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23 Laurelbrook Ct
B- Composite 69.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$62,500

23 Laurelbrook Ct · Cresson, PA 16630
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,026 sqft · Townhouse · 78 Days on market
Built 1979 436 sqft lot $61/sqft · 34% below area Est $94k · 34% under $155/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 BR, 1 bath remodeled townhouse with updated flooring. Appliances included. Exterior maintenance, water, sewer, & garbage are included in the HOA fee of $155.00 monthly. Ready for owner occupant or great investment property.

Key facts

  • Sewer included
  • Exterior maintenance
  • Water included

Tags

REMODELED TOWNHOUSEUPDATED FLOORINGAPPLIANCES INCLUDEDEXTERIOR MAINTENANCEWATER INCLUDEDSEWER INCLUDED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $62k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $129 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($925 rent vs $62k).
  • Recommended offer: $59k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.4% in Cresson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#767 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Penn Cambria SD (town): math 29% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #304 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $432 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $32k; list at $62k implies a 95% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $58,750 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
8.76%
Cash-on-cash
8.82%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$94,495
List price
$62,500
Delta
-33.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Laurebrook Ct 0.03mi 2/1.0 1,026 (0%) 6mo $57,000 $56 94
40 Aspen Ct 0.05mi 2/1.0 1,026 (0%) 17mo $67,500 $66 84
19 Laurelbrook Ct 0.01mi 2/1.0 1,026 (0%) 20mo $67,000 $65 83
1 Laurelbrook Court Ct 0.04mi 2/1.0 1,026 (0%) 23mo $43,000 $42 79
36 Aspen Ct 0.06mi 2/1.0 936 (-9%) 17mo $52,000 $56 68
29 Laurelbrook Ct 0.04mi 2/1.0 936 (-9%) 22mo $49,500 $53 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-1,814
Equity at exit
$9,319
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$9,455
Equity at exit
$5,404

Cash invested: $17,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16630

Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$925 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$328
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,119/yr
Insurance
$26
HOA
$155
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$194
Net cashflow
$129

Break-even live

Break-even rent $762
Max offer price $62,500
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,625
Closing costs
$1,875
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1943 Saint Joseph St Cresson, PA 3.0 2.0 1120 $925 $0.83 43d 1 0.37mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$155 · $1,860/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashexterior maint.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $62,500 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $62,500 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $62,500 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $62,500 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $62,500 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $62,500 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $62,500 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $62,500 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $62,500 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $62,500 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $62,500 Active 66 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $62,500 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $62,500 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $62,500 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $62,500 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $62,500 Active 58 DOM
  17. 2026-04-01
    listed $62,500 Active 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    2 BR, 1 bath remodeled townhouse with updated flooring. Appliances included. Exterior maintenance, water, sewer, & garbage are included in the HOA fee of $155.00 monthly. Ready for owner occupant or great investment property.

  18. 2026-04-01
    listed $62,500 Active 230-char remark
    Show marketing remark (230 chars)

    2 BR, 1 bath remodeled townhouse with updated flooring. Appliances included. Exterior maintenance, water, sewer, & garbage are included in the HOA fee of $155.00 monthly. Ready for owner occupant or great investment property.

  19. 2016-07-05
    soldstatus $32,000
  20. 2016-06-24
    soldstatus $32,000
  21. 2015-11-23
    listed $42,000
  22. 2002-06-21
    soldstatus $32,500
  23. 2002-06-05
    soldstatus $32,500
  24. 2002-03-20
    listed $33,500
  25. 1998-08-14
    soldstatus $32,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,119 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,119 · $93/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,100
− Mortgage interest
−$3,501
− Property taxes
−$1,119
− Insurance
−$312
− Repairs & maintenance
−$888
− Management
−$888
− HOA
−$1,860
− Depreciation
−$1,818
Taxable income
$713
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$171
After-tax cash flow
$1,373/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Penn Cambria SD
NCES district ID
4213770
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$45,952
Composite
36.48/100
National rank
#4657
State rank
#304 of 539 in PA

Livability — Cresson

Score
70/100
State rank
#767
US rank
#7975

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
4,771
Population (ZIP)
4,771

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.81%
Current HPI
112.0315
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $62,500 CSMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $62,500 AHARMLS
  • 2016-07-05 Sold (MLS) $32,000 AHARMLS
  • 2016-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 2015-11-23 Listed $42,000 AHARMLS
  • 2002-06-21 Sold (MLS) $32,500 AHARMLS
  • 2002-06-05 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records
  • 2002-03-20 Listed $33,500 AHARMLS
  • 1998-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $32,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,119 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…