Duplex
177-15 Troutville Rd · New York, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 54.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$725,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Excellent investment opportunity or perfect multi-generational home in Jamaica, New York! This versatile, fully detached two-family property features a total of three spacious bedrooms and three full baths, presenting an ideal layout for both homeowners and savvy investors. The first-floor unit offers a comfortable one-bedroom, one-bathroom setup complete with a welcoming living room and kitchen, while the second-floor unit boasts two bright bedrooms, a full bath, and its own separate living area. Adding incredible value is the fully finished basement with a full bath and a highly desirable separate entrance, offering endless potential. Complete with a rare rear parking space for your conve
Key facts
- Separate entrance
- Rear parking space
- Two-family property
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (no carport)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not on the waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; One 2-bedroom unit
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; Finished, full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $725k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $629 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $315/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $657k (9.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $657k (9.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 246 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,569/mo this rent would consume 102% of the median local household income ($78k/yr) (locally 3168% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($703k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $440k; list at $725k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 54% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.72%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $849,870
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18821 118th Ave | 0.55mi | 6/2.0 | 1,786 (+4%) | 2mo | $1,100,000 | $616 | 49 |
| 17238 125th Ave | 0.24mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 1,872 (+10%) | 8mo | $790,000 | $422 | 47 |
| 118-12 189th St | 0.53mi | 6/3.0 | 1,872 (+10%) | 12mo | $930,000 | $497 | 38 |
| 12036 Marsden St | 0.44mi | 6/3.0 | 1,964 (+15%) | 8mo | $1,075,000 | $547 | 36 |
| 120-42 168th St | 0.51mi | 6/2.0 | 1,936 (+13%) | 14mo | $960,000 | $496 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-77,585
- Equity at exit
- $108,100
- IRR
- -1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-16,680
- Equity at exit
- $62,685
Cash invested: $203,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11434
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 18.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,569 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,802
- Tax from tax record
- −$456 /mo · $5,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$302
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,379
- Net cashflow
- $629
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,040 | -5% $834 | +0% $629 | +5% $424 | +10% $219 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $110 | -5% $370 | +0% $629 | +5% $889 | +10% $1,148 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $994 | -0.5pp $814 | base $629 | +0.5pp $441 | +1.0pp $250 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | — | $6,570 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $3,285 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $3,285 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,569 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $181,250
- Closing costs
- $21,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $725,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $725,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $725,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $725,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $725,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $725,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $725,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $725,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $725,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $725,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $725,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $725,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02price $725,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $750,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $750,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$750,000 Active
-
2026-04-05historical
-
2025-10-31$750,000 Active
-
2025-10-01historical
-
2025-07-26status Active
-
2025-07-26price $775,000
-
2025-07-21price $775,000
-
2025-07-21price $7,750,000
-
2025-07-21status Active
-
2025-07-11price $829,000
-
2025-07-11historical
-
2025-07-11historical
-
2025-06-05price $829,000
-
2025-05-21historical
-
2025-05-20$859,000 Active
-
2025-05-16$859,000 Active
-
2022-09-16historical
-
2022-08-22status Active
-
2022-04-09status Pending
-
2022-04-04historical
-
2022-03-29status Active
-
2022-03-28historical
-
2022-03-16$699,000 Active
-
2019-03-28soldstatus $440,000
-
2019-03-13soldstatus $440,000 Closed
-
2018-12-07$460,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,475 · $456/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,864 · $739/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,389/yr (+$282/mo · 61.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 54% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $78,828
- − Mortgage interest
- −$40,611
- − Property taxes
- −$5,475
- − Insurance
- −$3,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,306
- − Management
- −$6,306
- − Depreciation
- −$21,091
- Taxable loss
- −$4,587
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,101
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,651/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 68,263
- Household income
- $77,598
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3168.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Asian 4% White 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 6%
- Foreign-born
- 37% · Canada, Mexico, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -539.32%
- Current HPI
- 111.2067
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+63.0% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-05 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-31 Listed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-26 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-26 Price Changed $775,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $775,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-21 Price Changed $7,750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-21 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-11 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-11 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $829,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-05 Price Changed $829,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-21 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-20 Listed $859,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-16 Listed $859,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-16 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-22 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-09 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-04 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-29 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-28 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-16 Listed $699,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-03-28 Sold (Public Records) $440,000 Public Records
- 2019-03-13 Sold (MLS) $440,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-07 Listed $460,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,475 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…