11691 440th St · Laurens, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This property is an acreage just west of Laurens located on a paved road. This 4 Bedroom and 1 and ¾ bathroom home features a large back yard with an back porch patio area. This includes a 2 stall garage with basement access. All 4 Bedrooms are on the main level with a nice sized living area and Kitchen/dining combo. Wood floors are in the living area and bedrooms on the main floor. Basement area is unfished with a large area available to be transformed. With some TLC this home is a renovators dream with a large gathering room and a practical floor plan. This home is being sold AS IS.
Key facts
- Basement access
- Gathering room
- Wood floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#248 in IA, #4,769 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Laurens-Marathon Community School District (rural): math 55% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #311 of 330 in IA (top 94%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Laurens-Marathon Elementary School (math 74% / reading 54%, grade B, #317 of 616 statewide, top 58%, 140 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Pocahontas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $90 of equity ($483 loan paydown + $-393 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.36%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $10,112
- Equity at exit
- $18,354
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $34,258
- Equity at exit
- $20,565
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50554
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,068 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$230 /mo · $2,760/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-11status Pending
-
2026-03-30$69,900 Active
-
2003-12-01soldstatus $150,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,760 · $230/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,760 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,814
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$2,760
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,025
- − Management
- −$1,025
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $1,706
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$409
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,206/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Laurens-Marathon Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1916420
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,146
- Composite
- 48.0/100
- National rank
- #4796
- State rank
- #311 of 330 in IA
Livability — Laurens
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #248
- US rank
- #4769
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 1,639
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,639
Population outlook (Pocahontas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,624 people
- By 2030
- 6,482 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 6,359 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 6,439 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 7,397 · +11.7%
- By 2100
- 8,428 · +27.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pocahontas
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.0) · D 22.3% · R 76.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -45.6pp toward R · 2008: -8.4pp · 2024: -54.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.0 2020: R+49.5 2016: R+45.2 2012: R+21.8 2008: R+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.56%
- Current HPI
- 111.4699
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
-53.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Pending — NWIA
- 2026-03-30 Listed $69,900 NWIA
- 2003-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,760 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…