36 Oregon · Linda, CA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the desirable Peach Mobile Estates community, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers an affordable opportunity to own for potentially less than renting in the area. The interior features a spacious living room, a functional layout, and a primary bedroom with its own private en-suite bathroom. A covered porch, accessible from the living room, provides a great indoor-outdoor space for relaxing or entertaining. The mobile also offers convenient front-of-home parking with space for at least two vehicles, along with additional storage beneath the deck and room for a garden or outdoor personalization. The property does require some updating, but it presents a great opportunity for a buyer
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Garden area
- Outdoor space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 36.0% vs local median 2.8% in Linda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#995 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Marysville Joint Unified (suburban): math 14% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #455 of 517 in CA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 318 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 750 units permitted in Yuba County in 2024 (41 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yuba County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 35.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 105.95%
- DSCR
- 5.71
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,162
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -72.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1524 2nd Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+2%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $152 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.05×
- Total profit
- $63,586
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.64×
- Total profit
- $146,713
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95961
- Home prices YoY
- -28.2%
- Active inventory
- 318
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,802 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $1,112
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,144 | -5% $1,128 | +0% $1,112 | +5% $1,097 | +10% $1,081 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $970 | -5% $1,041 | +0% $1,112 | +5% $1,184 | +10% $1,255 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,135 | -0.5pp $1,124 | base $1,112 | +0.5pp $1,101 | +1.0pp $1,089 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1624 Catalpa St Olivehurst, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,150 | $2.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5624 Arboga Rd West Linda, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,550 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5624 Arboga Rd Unit 4 Olivehurst, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,550 | $1.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1136 Grand Ave Unit B West Linda, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,900 | $2.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1115 Holly Ave Olivehurst, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1115 Holly Ave Unit C West Linda, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,550 | $1.82 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1495 Marshall Ln Unit 1 Linda, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5802 Arboga Rd Olivehurst, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1397 | $2,000 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1817 7th Ave Unit B Olivehurst, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,650 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 1815 7th Ave Apt B Olivehurst, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $1,695 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1738 Linda Ave Unit D Linda, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,395 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1948 Country Club Ct Apt 2 Marysville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1954 Country Club Ct Unit B Marysville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 848 | $1,145 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,621
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,730
- − Management
- −$1,730
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $13,432
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,224
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,125/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 2-bedroom mobile home requires moderate updates to kitchen and bathrooms, exterior siding, and interior paint to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — basic and dated
- Moderate exterior siding — moderate wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizes kitchen and adds value
- Both replace dated bathroom fixtures — enhances bathroom and adds value
- Both repair and paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · basic and dated | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · moderate wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $9,000–45,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizes kitchen and adds value ↑
- Both replace dated bathroom fixtures — enhances bathroom and adds value ↑
- Both repair and paint exterior siding — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marysville Joint Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0624090
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,598
- Composite
- 18.18/100
- National rank
- #8961
- State rank
- #455 of 517 in CA
Livability — Linda
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #995
- US rank
- #24769
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Linda, CA
- County
- Yuba County · 71,731 people
- Metro
- Yuba City, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,999
- Household income
- $89,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 461.0
Population outlook (Yuba County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 75,432 people
- By 2030
- 75,358 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 74,643 · -1.0%
- By 2050
- 72,937 · -3.3%
- By 2075
- 66,368 · -12.0%
- By 2100
- 54,524 · -27.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Hispanic / Latino 39% Two or more races 18% Asian 8% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yuba
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.8) · D 35.7% · R 61.5% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.2pp toward R · 2008: -14.7pp · 2024: -25.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.8 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+14.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.37%
- Current HPI
- 222.3191
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Yuba City, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…