3300 Macphelah Rd · Moss Point, MS
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PROPERTY SOLD AS-IS - CASH or CONVENTIONAL ONLY. This FIXER UPPER has Exceptional Potential! This spacious 4bd, 3ba home offer generous living areas and strong potential for upgrades. This is a great opportunity to transform it into your ideal space. Conveniently located near shopping, restaurants, and just a short commute to the Shipyard and Chevron Refinery, this property is an excellent choice for both future homeowners and investors. Backyard Shed included with the sale. CASH or CONVENTIONAL ONLY.
Key facts
- Near shopping
- Short commute
- Near restaurants
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Covered carport with space for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Slab foundation
- Construction: Brick veneer construction
- Exterior features: Metal roof; Brick veneer exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range
- Bedrooms: One-level home
- Bathrooms: 3 total bathrooms (2 full)
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fireplace in the living room; Updated/remodeled condition
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.8% in Moss Point — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
- Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.63%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $169,416
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5319 Gatlin Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 | 2,185 (+1%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $91 | 86 |
| 2921 Ryder Ave | 0.15mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,129 (-2%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $87 | 80 |
| 2907 Ryder Ave | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,116 (-3%) | 14mo | $164,000 | $78 | 67 |
| 5502 Hyland Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 2,302 (+6%) | 17mo | $175,000 | $76 | 42 |
| 5402 Hyland Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,957 (-10%) | 14mo | $150,000 | $77 | 39 |
| 3612 Julia Cir | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,451 (+13%) | 12mo | $54,900 | $22 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-6,796
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $14,607
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39567
- Home prices YoY
- -26.0%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,540 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$175 /mo · $2,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $249
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $346 | -5% $297 | +0% $249 | +5% $201 | +10% $152 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $127 | -5% $188 | +0% $249 | +5% $310 | +10% $371 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $320 | -0.5pp $285 | base $249 | +0.5pp $213 | +1.0pp $176 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5443 Hubert St Moss Point, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,300 | $0.74 | 22d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-17status Pending
-
2026-03-09price $140,000
-
2026-02-21status Active
-
2026-02-05status Pending
-
2026-01-23status Active
-
2026-01-01status Pending
-
2025-12-12$149,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,480
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$2,100
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,478
- − Management
- −$1,478
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $809
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$194
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,795/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moss Point Separate School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803000
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,041
- Composite
- 16.34/100
- National rank
- #9205
- State rank
- #94 of 130 in MS
Livability — Moss Point
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #10398
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moss Point, MS
- County
- Jackson County · 82,196 people
- City population
- 12,023
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,341
- Household income
- $62,254
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 308.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 146,926 people
- By 2030
- 148,442 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 149,631 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 148,723 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 147,845 · +0.6%
- By 2100
- 144,510 · -1.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.05%
- Current HPI
- 162.4666
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-6.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $140,000 MLSU
- 2026-02-21 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-02-05 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-01-23 Relisted — MLSU
- 2026-01-01 Pending — MLSU
- 2025-12-12 Listed $149,000 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…