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216 N Tennessee St
C+ Composite 63.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

216 N Tennessee St · Clovis, NM 88101
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,392 sqft · Other · 170 Days on market
Built 1928 $100/sqft · 43% below area Est $244k · 43% under ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Beautiful 2 Bedrooms perfect for small families or office space, 1 well maintained bathroom. 1392 SQFT of cozy living space. A large backyard with a workshop! Don’t miss this fantastic opportunity! Perfect for homeowners or investors alike. Come see the home today!

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Workshop
  • Built 1928

Tags

LARGE BACKYARDWORKSHOP

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (1.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#171 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Clovis Municipal Schools (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #13 of 29 in NM (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 169 units permitted in Curry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Curry County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $122,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.59%
Cash-on-cash
8.20%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$244,424
List price
$139,000
Delta
-43.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
6 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.54% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.4%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-2,086
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
10.5%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$35,144
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 88101

Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
464
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,363 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $290/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,027
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $345 -5% $305 +0% $266 +5% $68 +10% $20
Rent -10% $158 -5% $212 +0% $266 +5% $320 +10% $374
Rate -1.0pp $336 -0.5pp $301 base $266 +0.5pp $230 +1.0pp $193

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2365 Marlene Blvd Unit B Clovis, NM 2.0 2.0 956 $2,000 $2.09 44d 1 0.68mi
2101 Bobwhite Ct Unit B Clovis, NM 2.0 2.0 981 $1,200 $1.22 44d 1 0.73mi
2112 Fred Daugherty Ave Apt C Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 900 $925 $1.03 44d 1 1.00mi
2500 E 14th St Unit 2502-B Clovis, NM 2.0 1.0 900 $1,195 $1.33 44d 1 1.07mi
1313 Mission Dr Unit a Clovis, NM 2.0 2.0 1055 $1,400 $1.33 44d 1 1.12mi
1621 N Lea St Clovis, NM 3.0 2.0 1650 $1,500 $0.91 45d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,000 Active 170 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 169 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 168 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 167 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    price $139,000 Active 166 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $141,500 Active 166 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $141,500 Active 164 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $141,500 Active 163 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $141,500 Active 160 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $141,500 Active 159 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $141,500 Active 158 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $141,500 Active 154 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $141,500 Active 153 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $141,500 Active 152 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $141,500 Active 151 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $141,500 Active 150 DOM
  17. 2026-01-29
    price $141,500 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    This Beautiful 2 Bedrooms perfect for small families or office space, 1 well maintained bathroom. 1392 SQFT of cozy living space. A large backyard with a workshop! Don’t miss this fantastic opportunity! Perfect for homeowners or investors alike. Come see the home today!

  18. 2025-12-31
    listed $145,000 Active 277-char remark
    Show marketing remark (277 chars)

    This Beautiful 2 Bedrooms perfect for small families or office space, 1 well maintained bathroom. 1392 SQFT of cozy living space. A large backyard with a workshop! Don’t miss this fantastic opportunity! Perfect for homeowners or investors alike. Come see the home today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$290 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,112 · $93/mo
Expected delta
+$822/yr (+$68/mo · 283.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,359
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$290
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,309
− Management
−$1,309
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$926
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$222
After-tax cash flow
$2,969/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clovis Municipal Schools
NCES district ID
3500570
Math proficiency
31% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 14.00%
Median HH income
$40,532
Composite
33.52/100
National rank
#5435
State rank
#13 of 29 in NM

Livability — Clovis

Score
56/100
State rank
#171
US rank
#22374

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Clovis, NM
County
Curry County · 44,846 people
City population
44,846
Metro
Clovis, NM
Population (ZIP)
44,846
Household income
$56,587
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1724.0

Population outlook (Curry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,742 people
By 2030
47,759 · -2.0%
By 2040
45,444 · -6.8%
By 2050
42,403 · -13.0%
By 2075
33,878 · -30.5%
By 2100
22,414 · -54.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% White 42% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 25%

Political lean MEDSL · Curry

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.6) · D 27.8% · R 70.4% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: -34.1pp · 2024: -42.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.6 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+42.4 2012: R+38.6 2008: R+34.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.79%
Current HPI
121.1877
Rent YoY
▲ 5.54%
Metro
Clovis, NM
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-2.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $141,500 NMMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listed $145,000 NMMLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $290 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…