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565 Canyon Rd
C Composite 56.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,000

565 Canyon Rd · Lyle, WA 98635
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 736 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 2017 2.00 ac lot $311/sqft · 31% below area Est $446k · 49% under ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Private 2-Acre Retreat with Solar, Well & 2 Cabins! Escape to your own peaceful, woodsy 2-acre property offering privacy and a true off-grid feel. This unique parcel is well-suited for recreation, camping, or future development (buyer to verify). The property features a solar power system with battery storage and a strong-producing 50 GPM well (not yet connected to structures). Existing improvements include a cozy cabin with woodstove and loft, plus a separate room with tub and toilet ready for future plumbing. A spacious 700 sq ft cinder block building on a slab foundation offers additional versatility—fully sheet-rocked and equipped with its own woodstove. The land has been enjoyed extensively for camping and outdoor living, with a driveway and turnaround already in place at the top of the property. Zoned General Rural. Buyer to perform due diligence regarding current and future use. Great off-grid self-sustainable capability. Conveniently located within reasonable distance to Lyle, The Dalles, and White Salmon, while still offering a secluded, back-to-nature setting.

Key facts

  • Cozy cabin
  • Solar power system
  • 2 acre retreat

Tags

2 ACRE RETREATSOLAR POWER SYSTEMSTRONG PRODUCING WELLCOZY CABINCINDER BLOCK BUILDINGDRIVEWAY AND TURNAROUND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: 2-acre lot (1 to 2.99 acres); Zoning: GR; Property has a view; Located at 565 Canyon Rd, Lyle, WA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Well water; Sewer: Other; Fuel: Wood burning; Solar hot water
  • Home design: Single-family residence (resale); Main-level living areas including kitchen, living room, family room, dining room and great room
  • Construction: Built in 2017; Metal roof; Concrete perimeter and pier/pillar foundation
  • Exterior features: Stone and wood siding exterior; Paved road access; Sloped, wooded lot; Territorial and trees/woods views

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Passive solar heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Double-pane windows; Wood-burning stove; Two fireplaces; Passive solar heating
  • Laundry & utility: Solar hot water system with tank

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $214k (6.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $214k (6.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#361 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, cost of living A; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Lyle School District (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #261 of 291 in WA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Dallesport Elementary (96 students, 82% FRL); Lyle Middle School (49 students, 84% FRL); Lyle High School (67 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 63% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 80 units permitted in Klickitat County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Klickitat County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $214,152 (6.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.62%
Cash-on-cash
4.73%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$446,419
List price
$229,000
Delta
-48.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
585 Canyon Rd 0.19mi 1/1.0 750 (+2%) 21mo $360,000 $480 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.0%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-21,054
Equity at exit
$34,145
10-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$2,183
Equity at exit
$19,800

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98635

Home prices YoY
-24.4%
Active inventory
55
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,142 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,201
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,710/yr
Insurance
$95
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$450
Net cashflow
$253

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,821
Max offer price $229,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $383 -5% $318 +0% $253 +5% $188 +10% $123
Rent -10% $84 -5% $168 +0% $253 +5% $338 +10% $422
Rate -1.0pp $368 -0.5pp $311 base $253 +0.5pp $194 +1.0pp $133

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,250
Closing costs
$6,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $229,000 Active 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $229,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,000 Active 39 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,000 Active 38 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $229,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $229,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,000 Active 32 DOM
    Show marketing remark (1099 chars)

    Private 2-Acre Retreat with Solar, Well & 2 Cabins! Escape to your own peaceful, woodsy 2-acre property offering privacy and a true off-grid feel. This unique parcel is well-suited for recreation, camping, or future development (buyer to verify). The property features a solar power system with battery storage and a strong-producing 50 GPM well (not yet connected to structures). Existing improvements include a cozy cabin with woodstove and loft, plus a separate room with tub and toilet ready for future plumbing. A spacious 700 sq ft cinder block building on a slab foundation offers additional versatility—fully sheet-rocked and equipped with its own woodstove. The land has been enjoyed extensively for camping and outdoor living, with a driveway and turnaround already in place at the top of the property. Zoned General Rural. Buyer to perform due diligence regarding current and future use. Great off-grid self-sustainable capability. Conveniently located within reasonable distance to Lyle, The Dalles, and White Salmon, while still offering a secluded, back-to-nature setting.

  10. 2026-06-09
    price $229,000 Active 31 DOM
    Show marketing remark (1099 chars)

    Private 2-Acre Retreat with Solar, Well & 2 Cabins! Escape to your own peaceful, woodsy 2-acre property offering privacy and a true off-grid feel. This unique parcel is well-suited for recreation, camping, or future development (buyer to verify). The property features a solar power system with battery storage and a strong-producing 50 GPM well (not yet connected to structures). Existing improvements include a cozy cabin with woodstove and loft, plus a separate room with tub and toilet ready for future plumbing. A spacious 700 sq ft cinder block building on a slab foundation offers additional versatility—fully sheet-rocked and equipped with its own woodstove. The land has been enjoyed extensively for camping and outdoor living, with a driveway and turnaround already in place at the top of the property. Zoned General Rural. Buyer to perform due diligence regarding current and future use. Great off-grid self-sustainable capability. Conveniently located within reasonable distance to Lyle, The Dalles, and White Salmon, while still offering a secluded, back-to-nature setting.

  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,000 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $249,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,000 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,000 Active 23 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $249,000 Active 22 DOM
  18. 2026-04-17
    listed $249,000 Active 1099-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1099 chars)

    Private 2-Acre Retreat with Solar, Well & 2 Cabins! Escape to your own peaceful, woodsy 2-acre property offering privacy and a true off-grid feel. This unique parcel is well-suited for recreation, camping, or future development (buyer to verify). The property features a solar power system with battery storage and a strong-producing 50 GPM well (not yet connected to structures). Existing improvements include a cozy cabin with woodstove and loft, plus a separate room with tub and toilet ready for future plumbing. A spacious 700 sq ft cinder block building on a slab foundation offers additional versatility—fully sheet-rocked and equipped with its own woodstove. The land has been enjoyed extensively for camping and outdoor living, with a driveway and turnaround already in place at the top of the property. Zoned General Rural. Buyer to perform due diligence regarding current and future use. Great off-grid self-sustainable capability. Conveniently located within reasonable distance to Lyle, The Dalles, and White Salmon, while still offering a secluded, back-to-nature setting.

  19. 2026-04-17
    listed $249,000 Active 1098-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1099 chars)

    Private 2-Acre Retreat with Solar, Well & 2 Cabins! Escape to your own peaceful, woodsy 2-acre property offering privacy and a true off-grid feel. This unique parcel is well-suited for recreation, camping, or future development (buyer to verify). The property features a solar power system with battery storage and a strong-producing 50 GPM well (not yet connected to structures). Existing improvements include a cozy cabin with woodstove and loft, plus a separate room with tub and toilet ready for future plumbing. A spacious 700 sq ft cinder block building on a slab foundation offers additional versatility—fully sheet-rocked and equipped with its own woodstove. The land has been enjoyed extensively for camping and outdoor living, with a driveway and turnaround already in place at the top of the property. Zoned General Rural. Buyer to perform due diligence regarding current and future use. Great off-grid self-sustainable capability. Conveniently located within reasonable distance to Lyle, The Dalles, and White Salmon, while still offering a secluded, back-to-nature setting.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,710 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,244 · $187/mo
Expected delta
+$534/yr (+$44/mo · 31.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,698
− Mortgage interest
−$12,828
− Property taxes
−$1,710
− Insurance
−$1,145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,056
− Management
−$2,056
− Depreciation
−$6,662
Taxable loss
−$758
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$182
After-tax cash flow
$3,217/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lyle School District
NCES district ID
5304590
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,641
Composite
30.49/100
National rank
#11492
State rank
#261 of 291 in WA

Livability — Lyle

Score
64/100
State rank
#361
US rank
#13734

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A Employment D+ Housing F Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,033

Population outlook (Klickitat County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,337 people
By 2030
22,829 · +2.2%
By 2040
23,382 · +4.7%
By 2050
23,654 · +5.9%
By 2075
24,266 · +8.6%
By 2100
23,782 · +6.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Italian 6% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Klickitat

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.3) · D 43.7% · R 53.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: 0.2pp · 2024: -9.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.3 2020: R+9.4 2016: R+16.3 2012: R+7.8 2008: D+0.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.22%
Current HPI
251.2278
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $229,000 RMLS
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $229,000 RMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $249,000 RMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $249,000 RMLS

Property tax history

+13.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,710 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…