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810 Poplar St
C- Composite 51.84
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$122,000

810 Poplar St · Michigan City, IN 46360
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,052 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1890 0.25 ac lot $116/sqft · 13% above area Est $167k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute Bungalow with lots of potential, Great investment. Two bedroom with full attic just wanting to be finished into a master bedroom or rec room. Come take a look at all the possibilities. Sold As Is - As Seen.

Key facts

  • Versatile loft area
  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

MICHIGAN CITY LOCATIONVERSATILE LOFT AREAWELCOMING FRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property currently has a tenant (occupant: Tenant)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with alley access; Approximately 2.5 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Built in 1890; Single-level listing indicated (Levels: One)
  • Construction: Year built: 1890
  • Exterior features: No significant view (none indicated); Public lot size source (assessor)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Microwave; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Additional bedroom (Bedroom 2); Total of 6 rooms including bedrooms and living spaces
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No notable built-in interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $122k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $24 ($283/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (5.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $115k (5.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.7% in Michigan City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#15 in IN, #1,317 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities D-.
  • Michigan City Area Schools (urban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #262 of 301 in IN (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 371 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 216 units permitted in LaPorte County in 2024 (75 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $843 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • LaPorte County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $49k; list at $122k implies a 149% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $115,404 (5.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.83%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$167,409
List price
$122,000
Delta
-27.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
715 Pearl St 0.29mi 2/1.0 953 (-9%) 0mo $168,750 $177 71
624 Cleveland Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,181 (+12%) 1mo $99,000 $84 67
903 Greenwood Ave 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,008 (-4%) 9mo $167,000 $166 67
506 Jackson St 0.35mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,056 (+0%) 8mo $12,500 $12 65
817 E 11th St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-5%) 1mo $165,000 $165 64
1410 Oak St 0.25mi 2/1.0 905 (-14%) 5mo $119,000 $131 61
121 Faulknor St 0.65mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,040 (-1%) 0mo $155,000 $149 60
629 Superior St 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 988 (-6%) 0mo $162,750 $165 59
119 Dewey St 0.54mi 2/1.0 940 (-11%) 0mo $137,000 $146 56
206 Avalon Ct 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 996 (-5%) 3mo $219,900 $221 51
222 May Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,138 (+8%) 5mo $164,400 $144 47
2941 Jackson St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 988 (-6%) 7mo $167,600 $170 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.2%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-12,124
Equity at exit
$18,191
10-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$19,318
Equity at exit
$10,548

Cash invested: $34,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46360

Rents YoY
9.7%
Active inventory
371
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,154 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$640
Tax from tax record
$198 /mo · $2,370/yr
Insurance
$51
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$24

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,124
Max offer price $122,000
Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,500
Closing costs
$3,660
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
121 S Porter St Unit A Michigan City, IN 2.0 2.0 1050 $925 $0.88 43d 1 0.41mi
1122 Spring St Unit B Michigan City, IN 1.0 1.0 750 $950 $1.27 43d 1 0.61mi
1810 E Barker Ave Michigan City, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 43d 1 0.65mi
215 N Woodland Ave Michigan City, IN 3.0 1.0 1112 $1,395 $1.25 43d 1 0.69mi
416 E 9th St Unit 2 Michigan City, IN 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,325 $0.95 43d 1 0.74mi
909 Spring St Michigan City, IN 1.0 1.0 975 $955 $0.98 43d 1 0.74mi
106 Ruby Ct Michigan City, IN 2.0 1.0 744 $1,195 $1.61 43d 1 1.01mi
614 N Calumet Ave Michigan City, IN 3.0 1.0 825 $1,450 $1.76 43d 1 1.02mi
910 S Carroll Ave Michigan City, IN 2.0–3.0 2.0 1187 $1,300 $1.09 43d 3 1.02mi
221 Barker Rd Michigan City, IN 1.0 1.0 737 $887 $1.20 43d 2 1.34mi
934 Henry St Michigan City, IN 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 43d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $122,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $122,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $122,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $122,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $122,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $122,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $122,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $122,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $122,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $122,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $122,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $122,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $122,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $122,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $122,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $122,000 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    listed $122,000 Active 661-char remark
  18. 2025-07-17
    historical $1,200
  19. 2025-07-05
    price $1,200
  20. 2025-06-21
    price $1,250
  21. 2025-06-01
    listed $1,300
  22. 2018-10-01
    soldstatus $49,000 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Cute Bungalow with lots of potential, Great investment. Two bedroom with full attic just wanting to be finished into a master bedroom or rec room. Come take a look at all the possibilities. Sold As Is - As Seen.

  23. 2018-07-29
    listed $54,900 211-char remark
    Show marketing remark (211 chars)

    Cute Bungalow with lots of potential, Great investment. Two bedroom with full attic just wanting to be finished into a master bedroom or rec room. Come take a look at all the possibilities. Sold As Is - As Seen.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,370 · $198/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,370 · $198/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,848
− Mortgage interest
−$6,834
− Property taxes
−$2,370
− Insurance
−$610
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,108
− Management
−$1,108
− Depreciation
−$3,549
Taxable loss
−$1,730
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$415
After-tax cash flow
$698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Michigan City Area Schools
NCES district ID
1806570
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$42,629
Composite
21.76/100
National rank
#8257
State rank
#262 of 301 in IN

Livability — Michigan City

Score
81/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#1317

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Michigan City, IN
County
La Porte County · 88,580 people
Metro
Michigan City-La Porte, IN
Population (ZIP)
43,817
Household income
$59,266
Rent vs Own
31.8% rent · 68.2% own
Severe rent burden
1152.0

Population outlook (LaPorte County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
109,757 people
By 2030
108,288 · -1.3%
By 2040
105,070 · -4.3%
By 2050
102,330 · -6.8%
By 2075
97,009 · -11.6%
By 2100
86,459 · -21.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · LaPorte

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.1% · R 56.2% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-19.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+7.2 2016: R+6.4 2012: D+12.6 2008: D+5.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -210.27%
Current HPI
206.0882
Rent YoY
▲ 9.72%
Metro
Michigan City-La Porte, IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $122,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-17 Rental Removed $1,200 TENANTTURNER2
  • 2025-07-05 Price Changed $1,200 TENANTTURNER2
  • 2025-06-21 Price Changed $1,250 TENANTTURNER2
  • 2025-06-01 Listed for Rent $1,300 TENANTTURNER2
  • 2018-10-01 Sold (MLS) $49,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-29 Listed $54,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+28.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,370 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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