2212 Lofton Rd · Blythewood, SC 29016

$244,590

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,202 sqft · SingleFamily · 84 Days on market

Built 2025 5,227 sqft lot $127/mo HOA · 5% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +17.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.3/10.0
• DSCR +5.3/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Move-In Ready! Step into this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath bungalow where modern style meets everyday comfort. From the moment you arrive, you’ll feel right at home in a space thoughtfully designed for both relaxing and entertaining. The heart of the home is the chic, open-concept kitchen, featuring a stunning center island that doubles as a high-top table—perfect for casual meals or morning coffee. Light gray soft-close cabinets, stainless steel appliances, and elegant Miami Vena quartz countertops are beautifully complemented by a timeless white subway tile backsplash, creating a bright and polished look. The kitchen flows seamlessly into the cozy gathering room, where a natural

Key facts

• Open-concept kitchen
• Walk-in closet
• Covered back patio

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT KITCHEN
• CENTER ISLAND
• NATURAL GAS FIREPLACE
• COVERED BACK PATIO
• WALK-IN CLOSET
• WALK-IN SHOWER

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $163 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
• Recommended offer: $230k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#58 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Lake Carolina Elementary Lower Campus (494 students, 49% FRL); Blythewood High (math 72% / reading 92%, grade A, #19 of 196 statewide, top 10%, 2,094 students, 39% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 82% at this address vs 41% district-wide (+41 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Richland 02 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 650 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $229,914 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.09%
• Cash-on-cash: 2.86%
• DSCR: 1.13
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -11.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.57×
• Total profit: $-29,109
• Equity at exit: $36,469

10-year hold

• IRR: -2.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.83×
• Total profit: $-11,474
• Equity at exit: $21,148

Cash invested: $68,485 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29016

• Home prices YoY: -26.3%
• Active inventory: 650
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,507 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,283
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$306 /mo · $3,669/yr
• Insurance: −$102
• HOA: −$127
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$527
• Net cashflow: $163

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,300

Max offer price $244,590

Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $61,148
• Closing costs: $7,338
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5324 Hard Scrabble Rd Blythewood, SC	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	992	$1,915	$1.93	2d	59	1.04mi
20 Helton Dr Columbia, SC	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1167	$1,899	$1.63	2d	38	1.16mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $127 · $1,524/yr

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-21
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-14
   price $244,590
3. 2026-03-21
   price $249,990
4. 2026-02-12
   price $258,590
5. 2026-01-27
   listed $259,590 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $30,087
• − Mortgage interest: −$13,701
• − Property taxes: −$3,669
• − Insurance: −$1,223
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,407
• − Management: −$2,407
• − HOA: −$1,524
• − Depreciation: −$7,115
• Taxable loss: −$1,959
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$470
• After-tax cash flow: $2,431/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Richland 02
• NCES district ID: 4503390
• Math proficiency: 35% ▼ -15.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $59,684
• Composite: 36.2/100
• National rank: #4730
• State rank: #29 of 80 in SC

Livability — Blythewood

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #58
• US rank: #7406

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Richland County · 389,530 people
• City population: 30,454
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• Population (ZIP): 30,454
• Household income: $95,082
• Rent vs Own: 16.9% rent · 83.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 559.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 459,667 people
• By 2030: 487,524 · +6.1%
• By 2040: 542,035 · +17.9%
• By 2050: 595,371 · +29.5%
• By 2075: 732,998 · +59.5%
• By 2100: 820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 43% White 42% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -65.48%
• Current HPI: 183.5933
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

-5.8% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-21 Pending — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-04-14 Price Changed $244,590 Consolidated MLS
• 2026-03-21 Price Changed $249,990 Consolidated MLS
• 2026-02-12 Price Changed $258,590 Consolidated MLS
• 2026-01-27 Listed $259,590 Consolidated MLS