 30d 1 0.44mi
26493 U.S. 380 Unit 212 Ponder, TX 2.0 2.0 1130 $1,375 $1.22 0d 1 0.51mi
26535 U.S. 380 , TX 2.0 2.0 1115 $1,350 $1.21 93d 1 0.51mi
26535 U.S. 380 Unit B2 Ponder, TX 2.0 2.0 1115 $1,350 $1.21 0d 1 0.51mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Survey available
Financial info
Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, Texas Vet, and VA loans
HOA & community
Mandatory HOA (Big Sky Estates HOA)HOA dues paid annuallyAssociation fee covers full use of facilities, grounds maintenance, and management feesCommunity park and playground

Exterior

Parking
Attached 2-car garageCovered parking spaces (2)Driveway parkingGarage with garage door opener and garage facing front
Utilities
City waterCity sewerNatural gas availableOn a municipal utility district
Home design
Single-family residenceOne-storyBuilt in 2022Preowned
Construction
Shingle roofSiding exteriorSlab foundation
Exterior features
Covered patio/porchWood fencing around back yard

Interior

Kitchen
Gas cooktopGas ovenMicrowaveRefrigeratorDishwasherDisposalElectric water heaterKitchen islandNatural stone/granite counters (kitchen)
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms (all on one level)Primary bedroom with walk-in closetTwo additional bedrooms with walk-in closets
Flooring
Luxury vinyl plank flooring
Bathrooms
2 full bathroomsPrimary bathroom with built-in cabinets and linen closet
Heating & cooling
Central heating (natural gas)Central electric air conditioning
Interior features
Open floorplanKitchen islandPantryBuilt-in cabinetsWindow coverings
Laundry & utility
Washer hookupUtility room on main level

HOA detail $40/mo · $480/yr

Likely covers
internet

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $255,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $255,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $255,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $255,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $255,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $255,000 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $255,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-07-28
    days on market $255,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-07-26
    days on market $255,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-07-24
    days on market $255,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-07-23
    days on market $255,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-07-22
    days on market $255,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-07-21
    days on market $255,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-07-20
    days on market $255,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-07-18
    pricedays on marketlisting id $255,000 Active 1 DOM
  16. 2026-07-07
    days on market $249,999 Active 107 DOM
  17. 2026-07-06
    days on market $249,999 Active 106 DOM
  18. 2026-07-06
    days on market $249,999 Active 105 DOM
  19. 2026-07-05
    days on market $249,999 Active 104 DOM
  20. 2026-07-03
    days on market $249,999 Active 103 DOM
  21. 2026-07-02
    days on market $249,999 Active 102 DOM
  22. 2026-07-01
    days on market $249,999 Active 101 DOM
  23. 2026-06-30
    days on market $249,999 Active 100 DOM
  24. 2026-06-29
    days on market $249,999 Active 99 DOM
  25. 2026-06-28
    days on market $249,999 Active 98 DOM
  26. 2026-06-27
    days on market $249,999 Active 97 DOM
  27. 2026-06-26
    days on market $249,999 Active 96 DOM
  28. 2026-06-24
    days on market $249,999 Active 94 DOM
  29. 2026-06-22
    days on market $249,999 Active 92 DOM
  30. 2026-06-21
    days on market $249,999 Active 91 DOM
  31. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,999 Active 88 DOM
  32. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,999 Active 87 DOM
  33. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,999 Active 86 DOM
  34. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $249,999 Active 85 DOM
  35. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 1027-char remark
  36. 2026-05-04
    historical Active Option Contract 1027-char remark
  37. 2026-03-28
    price $249,999 1027-char remark
  38. 2026-02-17
    listed $270,000 Active 1027-char remark
  39. 2022-12-29
    soldstatus Closed 669-char remark
    Show marketing remark (669 chars)

    This incredible, new construction home is located in Big Sky Estates, a beautiful neighborhood in Ponder, Texas. This one-story home features a stylish and functional layout with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, a spacious family room and more. The chef-ready kitchen with its sparkling granite countertops, oversized wood cabinetry, full suite of energy-efficient appliances and easy access to the dining room, create a functional area for preparing your family’s meals. In addition, this home comes with designer-selected upgrades included at no extra cost such as luxury vinyl-plank flooring, a Wi-Fi-enabled garage door opener, programmable thermostat and more.

  40. 2022-12-06
    status Pending 669-char remark
    Show marketing remark (669 chars)

    This incredible, new construction home is located in Big Sky Estates, a beautiful neighborhood in Ponder, Texas. This one-story home features a stylish and functional layout with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, a spacious family room and more. The chef-ready kitchen with its sparkling granite countertops, oversized wood cabinetry, full suite of energy-efficient appliances and easy access to the dining room, create a functional area for preparing your family’s meals. In addition, this home comes with designer-selected upgrades included at no extra cost such as luxury vinyl-plank flooring, a Wi-Fi-enabled garage door opener, programmable thermostat and more.

  41. 2022-12-02
    status Active 669-char remark
    Show marketing remark (669 chars)

    This incredible, new construction home is located in Big Sky Estates, a beautiful neighborhood in Ponder, Texas. This one-story home features a stylish and functional layout with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, a spacious family room and more. The chef-ready kitchen with its sparkling granite countertops, oversized wood cabinetry, full suite of energy-efficient appliances and easy access to the dining room, create a functional area for preparing your family’s meals. In addition, this home comes with designer-selected upgrades included at no extra cost such as luxury vinyl-plank flooring, a Wi-Fi-enabled garage door opener, programmable thermostat and more.

  42. 2022-10-26
    status Pending 669-char remark
    Show marketing remark (669 chars)

    This incredible, new construction home is located in Big Sky Estates, a beautiful neighborhood in Ponder, Texas. This one-story home features a stylish and functional layout with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, a spacious family room and more. The chef-ready kitchen with its sparkling granite countertops, oversized wood cabinetry, full suite of energy-efficient appliances and easy access to the dining room, create a functional area for preparing your family’s meals. In addition, this home comes with designer-selected upgrades included at no extra cost such as luxury vinyl-plank flooring, a Wi-Fi-enabled garage door opener, programmable thermostat and more.

  43. 2022-10-26
    listed $279,900 Active 669-char remark
    Show marketing remark (669 chars)

    This incredible, new construction home is located in Big Sky Estates, a beautiful neighborhood in Ponder, Texas. This one-story home features a stylish and functional layout with three bedrooms, two bathrooms, a spacious family room and more. The chef-ready kitchen with its sparkling granite countertops, oversized wood cabinetry, full suite of energy-efficient appliances and easy access to the dining room, create a functional area for preparing your family’s meals. In addition, this home comes with designer-selected upgrades included at no extra cost such as luxury vinyl-plank flooring, a Wi-Fi-enabled garage door opener, programmable thermostat and more.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,890 · $658/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,890 · $658/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,640
− Mortgage interest
−$14,284
− Property taxes
−$7,890
− Insurance
−$1,275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,051
− Management
−$2,051
− HOA
−$480
− Depreciation
−$7,418
Taxable loss
−$9,810
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,354
After-tax cash flow
$-3,082/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $6,585–$19,755 screening

This well-maintained, single-story home in Ponder, Texas, is ready for immediate occupancy with minor cosmetic updates to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace landscaping — Improves curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes and increases value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 46/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Krum Early Education Center Middle Krum Middle C- TX #408/1,662 Nat'l #4,042/14,009 High Krum H S F TX #652/1,632 Nat'l #6,890/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Krum ISD
NCES district ID
4825980
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$71,808
Composite
40.72/100
National rank
#3664
State rank
#218 of 826 in TX
C Composite livability gradescore 64/100

Livability — Ponder

Score
64/100
State rank
#787
US rank
#14394

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Denton County · 1,053,010 people
City population
6,596
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
6,596
Household income
$101,845
Rent vs Own
26.2% rent · 73.8% own
Severe rent burden
30% of renters

Population outlook (Denton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,053,010 people
By 2030
1,192,269 · +13.2%
By 2040
1,472,920 · +39.9%
By 2050
1,746,506 · +65.9%
By 2075
2,358,497 · +124.0%
By 2100
2,779,183 · +163.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Denton

2024 margin
R (+13.2) · D 42.7% · R 55.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
+11.0pp toward D · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -13.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.2 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+20.2 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+24.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-8.9% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-07-17 Listed $255,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-07-08 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2026-06-14 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $249,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-17 Listed $270,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-12-29 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2022-12-06 Pending NTREIS
  • 2022-12-02 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2022-10-26 Pending NTREIS
  • 2022-10-26 Listed $279,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+89.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,890 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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