827 West Valley Hwy #46 · Kent, WA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$233,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 4 BDRM 1.75 BATH is beautifully remodeled living masterpiece that sports many upgrades & features into this home: like newly designed & installed quartz countertops with a large stainless steel sink, new appliances, including new refrigerator, new stove, new DW, new W & D, large great room, newly built backyard party deck, very spacious kitchen, newly painted interior with newly installed base board outlining the newly installed laminate flooring t/o, with newly painted exterior siding, newly installed interior fixtures in both bathrooms, light fixtures etc, newly installed Hot H20 heater for years of use & enjoyment, newly installed exterior steps with newly inst
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Backyard party deck
- Stainless steel sink
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $234k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $669 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $234k).
- Recommended offer: $227k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 2.7% in Kent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#109 in WA, #2,154 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Kent School District (urban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #109 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.25%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,007
- List price
- $233,995
- Delta
- 87.19%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24415 64th Ave S #16 | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-13%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $94 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-3,771
- Equity at exit
- $34,889
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $18,957
- Equity at exit
- $20,232
Cash invested: $65,519 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98032
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,893 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,227
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$292 /mo · $3,510/yr
- Insurance
- −$97
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$608
- Net cashflow
- $669
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,499
- Closing costs
- $7,020
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6305 S 238th Pl Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $2,662 | $3.26 | 2d | 23 | 0.29mi |
| 23605 62nd Ave S Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 833 | $2,793 | $3.35 | 2d | 11 | 0.33mi |
| 6248 S 242nd Pl Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 849 | $2,349 | $2.77 | 2d | 20 | 0.38mi |
| 23529 60th Ave S Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1016 | $2,856 | $2.81 | 3d | 16 | 0.45mi |
| 507 W Concord St Unit 507 Kent, WA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2090 | $4,500 | $2.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 25102 62nd Ave S Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1000 | $2,785 | $2.79 | 2d | 23 | 0.76mi |
| 412 E Novak Ln Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 879 | $1,869 | $2.13 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 23116 51st Ave S Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1624 | $3,300 | $2.03 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 401 3rd Ave S Unit Lower Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,780 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 622 6th Ave S Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $2,999 | $2.69 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2200 W Meeker St Kent, WA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 837 | $3,165 | $3.78 | 2d | 18 | 1.08mi |
| 1020 Central Ave N Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1035 | $2,950 | $2.85 | 2d | 20 | 1.08mi |
| 702 5th Ave S Kent, WA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $2,400 | $2.09 | 5d | 3 | 1.14mi |
| 713 3rd Ave S Kent, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1350 | $2,795 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 24849 46th Ave S Kent, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 887 | $2,499 | $2.82 | 2d | 9 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19status $233,995 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-04-08price $233,995
-
2026-03-13$239,995 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,719
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,107
- − Property taxes
- −$3,510
- − Insurance
- −$1,170
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,778
- − Management
- −$2,778
- − Depreciation
- −$6,807
- Taxable income
- $4,569
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,097
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,926/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully remodeled 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home features new quartz countertops, stainless steel sink, and appliances, making it move-in ready with a good condition score.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both exterior lighting — improves safety and enhances curb appeal
- Both smart home integration — increases home's marketability and convenience
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both exterior lighting — improves safety and enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both smart home integration — increases home's marketability and convenience ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kent School District
- NCES district ID
- 5303960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,823
- Composite
- 48.25/100
- National rank
- #4714
- State rank
- #109 of 291 in WA
Livability — Kent
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #2154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kent, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 119,479
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,862
- Household income
- $82,636
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2581.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.79)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 32% Hispanic / Latino 24% Asian 17% Black 16% Two or more races 12% Pacific Islander 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 57% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 6% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -527.12%
- Current HPI
- 299.2499
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.68%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-2.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $233,995 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Listed $239,995 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…