628 Morris St · Rock Hill, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor Cashing Out, Really Good Deal in the heart of downtown Rock Hill! Roof replaced and bathroom updated in 2025.
Key facts
- Bathroom updated
- Roof replaced
- 3,920 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (residential); One story; Entry and living spaces on main level; Zoning: SF-5
- Construction: Site-built construction; Shingle/shake and wood exterior materials; Other construction details (see remarks); Crawl space foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Publicly maintained road access; Road surfaces include concrete, dirt, and paved
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric range; Refrigerator; Other kitchen features (see remarks)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heating: Other (see remarks); Central air; Wall unit(s); Other cooling (see remarks)
- Interior features: Family room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.4% in Rock Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#62 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime D-.
- York 03 (urban): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #32 of 80 in SC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.93%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $192,240
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 736 Cauthen St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 771 (+7%) | 16mo | $99,500 | $129 | 68 |
| 455 Cummings St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+4%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $267 | 67 |
| 621 Cauthen St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 806 (+12%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $267 | 67 |
| 325 Laurens St | 0.54mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 722 (+0%) | 14mo | $75,000 | $104 | 58 |
| 304 Annafrel St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 741 (+3%) | 20mo | $190,000 | $256 | 54 |
| 407 Cummings St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 775 (+8%) | 11mo | $207,000 | $267 | 48 |
| 966 Spring St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 775 (+8%) | 23mo | $208,000 | $268 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $4,069
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.30×
- Total profit
- $49,142
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29730
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 348
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,544 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,331/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $344
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $421 | -5% $383 | +0% $344 | +5% $306 | +10% $268 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $222 | -5% $283 | +0% $344 | +5% $405 | +10% $466 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $412 | -0.5pp $379 | base $344 | +0.5pp $309 | +1.0pp $274 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130 Reid St Rock Hill, SC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,075 | $1.79 | 11d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 130 Reid St Rock Hill, SC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,075 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 117 E White St Rock Hill, SC | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 797 | $2,065 | $2.59 | 4d | 33 | 0.90mi |
| 108 E Main St Rock Hill, SC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 779 | $1,893 | $2.43 | 2d | 7 | 1.03mi |
| 234 Saluda St Rock Hill, SC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 528 | $950 | $1.80 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 378 Technology Center Way Rock Hill, SC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 622 | $1,720 | $2.77 | 3d | 7 | 1.16mi |
| 371 Technology Center Way Rock Hill, SC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 832 | $2,155 | $2.59 | 3d | 37 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$135,000 Active
-
2022-07-18soldstatus $167,500
-
2022-07-18soldstatus $167,500
-
2002-04-01soldstatus $31,666
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,331 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,331 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,523
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,331
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,482
- − Management
- −$1,482
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $2,064
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$495
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,636/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- York 03
- NCES district ID
- 4503870
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,570
- Composite
- 35.46/100
- National rank
- #4928
- State rank
- #32 of 80 in SC
Livability — Rock Hill
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #62
- US rank
- #7573
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rock Hill, SC
- County
- York County · 281,758 people
- City population
- 115,874
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,199
- Household income
- $68,543
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1869.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 307,757 people
- By 2030
- 335,979 · +9.2%
- By 2040
- 391,378 · +27.2%
- By 2050
- 443,234 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 557,102 · +81.0%
- By 2100
- 625,837 · +103.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.1) · D 39.7% · R 58.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -17.7pp · 2024: -19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.1 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+22.1 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -285.91%
- Current HPI
- 268.2609
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.53%
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+326.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Listed $135,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $167,500 Public Records
- 2022-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $167,500 Public Records
- 2002-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $31,666 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,331 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…